Ukraine and the EU have released a joint statement:
Here are the key points:
There should be a full and unconditional ceasefire for at least 30 days. If Russia calls for such conditions, this can only be considered as an effort to prolong the war and undermine diplomacy.
The ceasefire requires effective monitoring, which could be successfully implemented in close coordination with the United States.
The ceasefire should last for at least 30 days to create room for diplomacy. During this period, diplomatic work should focus on outlining the security, political and humanitarian foundations of peace.
The strengthening of Ukraine’s Defence and Security Forces will be the primary guarantee of Ukraine’s sovereignty and security.
A key element of security guarantees to Ukraine should also be a reassurance force.
If Russia refuses a full and unconditional ceasefire, stronger sanctions should be applied to its banking and energy sectors, targeting fossil fuels, oil and the shadow fleet.
Putin will make an announcement in roughly 20 minutes.
Here are the key points:
There should be a full and unconditional ceasefire for at least 30 days. If Russia calls for such conditions, this can only be considered as an effort to prolong the war and undermine diplomacy.
The ceasefire requires effective monitoring, which could be successfully implemented in close coordination with the United States.
The ceasefire should last for at least 30 days to create room for diplomacy. During this period, diplomatic work should focus on outlining the security, political and humanitarian foundations of peace.
The strengthening of Ukraine’s Defence and Security Forces will be the primary guarantee of Ukraine’s sovereignty and security.
A key element of security guarantees to Ukraine should also be a reassurance force.
If Russia refuses a full and unconditional ceasefire, stronger sanctions should be applied to its banking and energy sectors, targeting fossil fuels, oil and the shadow fleet.
Putin will make an announcement in roughly 20 minutes.
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Putin is currently meeting with the leader of South Ossetia, and will make a live announcement in 6 minutes, at the exact time the ceasefire is set to end.
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Peskov has said to reporters that no questions will be asked, and that Putin will make a statement.
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TASS reports that Putin's statement will sum up the last 4 working days.
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Possible launches of Russian Geran-2 drones from Shatalove airbase, Smolensk Oblast.
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Possible launches of Russian Geran-2 drones from Primorsk-Akhtarsk Air Base, Krasnodar Krai.
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Putin's address has begun. He is giving a congratulation for Victory day.
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Possible launches of Russian Geran-2 drones from Millerevo airbase, Rostov Oblast.
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Putin has offered direct negotiations in Istanbul, stating that "We need to ensure long-lasting peace in the historical context".
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Most of the speech was just fluff, but Putin is going to speak with Turkish President Erdogan tomorrow. He wants the talks to start on May 15.
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Forwarded from Suriyakmaps (Suriyak)
Syrian Civil War [9/5/2025]: 🇸🇾
Situation south of Syria: The IDF completed the new base in Quneitra governorate located at the top of Tall al Ahmar al Gharbi (32°59'50.8 “N 35°53'03.7 ”E) after taking this position last December. Israeli forces continue to consolidate in the newly occupied area.🇸🇾🇮🇱
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1liqnO9iSvshTLwgPB3q9sJTgfUI&ll=33.00686882004418%2C35.93184765411336&z=12 ]
Situation south of Syria: The IDF completed the new base in Quneitra governorate located at the top of Tall al Ahmar al Gharbi (32°59'50.8 “N 35°53'03.7 ”E) after taking this position last December. Israeli forces continue to consolidate in the newly occupied area.🇸🇾🇮🇱
Map: [ https://www.google.com/maps/d/viewer?mid=1liqnO9iSvshTLwgPB3q9sJTgfUI&ll=33.00686882004418%2C35.93184765411336&z=12 ]
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Its wild to me that these so-called "Experts" still haven't grasped the concept of attritional warfare.
Advances in a war of attrition are NOT linear. The goal is to wear down your enemy to the point where he cannot fight anymore. Only then will the "Big-arrow" advances occur.
Anyone saying "Russia needs x number of years to capture the Donbas at the current rate of advance" either doesn't know what they are talking about or is pushing a narrative to appease an audience or certain officials.
Russia's current tactic of pushing in one area, drawing Ukrainian units from other parts of the frontline, and then pushing in another area, whether that be in the area where the units were taken from, or another weak or critical part of the frontline is working well for them. It's about stretching, probing and pressuring different parts of the frontline, while wearing down Ukraine's capability to fight on the frontline and in the rear.
The Tatarigami team has released solid assessments and analyses in the past and is generally better than most of the Pro-Ukrainian community, but when it comes to this topic, I think they are just trying to maintain their viewership by saying what the masses want to hear. This directly contributes to the levels of delusion seen in the information space.
Advances in a war of attrition are NOT linear. The goal is to wear down your enemy to the point where he cannot fight anymore. Only then will the "Big-arrow" advances occur.
Anyone saying "Russia needs x number of years to capture the Donbas at the current rate of advance" either doesn't know what they are talking about or is pushing a narrative to appease an audience or certain officials.
Russia's current tactic of pushing in one area, drawing Ukrainian units from other parts of the frontline, and then pushing in another area, whether that be in the area where the units were taken from, or another weak or critical part of the frontline is working well for them. It's about stretching, probing and pressuring different parts of the frontline, while wearing down Ukraine's capability to fight on the frontline and in the rear.
The Tatarigami team has released solid assessments and analyses in the past and is generally better than most of the Pro-Ukrainian community, but when it comes to this topic, I think they are just trying to maintain their viewership by saying what the masses want to hear. This directly contributes to the levels of delusion seen in the information space.
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Newly published satellite imagery shows that the number of Tu-95MS and Tu-160 strategic bombers stationed at Belaya Airbase in Irkutsk Oblast has not changed, with all 8 Tu-95s and 7 Tu-160s still remaining there. A number of Il-78 tankers and Il-76MD military transport aircraft have landed there, however since May 7, only Il-78s have flown there.
Meanwhile closer to Ukraine, satellite imagery shows that at Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, there is only one Tu-95MS and no Tu-160s. Since this imagery was published, this aircraft flew from Olenya to Engels-2 Airbase in Saratov Oblast. This means that the number of Tu-95s stationed at Engels-2 has increased to 3, in addition to the 2 Tu-160s already stationed there. The numbers at Diaghilev Airbase in Ryazan Oblast remain unchanged (2 Tu-95s)
So, in total we have:
Belaya Airbase: 8 Tu-95s, 7 Tu-160s
Engels-2 Airbase: 3 Tu-95s, 2 Tu-160s
Diaghilev Airbase: 2 Tu-95s
Olenya Airbase: No strategic bombers.
Satellite imagery purchased by:
t.me/StrategicAviationT
t.me/the_first_online
Meanwhile closer to Ukraine, satellite imagery shows that at Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast, there is only one Tu-95MS and no Tu-160s. Since this imagery was published, this aircraft flew from Olenya to Engels-2 Airbase in Saratov Oblast. This means that the number of Tu-95s stationed at Engels-2 has increased to 3, in addition to the 2 Tu-160s already stationed there. The numbers at Diaghilev Airbase in Ryazan Oblast remain unchanged (2 Tu-95s)
So, in total we have:
Belaya Airbase: 8 Tu-95s, 7 Tu-160s
Engels-2 Airbase: 3 Tu-95s, 2 Tu-160s
Diaghilev Airbase: 2 Tu-95s
Olenya Airbase: No strategic bombers.
Satellite imagery purchased by:
t.me/StrategicAviationT
t.me/the_first_online
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