A 4th Kalibr missile carrier has been deployed to the waters of the Black Sea, bringing the total possible salvo to 28 Kalibr cruise missiles. There is a high probability of Kalibr launches in the next 1-2 hours.

In my opinion, the single Tu-95MS from Olenya will launch Kh-101 cruise missiles in conjunction with Tu-95s and possibly Tu-160(s) from Engels-2 Airbase, while the Kalibrs are launched from the Black Sea and Iskander Ballistic missiles are launched from OTRK installations at various positions.

Israeli drone strike on one of the target buildings in Ain Qana, southern Lebanon.

New Israeli fighter jets are flying north over southern Lebanon.

13th Israeli airstrike on southern Beirut.

~105 Geran-2 drones in Ukrainian airspace

Israeli airstrike on Ain-Qana, southern Lebanon.

A second Israeli airstrike targets Ain Qana. Probably hitting the other warned building.

Clarification: 2 Tu-95s are airborne from Olenya. It appears that other redeployments to Olenya took place that I and others was unaware of.

They are flying southeast over Arkhangelske Oblast towards the first set of launch lines in Penza Oblast. They likely wont launch there and will fly further southeast to the 2nd set of launch lines in Engels district of Saratov Oblast.

2 more airstrikes on Ain Qana, southern Lebanon. 4 in total now.

Secondary detonations are heard.

Smoke is rising over Ain Qana.

Russian Tu-95MS bombers departed from Engels-2 Airbase. The number is being specified.

As expected.

Scenes from Bryansk airport. Secondary detonations can be heard, and another UAV has impacted its target.

Explosion in Kyiv. Gerans.

4 impacts have also been recorded in Bilhorod Dnistrivskyi, Odesa Oblast and 2 in Chernihiv City.

Saturation for air defence.

So far, only 1 Tu-95 departure from Engels-2 Airbase in Saratov Oblast has been confirmed. Departures of Tu-160(s) are a possibility.

As of earlier today, there were 4 Tu-95s and 2 Tu-160s known to be at Engels-2. More may have been redeployed that I am unaware of.

Meanwhile, some of the Gerans seem to be transiting through Kyiv Oblast to Zhytomyr/Starokostyantyniv. Any missiles from the bombers may target these areas (aka, Ozerne Airbase or Starokostyantyniv airbase).