Lebanese News and Updates – Telegram
Lebanese News and Updates
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Covering Lebanon and occasionally MENA's conflicts. And currently, the war in Palestine.
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🥀 The other victim in Tyre in Ridwan Awada from the town of Sheheen. He is a Hezbollah member.

He was assassinated in his home, in a cowardly criminal act by the Jews tonight
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🥀 Rania Houmani was the 3rd victim in Tyre
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📹 Tonight the IDF attacked a caffe in Aita al-Shaab which was empty

The caffe was built by its owner so he can return back to his hometown and restart his business.

The attack is yet again an example of how the IDF is working to deny the return of locals to their towns.
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🧵 Thread about the new IDF doctrine and the Lebanese diplomacy

At one point there was a serious discussion if the path to a secure and safeguard Lebanon was through diplomacy or strength which is enabled through a resistance. However with time, similar to how the deterrence of the resistance eroded through the mishaps of the latest battle, the worth of diplomatic solutions eroded but faster without any fruits.

The difference is that the path to diplomacy was a just a shiny slogan spoken through the mouths of many who either never achieved anything for the overall best of Lebanon or used diplomacy as a veil to hide their ill intentions that intended to drive Lebanon towards full surrender and not only remove it from the few remaining Arab states with an active political and military front against Israel.

The goal was to shift its whole identity to one that strips it from its history and culture and put it under the shroud of a client state with no real security and no real worth in this world. You get peace by submission and erasing any threat to the West.
The dilemma here is and will always be that the side that chose to not to be part of the resistance does not get burdened at all with loss. They are neither subjected by the enemy to murder, nor are they subjected to material loss and pain. This makes the cost of choosing to be on the other side of the front that assumes the moral high ground in the world affairs, easy and without any costs.

On the contrary, the resistance is not only facing the burdens of justifying its existence and then the burdens of building up strength despite the challenges, it is burdened by the immense costs of loss and material damages that affects it and affect its supporting base. This base that needs a lot of effort to keep rallied around the cause.

To explain this, compare the costs paid by Hezbullah in 2006 to secure 17 years of unpreceded peace and deterrence before the setback of 2024, verses the costs paid by its political opponents in Lebanon. All the achievements done by Hezbullah since 2000 were ridiculed, yet when the winds shifted in favor of its opponents without any cost or effort from them, and despite years of making wrong assumptions and decisions, they were hailed.

What I personally find annoying is the hypocrisy that these opponents showcase, and their disregard of any decency in politics. What I find particularly wrong and is within the scope of this, is how they refused to adhere to the legitimacy given to Hezbullah in the past decade through the ministerial statement and once it was dropped, it became the holy words of God and now Hezbullah is an outlaw.

However the disregard to any decency has been showcased particularly not by the general populace of Lebanese who are against Hezbullah's arms, but by the Lebanese Forces party whose officials today crossed an unpreceded low announcing that they are ready to mandate Israel to defeat Hezbullah in the south and the Syrians in the north. They took a step further and said its high time for the Lebanese army itself to fight Hezbullah and that they accept genocide against Shia if done by the Syrians. This is what their head of communication Charles Jabour said.

The issue of Hezbullah's arms is indeed a topic that can be discussed. While it is a norm for us, and we not only accept it but encourage it, in the wider definition of states it is indeed irregular to have an armed faction whose power at one point rivals that of states.

The only difference between this irregularity and any other, that Hezbullah did not leverage this power to take over the state and submit others like how everyone else in history did, and focused only on Israel. And had Hezbullah not face mishaps in the latest war, and had Israel not get a green light from the whole world to act as it pleases unrestrained by any laws of humanity, the discussion of the weapons would not have sparked such polarity as it is doing today.

