2 MiG-31Ks just conducted launch maneuvers

Kinzhals to Zhytomyr Oblast

Flying to Starokostyantyniv, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.

Further to Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast.

2 impacts to the same target that the Kh-101s and Kalibrs hit earlier.

I think one thing that a lot of people underestimate is how many civilians remain in the Pokrovsk area. Pokrovsk alone has thousands of residents still holding out, while Myrnohrad, Rodynske and Hryshyne's residents combined also number in the thousands. I'd estimate over 5,000 in total remain across the 4 settlements.

The last shops and convenience stores closed in Rodynske last week, giving away all of their stock to civilians, but only after the Russians broke through towards the city's eastern outskirts. As of roughly two months ago, a few local shops in Pokrovsk City Centre were still selling basic supplies including food, water, antibiotics, and other medicines, although it's possible that these have since finally closed considering the deteriorating situation on the flanks and intensified Russian bombardment.

On average, 1 civilian in Pokrovsk is killed daily from the Russian artillery, MLRS, drone and FAB bombardment. This is despite its population still numbering in the thousands, its proximity to the frontline, the heavy Ukrainian presence in the city, and its strategic importance to the Russians.

Pokrovsk - as far as I know - was more Anti-Russia than most cities in the Donbas, especially Kramatorsk, Slovyansk, Bakhmut and Donetsk City. Nevertheless, people choose to stay behind, usually because they are waiting for "liberation" or because they have grown up there and lived in the city for their whole lives. It's all they have ever known, so it makes it more difficult to leave to cities further west.

Additionally, many residents who were evacuated from cities such as Avdiivka moved to Pokrovsk and Myrnohrad, yet less than a year later these cities were practically on the frontlines and under heavy Russian bombardment. Many people, especially elderly, do not want to have to go through the struggle or uprooting their lives and relocating once, let alone twice within a year.

Today, a large portion of Pokrovsk, Myrnohrad, Rodynske and Hryshyne's populations are elderly, although many are middle-aged or younger. Most men between the ages of 18 and 60 either escaped or were mobilised. Localised mobilisation efforts were still ongoing in Pokrovsk-Myrnohrad up until 1-2 weeks ago, which had previously been ramped up when extra police and TCC units from other regions were sent to bolster Donetsk's police and TCC force, although I expect these efforts have since halted considering recent events.

The Lukyanovskaya Metro Station in Kyiv was damaged during last night's Geran-2 drone strikes on the city. The Artem Defence plant was the target here, as it is across the road from the metro station.

NASA FIRMS data shows that one of the targets of the Geran-2 drone attack on Kharkiv City was an industrial zone made up of a number of small enterprises in the eastern part of the city. FIRMS data shows that a fire is currently burning there.

Additional FIRMS data shows that a fire is burning from Geran impacts at the Kharkiv State Aircraft Manufacturing Company in the north of the city.

I'd like to make this clear now as I see people talking about this quite a bit - the monitoring channels I use to help track Russian missiles and aircraft movements live are almost always unaffiliated with the Ukrainian government. There are ways to get extremely specific intel through OSINT and insider information. You have to remember, this war has been ongoing for over 3 years, and Russian air tactics remain largely the same. This allows for significant development in knowledge and ability to produce reliable reports as you don't have to account for many other variables. I will probably make a post on this in the near future outlining some channels and how I personally think they gather their data.

An Iskander-M ballistic missile just impacted Kropyvnytskyi City, Kirovohrad Oblast.

Russian forces have captured the village of Varachyne, Yunakivka direction, Sumy Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~62.
Total land area: ~0.30km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Bila Hora, Kostyantynivka direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~78.
Total land area: ~1.53km².

Ukrainian forces have captured the village of Mykolaivka, Pokrovsk direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~364.
Total land area: ~0.56km²

In the Bilopillya direction, Russian forces continued to advance and last week managed to cross the international border, entering the village of Ryzhivka.

After establishing control over most of Tetkino, Russian forces pushed southwest cross the international border from the area of the Tetkino Train Station and established a foothold in the first two streets of Rhyzhivka.

Ryzhivka and Tetkino are effectively the same village and seamlessly merge at the border, making assault operations the same as any other village in Ukraine.

+ ~0.49km² in favour of Russia.

In the Khotin direction, over the past five days Ukraine has been conducting a new operation aimed at recapturing the village of Kindrativka.

After a previous failed attempt at encircling the Russians from the north, Ukrainian soldiers managed to re-infiltrate the northern houses of the village which were previously in the grey zone, while other forces which had been building up on the tactical heights to the west for over a week advanced east towards the centre of the village.

Due to this combined pressure, along with assault operations from the south (unclear if these succeeded), and extensive artillery shelling, Russian forces had to withdraw from the southern and and southwestern parts of the village, pulling back to the centre as well as over the tributary of the Loknya River.

Ukrainian soldiers attempted to infiltrate to the eastern houses of the village prior to this Russian withdrawal but were hit by FAB glide-bombs. FABs also targeted almost every part of the village held by the AFU, causing significant casualties among their forces and slowing their advance.

Russian FAB glide-bombs then struck the bridge between the two reservoirs, connecting the centre to the eastern part of the village, to complicate further Ukrainian movement west. The remaining Russian soldiers were then withdrawn from the village centre.

Despite this extensive bombardment, Ukrainian soldiers managed to cross the tributary and establish positions in a few houses in the northwest of the village. The Russians tried to cut off the Ukrainians in the northwest by attacking to the northern street from the area of the reservoirs but were forced to retreat back after encountering heavy resistance, indicating further Ukrainian reinforcements have been getting brought in.

At the same time, Ukrainian forces had to withdraw from the gulley west of Kindrativka back to the treeline to the south, after being hit by over a dozen FABs and failing to consolidate. It's likely that this was a diversionary attack for the main operation on Kindrativka from the west, tying up Russian forces and complicating their movement in and out of the village.

+ ~4.95km² in favour of Ukraine.

In the Yunakivka direction, Russian forces continued to advance and have made significant progress west of Yunakivka over the past 10 days.

Russian forces advanced on a wide front from the village of Novomykolaivka to Yunakikva. The first assault operations were centred on establishing a presence on the eastern bank of the Snahist River. Using Yablunivka as the main staging ground, Russian forces cleared the rest of the forest and seized the forest plantations on the eastern bank.

From there, they crossed the bridge at the Novomykolaivka - Yablunivka road, establishing control over the forest and pushing up the adjacent treeline. Other forces then crossed the fields to Varachyne, where fierce battles ensued for the eastern houses. Russian forces exploited Ukraine's weakened forward position northwest of Varachyne and was able to push from Novomykolaivka to the intersection of three treelines, applying additional pressure on the Ukrainian soldiers in Varachyne.

Eventually Russian soldiers captured the village, and established full control over the treelines to the north. The soldiers on the eastern bank of the Snahist River continued to push south and reached the next forested area near the source of the river.

+ ~11.80km² in favour of Russia.