Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced into Synkivka in the Kupyansk direction and captured most of the village.

A video surfaced yesterday showing a Russian soldier attaching the Russian flag to the school in the centre of Synkivka, showing that Ukrainian forces had been pushed from the majority of the village.

However, an hour later, reports from the ground came in stating that combing operations were still ongoing, and that Ukrainian forces were conducting a fighting withdrawal after Ukrainian troops simply left their positions in the main part of the village.

This advance opens up opportunities for future advances on Petropavlivka, which then leads to the key city of Kupyansk.

A Russian cruise missile was launched at Zaporizhzhia.

An explosion was reported in Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

The Atlas oil refinery in Rostov Oblast has now been burning for nearly three days.

There is high activity of Russian reconnaissance drones over Ukraine right now.

2 Supercam drones were reported in the suburbs of Kharkiv, however, they were both likely shot down.

In Zaporizhzhia, 1 Orlan-10 drone flew near Hulyaipole
towards Zaporizhzhia. Air defence operations were heard in the city as the drone approached. It is unknown whether it was shot down or not.

Meanwhile in the north, a reconnaissance drone of an unknown type flew through Sumy Oblast to Chernihiv, before maneuvering to the south of Kyiv, before turning north to Kyiv city after around the town of Lisny. It was last reported over the Shevchenkiv district of Kyiv city.

Possible Russian missile strike on Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast. Loud explosions were reported near the city a few minutes ago.

Explosion in Kharkiv, KAB strikes.

More explosions.

Repeated launches.

Smoke is rising over the city.

One of the KABS hit the city centre - Kharkiv Mayor Terekhov.

Power outages were reported in parts of Kharkiv.

Update: Information is coming in that the Kharkiv Tractor plant was hit by 2-4 KABs.

I’ve noticed that Russia’s Shahed attacks have become more regular (to the point of being every single day) and much larger (probably about twice the size than they were 2 months ago).

They are also targeting Kyiv more and more often.

This might be a prelude to a larger campaign on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure before winter sets

Ukrainian MP Maryana Bezuglaya stated in her Telegram channel that she has information that Ukrainian commander-in-chief Syrskyi plans to withdraw the 72nd mechanised brigade from Vuhledar.

The 72nd brigade is well known for its successful defence of Vuhledar from front-on attacks for over 2 years, notably including the repelling of the 2023 Russian winter offensive on the town.

Some sources claimed that it is being sent to Kursk, but this is currently unconfirmed.

Reports from Russian and Ukrainian sources suggest that Russian forces have captured the villages of Dolynivka and Halytsynivka in the Ukrainsk direction.

This would mean that Russian forces have established a solid bridgehead on the southern bank of the Vovcha river and may attempt to advance down both banks of it. It would also make assault operations on Ukrainsk much easier for the Russians.

Geolocated footage confirms that Russian forces have captured the rest of Karlivka and the Ukrainian positions on "the peninsula".

Due to the quick Russian progress along the western bank of the Vovcha river, Ukrainian forces conducted a hasty withdrawal from their positions on "the peninsula" in order to avoid being cut off at the chokehold. They held a defence for a couple of days in fortifications west of the Peninsula before being pushed back to the western dachas of Karlivka by a Russian advance from the north.

As for Karlivka itself, Russian forces stormed it from the eastern dachas, capturing the medical centre and entering the main part of the village. The AFU was forced to conduct a fighting withdrawal due to a lack of ammunition. The lack of ammunition was caused by the cutting of the E50 highway which was the main supply route for the garrison stationed in Karlivka.

When Russian forces captured Memryk and advanced on Halytsynivka and Ukrainsk, Ukrainian forces had to finally withdraw south as the last remaining supply route runs through Halytsynivka. This also resulted in the capture of the Karlivka filtration station along with the nearby treelines.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have advanced from positions on the northern bank of the reservoir on the Sukhi Yaly river to the Shakhtar dachas.

Russian infantry managed to clear the dachas within a day or two and are now approaching the O0532 road in another direction. If they are able to cross the road and flatten out the frontline on both banks of the river, then it will support the advance on Katerynivka and allow for assault operations on Antonivka.

I also expect that the rest of the Ukrainian salient south of Pobieda will be closed in the near future.

Russian forces have likely advanced in the direction of Vodyane, and have reportedly come within 400m of the eastern outskirts.

It appears that my prediction that Russian forces will go for Vodyane before Vuhledar in order to prevent the AFU from maintaining partial fire control over the O0532 road was true.

Once Vodyane falls, the last of these tactical heights will fall to the Russians.

Colours for the map:
Red = confirmed Russian control
Purple = likely Russian control

Just realised that this footage is from Kharkiv. Apologies!