#admin
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Because to be frank, while a reddendum in Lebanon would be in favor of not accepting normalization with Israel, a referendum in Lebanon would be in favor of disarming Hezbullah. The Shia alone are the ones with enough political wit and understanding to know the importance of this power and what it presents.
What many seem to forget, is that power was what liberated south Lebanon to conclude an 18 year long occupation. It was power that liberated the prisoners in 2008 after a costly war, and it this particular costly war that gave Lebanon 18 years of unpreceded peace unwitnessed since the Lebanese state was created in 1940's. Everyone seems to forget these 2 decades.

The only difference today, is that Israel is at the height of its strength and has abandoned its old doctrines and is now facing a much inferior enemy than it did months ago. Will not discuss the legitimacy of resistance nor the war. The legitimacy is inherit and the war is discussed in the hyperlinked threads below. The last covers the present and the future that we are in now.

https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebUpdate/49218 (this thread and attached links)

Do read them, they are very useful and I do find the points that they make great debate points that cannot be refuted by any anti-resistance people.
What I want to focus on is: does diplomacy actually ensures Lebanon's safety and what is the change in the doctrine of the Israeli army.

In terms of doctrine, I'll set aside the spectacular and efficient changes in the Israeli military doctrine that has shaped its warfare and made it a much more efficient fighting force that even without the mishaps faced by Hezbullah, it would have demonstrated a very high-end military performance.

The recent changes in the doctrine are about Israel itself and how it perceives threats and it only is akin to the operation in 1982, as an example, where Israel assumed that the basis of its security extended from securing the border to assuming that eliminating the core threat on statewide is the path for Israel.

The "Galilee peace" operation stretched the from areas that can be a threat to the Galilee to areas as far as Beirut until they expelled the Palestinians from Lebanon. See while the IDF did not reach Tyre let alone Beirut in this operation (2024), the depth of the damage they caused reached farther. However the damage was not intended to win the war only, but to ensure that there will be no threat again.

That concept of ensuring there is no threat, is what we have witnessed for years in the West Bank, where the IDF would pre-emptively arrest youth and place them under administrative detention not because they broke the law, but because they can be classified as youth who could in the future become a threat. So the IDF decided to arrest them.

This behavior started there (at a large scale), however there was another behavior that started in the West Bank and we would later see at a much wider scale in Lebanon and Gaza, and it is the demolition of houses and towns. There, the IDF would demolish the house of a resistance fighter that killed an Israeli. The demolition is considered collective punishment because the house in most cases belongs to several other family members

With no one to stop this behavior, the IDF implemented it as core project in the invasion of Lebanon and Gaza in 2023-2024. The only difference is, in Gaza the strip was destroyed as a collective punishment for 7-Oct and to ensure the Palestinians have no were to go in preparation of Trump's 2025 plan for mass exodus. Where as in Lebanon, the goal was to create a buffer zone where locals are unable to return homes for years, and ensure Hezbullah cannot come back because without the locals, Hezbullah does not exist.

This is in regards to the demolishment, however the equivalent of administration detention in the new doctrine in the elimination of threats through creating a new set of rules on the ground that dictate a new threat is not allowed to emerge in the future. This is the same motto from the West Bank but covers now countries and whole organizations.
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In IDF's doctrine now, Hezbullah was defeated and after this defeat, Hezbullah should not be allowed to establish itself again even if Hezbullah and Lebanon adhere strictly to the ceasefire agreement. It does not matter if Hezbullah disarmed south of the Litani river and it does not matter if Hezbullah is not threating to attack Israel. As long as there is a Hezbullah who carries an anti-Israel ideology, Israel will continue to see him as the historic threat he was and act based on that.

See today's large wave of Israeli attacks are not an exclusive example of this. The violent attacks can be classified under how Israel perceives Lebanon today, as weak and vulnerable with no foe on par and wants to exert a price too high for such a negligible attack from Lebanon. Even with Hezbullah's denial, the IDF attacked Hezbullah because they know they are the only meaningful future threat. The lack of proportionality is a message of strength and an act to yet again comfort the settlers and punish the Lebanese. This attack happened because we lost the deterrence during this war and the Lebanese state failed to uphold the 5-member committee to its obligations to set a leach on Israel.

