Geolocated footage from two days ago indicates that Ukrainian forces broke through Russian positions in the Kursk border village of Gordeevka, and advanced for more than 7km northwards, capturing the settlements of Vnezapnoe and Viktorovka, raising their flag over the latter.
Reliable reports also indicate that Ukrainian forces captured the village of Upsenovka and advanced to positions further north, although this remains unconfirmed.
The Russian MOD claimed that all attacks were repelled in the Gordeevka area, however this is apparently untrue as the AFU has been geolocated 7km north of the border.
Keep in mind that Ukrainian forces likely suffered heavy losses during previous attempts to break through near Gordeevka, and the attacks only succeeded following a lot of pressure being exerted on the Russian border guards.
Reliable reports also indicate that Ukrainian forces captured the village of Upsenovka and advanced to positions further north, although this remains unconfirmed.
The Russian MOD claimed that all attacks were repelled in the Gordeevka area, however this is apparently untrue as the AFU has been geolocated 7km north of the border.
Keep in mind that Ukrainian forces likely suffered heavy losses during previous attempts to break through near Gordeevka, and the attacks only succeeded following a lot of pressure being exerted on the Russian border guards.
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Following the reports of intense artillery duels near the Kursk border village of Tetkino, Russian sources reported that Russian forces withdrew across the Seym river and took up defensive positions near Tetkino, and that Ukrainian forces advanced into the area west of the river.
Pro-Ukrainian source Deepstate was more conservative in their maps, with them showing that the Russians had only been slightly pushed back, but that most of the area was in a contested grey zone, or an "unknown status" as they call it.
It's important to note that Tetkino was where All Russian Pro Ukrainian forces such as the RDK and LSR crossed over the international border early this year and attempted to seize control over Tetkino, but failed.
It's possible that we may see an offensive launched from the west, directly into Tetkino with fire support being provided from the other side of Seym river.
(Green on the map is likely Ukrainian advances)
Pro-Ukrainian source Deepstate was more conservative in their maps, with them showing that the Russians had only been slightly pushed back, but that most of the area was in a contested grey zone, or an "unknown status" as they call it.
It's important to note that Tetkino was where All Russian Pro Ukrainian forces such as the RDK and LSR crossed over the international border early this year and attempted to seize control over Tetkino, but failed.
It's possible that we may see an offensive launched from the west, directly into Tetkino with fire support being provided from the other side of Seym river.
(Green on the map is likely Ukrainian advances)
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A ballistic missile was launched at Kyiv city. An explosion was reported.
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Ukrainian monitor channels are very behind as you can probably tell.
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It's possible that there will be one more launch. The OTRK is still active.
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Explosions in Nizhyn (Chernihiv Oblast) and Konotop (Sumy Oblast) That might be the last of the Shahed drones for the day.
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AMK Mapping
Explosions in Nizhyn (Chernihiv Oblast) and Konotop (Sumy Oblast) That might be the last of the Shahed drones for the day.
Nevermind, there are still 2-4 flying to Kyiv.
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There are reports that over the past 24 hours, Russian forces captured the villages of Zhuravka and Krutyi Yar, and seized the Terykon (Industrial waste heap) near the northern outskirts of Novohrodivka.
If true, this would allow the Russians to gain fire control over Ukrainian positions by the railway line and in the northern part of Novohrodivka. Russian forces would also likely start assaulting Krasnyi Yar and Mykolaivka in the near future to protect their northern flank.
If true, this would allow the Russians to gain fire control over Ukrainian positions by the railway line and in the northern part of Novohrodivka. Russian forces would also likely start assaulting Krasnyi Yar and Mykolaivka in the near future to protect their northern flank.
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Geolocated footage and reliable reports indicate that Russian forces continue to exploit their localised breakthrough near Zhelanne, and have advanced further south to the source of the Vovcha river.
Footage shows that Russian forces advanced by ~900m in a southerly direction, capturing Ukrainian trench fortifications.
Reliable reports indicate that Russian forces captured the rest of Mykolaivka and have additionally advanced and captured all of Novozhelanne north of the Vovcha river, along with the nearby tree lines, however, these reports have not been confirmed.
Overall, it appears that Russian forces continue to advance in an attritional manner behind the Ukrainian fortifications on the western bank of the Vovcha river while simultaneously advancing to the E50 highway which resupplies Karlivka and Kalynove.
Footage shows that Russian forces advanced by ~900m in a southerly direction, capturing Ukrainian trench fortifications.
Reliable reports indicate that Russian forces captured the rest of Mykolaivka and have additionally advanced and captured all of Novozhelanne north of the Vovcha river, along with the nearby tree lines, however, these reports have not been confirmed.
Overall, it appears that Russian forces continue to advance in an attritional manner behind the Ukrainian fortifications on the western bank of the Vovcha river while simultaneously advancing to the E50 highway which resupplies Karlivka and Kalynove.
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Regarding the situation in Niu-York:
Over the past 24-48 hours, Russian forces have likely made significant progress inside Niu-York, capturing most if not all of the town
Reliable reports indicate that Russian forces advanced from their western bridgehead on the northern bank of a tributary of the Kryvyi Torets river, breaking through Ukrainian positions and reaching the main part of the Kryvyi Torets river from the west. They then likely crossed the river and entered the first houses of the village of Nelipivka.
