Threat of neptunes lifted

Activity on Russian strategic comms suggests that redeployments of Tu-95/160s could be carried out from Ukrainka and/or Belaya Airbase in the far east of Russia.

The first Gerans enter Kyiv Oblast

Repeated KAB launches to Orikhiv, Zaporizhzhia Oblast. More than usual.

Repeated launches of UAVs from Odesa to Crimea

New Geran-2 drones enter southern Sumy Oblast

KAB launches to Kramatorsk district, Donetsk Oblast

More Ukrainian UAVs enter Belgorod Oblast

40+ UAVs to/through Belgorod Oblast

Explosions outside Sumy City. Gerans.

Repeated explosions in Kremenchuk, Poltava Oblast. Gerans.

KAB launches to Bilopillya and Richky, Sumy Oblast.

Explosions in Mykolaiv Oblast. Gerans

6 Su-34/35s are airborne in Kursk Oblast. Repeated launches of KABs to Sumy Oblast are expected.

Repeated KAB launches to Billopilya, Sumy Oblast.

~75 Gerans in Ukrainian airspace

KAB launches to Yunakivka/Khotin, Sumy Oblast

Repeated KAB launches to Yunakivka/Khotin, Sumy Oblast

Iskander threat from Kursk

KAB launches to Yunakivka, Sumy Oblast

Activity of S-300/400 Air defence against Ukrainian UAVs. No Iskander launches will occur.