See, the ceasefire agreement was close to perfect had it been implemented as it should be. Like it or not, Hezbullah largely disarmed in south of the Litani river and handed many key positions to the Lebanese state. Similarly, the U.S has confirmed that the Lebanese army has destroyed countless Hezbullah rockets and the U.N confirmed that Hezbullah did not attempt any military movement in the border area since the ceasefire in November.

The Lebanese army claims to have dismantled more than 400 infrastructure owned by hezbullah.

Despite that, Israel not only demolished the border towns during the ceasefire, and not only did they occupy major hills in south Lebanon and created a buffer zone against the clear stipulation in the ceasefire agreement to fully withdraw, they have attacked without any provocation countless of Hezbullah's assets in Beqaa and north of the Litani river. They also assassinated many members in civilian life, when the ceasefire agreements was clear: No buffer zone, no more armed conflict.
These violations are in the thousands, and day after day continue to be painful despite Lebanon's adherence to the agreement. Hope the above explained the doctrine and I was very brief, else I would have given a much much longer explanation.

Based on this new doctrine, the IDF had the green light to nullify the worth of these agreements including the 1701 UN decree. The issue is, there is no one to exert pressure on Israel, even though Lebanon is a state whose president today is a favorite of the Arabs and Americans. Every Israeli attack on Lebanon is a violation, every Israeli retaliation that is not proportional is a violation, and with every passing second of the Israel presence on Lebanese lands and air activity they are in aggression.
These actions are enough to void the 1701 and the ceasefire agreement, however in our world the UN is too weak to be a meaningful institute and the head of the ceasefire committee is an American general who is clearly biased towards Israel. So what is the solution.

Clearly Hezbullah has no intention to fight now, especially with no funds to rebuild yet and Syria's collapse. Not only that, Hezbullah is still far from concluding the investigations into the mishaps of the previous war and the gaps that led to these results. The conditions are not ripe. For that, Hezbullah through its full adherence to the ceasefire agreement wants to buy time and at the same time succumb itself to the changes in Lebanon that have put it at odds with the new leadership. It is a win win situation where they lay low and let the Lebanese state uphold the responsibility of security that it always have claimed is its sole duty.
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Here i would like to stress that Hezbullah did not exit the war with conditions that put Lebanon under a state of submission that legitimize the Israeli actions and now begging the state for help. Not at all, the war ended with a ceasefire agreement that stipulated a full withdrawal from Lebanon and end of military attacks from both sides. The agreement is as close to perfect as it gets.

Despite that, the IDF violated and did what it did. What will the Lebanese state do? Diplomacy. See here is the issue that we want to tackle. How effective is diplomacy and will it ever achieve anything.

Diplomacy is a funny term and honestly I liken it to dhimmism. Unless you are a big powerful state who can use words backed your strong military to get what you want, diplomacy is futile and is begging someone to help because you are too weak and your foe disregards you. This is particularly correct when it comes to Israel. See, diplomacy did not stop the Russian aggression of Ukraine for e.g. nor did diplomacy stop any war. And when it worked, it was only ever backed by the words of strong states or the results of a war.

In the case of Israel, forget about occupying Lebanon and the attacks that fell on deaf ears of the UN, US, France, etc. Think of Gaza and the children who were killed. If the world failed to even lift a finger for this grave grave crime, do you think they will care to give weight to Jewish actions in Lebanon. Haaretz describes the IDF war in Gaza to one the biggest massacres against children in recent history. Children.

If nothing was done for the sake of those innocent children whose bodies were shredded beyond recognition, why would diplomacy work in Lebanon and why would they force Israel to adhere to any agreements. For decades, Israel has focused on building a military that can be classified as the most superior in the Middle East and they have achieved that. The U.S ensured that only through this superiority can Israel survive. Where was diplomacy for Israel and why did they never ask for it.
Like it or nor, we live in a cruel world that does not care about laws and resolutions and the survival is only for the fit. What is quite ironic is when some Lebanese celebrated the release of 5 prisoners from Israel, calling it the fruits of diplomacy. However it was shortly discovered that these 5 civilians were kidnapped from inside Lebanon during the ceasefire (after the end of the war) and one was a Lebanese army soldier who was shot.