They also likely simultaneously advanced from their positions in the centre of the town, up the railway line to the northernmost residential area. This essentially puts two groupings of Ukrainian forces in an operational encirclement.
The largest of these groupings is stationed in the large industrial area, which has been subjected to bombardments from FAB glide bombs. There may also be a smaller Ukrainian grouping in the remaining residential street near the industrial zone, although some reports are already suggesting that this pocket was cleared.
There are some reports that Russian forces have completely captured Niu-York, although from what I've seen, combing operations are still ongoing.
Overall, it appears that one of Ukraine's most fortified strongholds in the entire country is about to or already has fallen to the Russian army. This will pave the way for future assaults on Nelipivka and eventually Toretsk itself.
Colours for the map:
Red = Confirmed Russian control
Purple = Likely Russian control
Over the past 24-48 hours, Russian forces have likely made significant progress inside Niu-York, capturing most if not all of the town
Reliable reports indicate that Russian forces advanced from their western bridgehead on the northern bank of a tributary of the Kryvyi Torets river, breaking through Ukrainian positions and reaching the main part of the Kryvyi Torets river from the west. They then likely crossed the river and entered the first houses of the village of Nelipivka.
They also likely simultaneously advanced from their positions in the centre of the town, up the railway line to the northernmost residential area. This essentially puts two groupings of Ukrainian forces in an operational encirclement.
The largest of these groupings is stationed in the large industrial area, which has been subjected to bombardments from FAB glide bombs. There may also be a smaller Ukrainian grouping in the remaining residential street near the industrial zone, although some reports are already suggesting that this pocket was cleared.
There are some reports that Russian forces have completely captured Niu-York, although from what I've seen, combing operations are still ongoing.
Overall, it appears that one of Ukraine's most fortified strongholds in the entire country is about to or already has fallen to the Russian army. This will pave the way for future assaults on Nelipivka and eventually Toretsk itself.
Colours for the map:
Red = Confirmed Russian control
Purple = Likely Russian control
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Forwarded from /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (Fren Bobbie)
🇺🇦🇷🇺📝 With the frontline inching ever closer and two of the three defensive lines in front of the city having been broken through, let's talk about the importance of Pokrovsk.
🔸 Pokrovsk is located in the western Donbass, on the M30 highway. The Donbass is often depicted as the territory of Donetsk and Lugansk oblasts, but that is not correct -- the Donets Coal Basin stretches all the way to Pavlograd in Dnepropetrovsk oblast. The M30 highway connects Donetsk to Pokrovsk to Pavlograd to Dnepropetrovsk; it is also the main route from Kiev to Donetsk. It is the central supply artery for all supply that reaches the Ukrainian forces in the Donbass (there's still the M03 from Kharkov, but it's less convenient and has always been secondary, particularly for the southern half of the Donbass).
🔸 When it was further from the frontlines, Pokrovsk was a perfect operational rear for the AFU in the Donbass, capable of quickly supplying Ukrainian troops near Donetsk, Gorlovka, and Artemovsk/Bakhmut. It has a perfect connection to the AFU's strategic rear in Pavlograd (you may remember various Russian air strikes against railway infrastructure in Pavlograd).
🔸 West of Pokrovsk, there are a hundred kilometers of nothing. Empty steppes until you hit Pavlograd in the northwest, Zaporozhye in the southwest. There are various operations RuAF could employ after capturing Pokrovsk; we will look at them later, when the deed is actually done. But what's important is that it opens up operational space for the Russian "Center" group and gives them freedom of movement.
🔸 Additionally, Pokrovsk is a major railway hub, and is located on one of the two rail arteries that can be used to supply the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, and control over it would unlock the entire Donbass railway junction for Russia.
🔗 RWA
🔸 Pokrovsk is located in the western Donbass, on the M30 highway. The Donbass is often depicted as the territory of Donetsk and Lugansk oblasts, but that is not correct -- the Donets Coal Basin stretches all the way to Pavlograd in Dnepropetrovsk oblast. The M30 highway connects Donetsk to Pokrovsk to Pavlograd to Dnepropetrovsk; it is also the main route from Kiev to Donetsk. It is the central supply artery for all supply that reaches the Ukrainian forces in the Donbass (there's still the M03 from Kharkov, but it's less convenient and has always been secondary, particularly for the southern half of the Donbass).
🔸 When it was further from the frontlines, Pokrovsk was a perfect operational rear for the AFU in the Donbass, capable of quickly supplying Ukrainian troops near Donetsk, Gorlovka, and Artemovsk/Bakhmut. It has a perfect connection to the AFU's strategic rear in Pavlograd (you may remember various Russian air strikes against railway infrastructure in Pavlograd).
🔸 West of Pokrovsk, there are a hundred kilometers of nothing. Empty steppes until you hit Pavlograd in the northwest, Zaporozhye in the southwest. There are various operations RuAF could employ after capturing Pokrovsk; we will look at them later, when the deed is actually done. But what's important is that it opens up operational space for the Russian "Center" group and gives them freedom of movement.
🔸 Additionally, Pokrovsk is a major railway hub, and is located on one of the two rail arteries that can be used to supply the Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration, and control over it would unlock the entire Donbass railway junction for Russia.
🔗 RWA
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