And Since Feb, diplomacy has failed to stop Israeli attacks and has failed from forcing the IDF to leave Lebanon as stipulated by the ceasefire agreement, as the only term with a timeframe. Imagine.
Diplomacy is when you have leverage and Lebanon has none, not because Hezbullah is weak, but because verses Israel no one has leverage. Israel is safeguarded the strongest and most lethal empire in the worlds†history, the United State of America.

What is intriguing, had the IDF left Lebanon within a diplomatic forum and released the prisoners, and then abstained from attacks while the Lebanese government stripped Hezbullahâ€s resistance from its slogans and statements, Hezbullahâ€s legitimacy could have been tarnished because Israel and the state would have presented an alternative that would secure Lebanon's sovereignty at no costs.

Yet the arrogance of the wicked Jews and the new doctrine did not even allow this scenario to be entertained. The Lebanese state acknowledges shyly that the Israeli actions are aggression and that Israel has rejected all diplomatic propositions to withdraw from these hills, including building UN bases there or even French troops as a safeguard mechanism.

This arrogance is what is showcasing to us again, why diplomacy is a farce.
I ask, when do we start judging the diplomatic efforts? When do we start saying its been X long and the diplomatic efforts did not yield any results. When do start saying diplomacy failed?
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See, diplomacy is not a bad thing. Oh how I wish for this to be solved diplomacy and we not face another bloodshed and for us Lebanese in the south to build our houses and our business and know we are not risking losing it all one day. However with Israel, diplomacy will never work, because Israel is Israel.

Diplomacy did not work in 1978, 1982, 1985, 1993, 1996, 2000, 2006, etc. It did not liberate the lands nor the prisoners.

Set all aside, what did Syria do to get attacked by the IDF? What did Syria do to trigger not only the waves of attacks that deeply damaged the state's assets but now get its south fully under Israeli fire and partial occupation and daily incursions. Do you understand that Israel is now no where near a position where it is ready to concede to anyone inferior to it nor is it willing to adhere to any law or stipulations?

Israel is willing to sacrifice its hostages in an attempt to erase Gaza and ensure no other 7-oct happens ever again. So do you think the IDF will accept to leave the Lebanese hills that are the only factor of comfort for its settlers to come home. The same settlers who were not satisfied by the unprecedented results of the Israel war in Lebanon and are demanding much much more!?

For now, the state has to make a clear choice of not giving Israel the pretext to attack Lebanon.

Unfortunately the state is now stuck with an PM who comes from anti-Hezb political background with a prestigious CV who speaks in an Egyptian accent on Saudi TV and surrounds himself with NGO-funded and soros-backed Ministers …. and a president who is taking his power from the US and the Arab gulf states who pressured everyone to elect him. I do have more faith from Aoun than from Nawaf, but the gravity of how much the US and Saudi Arabia wanted him to be elected is just a very worrisome factor for me. What did he promise them or what did he guarantee?

Regardless, the state should continue the diplomatic effort because if it achieves anything through it, it would a blessing for Lebanon and for Hezbullah, who does not seek war for pleasure but is forced under duty.

With diplomatic efforts and the lack of action by Hezbullah, the Israeli pretext for attacks and occupation diminishes and the lack of results legitimizes a resistance who Hezbullah will be it. I do not personally see any changes in Israel actions and only hope to see them disengage with a new PM after the 2026 elections. So to say atleast, it will be a rough 2 years.

When Hezbullah resumes activity, I have high hopes that Hezbullah would have filled the gaps in terms of resolving breaches and found solutions to offset some of the new Israeli tactics in warfare. See, that IF itself is what the IDF attacks Lebanon based on, under its new doctrine.
When Hezbullah attacks, I hope it drives this battle in a very smart way, and limits attacks against IDF bases in Lebanon only and strictly ensures it does not harm Israeli settlements or bases in Israel, not even Shebaa farms.

This is not for Israel's sake or even the world's but for the Lebanese and the rhetoric that is much needed to justify their actions which could lead to a negative impact on the lives of tens of thousands.

Hezbullah is not in a rush to liberate these hills, as the IDF so far is not using them to send troops to raid Lebanese towns and Hezbullah is not in a rush to liberate the border wall. Time is on our side and so is the rhetoric. Priority now is to deal with people's wellbeing, rebuilding, compensations, etc..

However the clear challenge today is how to deal with this new Israeli doctrine that is behind the daily Israeli violations at a time where diplomacy is failing to produce results. When does the IDF attack deeper in Lebanon and what protects Lebaonn from an Israeli false flag that would be the pretext to attack buildings in Beirut and assassinating senior Hezbullah officials whom the IDF so far has both abstained regarding some and does not know the whereabouts of some.
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The Israeli invasion which I likened earlier to today's doctrine started over a botched assassination attempt against an Israeli official after a series of dozens of Israeli falseflags that intended to drive the Palestinians to attack to give the jews the pretext they needed to invade.

Here is a PDF about these falseflags:
https://news.1rj.ru/str/LebPublications/5

Finally, disregard two types of people who will never argue you with good faith. One that calls to normalize with Israel and wants to be friends and buddies with those who have occupied us and murdered us for decades nor argue with someone whose hate for Hezbullah had blinded him and made him justify the Israeli attacks in Lebanon

Their argument is weak, but as Imam Ali says: I have never debated a fool who did not defeat me
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🇱🇧l🇮🇱l🇺🇸 Did I ever mention how much I hate American politicians?

NSC Spokesman Brian Hughes on Lebanon-Israel tensions:

“We fully support Israel in its response to terrorists launching rockets into Israeli territory. It is the Lebanese government’s responsibility to prevent terrorists from attacking Lebanon’s neighbors from Lebanese territory. These terrorists have ruined Lebanon for far too long, and we urge the Lebanese government to take the appropriate steps to take its country back. The US will judge the Lebanese government based on how it responds to these terrorists.”
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📸 This morning, the IDF attacked a vehicle in the border town of Aita al-Shaab.

Of course no one will care to issue a condemnation nor will the Lebanese state scramble to act
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🥀 The attack murdered Hassan Ne'meh el-Zain
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- The IDF attacked some of the premade houses in Naqoura

- The IDF carried a drone strike near its base in Labouneh area in Lebanon

- Israeli jets and drones are active over south Lebanon
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Lebanese News and Updates
📹 Tonight the IDF attacked a caffe in Aita al-Shaab which was empty

The caffe was built by its owner so he can return back to his hometown and restart his business.
Remember this coffee shop that the IDF attacked at dawn?

It was owned by the Hassan al-Zein whom they struck his car and killed him this morning!
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Israeli quadcopter drones dropped bombs destroying the premade houses in the town of Sheheen.

The IDF is doing everything to sabotage the people's return home, amid deafening silence from the ceasefire committee
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A civilian was injured when the IDF dropped a bomb at a bulldozer near him in Yaroun, which was working to remove rubble.
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Israel Defense Forces
IDF: Earlier today (Sunday), a Hezbollah terrorist was struck and eliminated by the IDF in the area of Ayta ash Shab in southern Lebanon.
They didn't accuse him of doing anything, he didn't do anything.

He was only in civilian life checking on his damaged coffe shop. They didn't need an excuse for this extrajudicial murder in violation of the ceasefire.
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❗️Three Israeli drones have been flying over Zahrani at low altitude without making any sound for some time.

This is always a prerequisite for assassinations
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ليلة القدر بالعمق هي ليلة الدعاء، وليلة توجُّه إلى الله سبحانه وتعالى..

سيد شهداء الأمة سماحة السيد حسن نصرالله (قده)

#إنا_على_العهد
#بلاغ
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