Once again, the so-called "experts" are posting the usual statistical slop.
"Russia advanced X amount last year, so it will take them 500 years to take all of Ukraine!"
I cannot believe people still fall for this shit. Advances in a war of attrition are not linear, and this is based off the assumption that Putin wants ALL of Ukraine, rather than the 4 Oblasts (which Russia already controls most of). Does anyone remember how slowly Russia was advancing in 2023? Compare that to now where it is several times faster.
Interestingly, the narrative has shifted from "1,000 years to take Ukraine at the current rate of advance", to "90 years to take Ukraine at the current rate of advance". I wonder why that is...
Also, have you perhaps considered that the reason Putin continues to try to win the war suggests that he knows Russia will win? Or is it too difficult to do critical thinking with actual factual-based analysis these days without automatically being labelled as a Kremlin propagandist, meaning people like you resort to articles backed up by hopium, cherry-picked statistics, and pure assumptions with no logic involved what-so-ever.
"Russia advanced X amount last year, so it will take them 500 years to take all of Ukraine!"
I cannot believe people still fall for this shit. Advances in a war of attrition are not linear, and this is based off the assumption that Putin wants ALL of Ukraine, rather than the 4 Oblasts (which Russia already controls most of). Does anyone remember how slowly Russia was advancing in 2023? Compare that to now where it is several times faster.
Interestingly, the narrative has shifted from "1,000 years to take Ukraine at the current rate of advance", to "90 years to take Ukraine at the current rate of advance". I wonder why that is...
Also, have you perhaps considered that the reason Putin continues to try to win the war suggests that he knows Russia will win? Or is it too difficult to do critical thinking with actual factual-based analysis these days without automatically being labelled as a Kremlin propagandist, meaning people like you resort to articles backed up by hopium, cherry-picked statistics, and pure assumptions with no logic involved what-so-ever.
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AMK Mapping
Once again, the so-called "experts" are posting the usual statistical slop. "Russia advanced X amount last year, so it will take them 500 years to take all of Ukraine!" I cannot believe people still fall for this shit. Advances in a war of attrition are…
All of these twitter posts, all of these analysts, all of these articles, and all of these mainstream news outlets are going to age terribly in the next couple of years.
You may forget, but the internet always remembers.
You may forget, but the internet always remembers.
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Multiple Russian Geran-2 drones impacted the Kulykivka Substation in Kulykivka, Chernihiv Oblast (51.39019, 31.63191).
As a result of this and other attacks, the entirety of northern Chernihiv Oblast is without power. Work is underway to restore it, however, and no changes to the region's blackout schedule have been made.
As a result of this and other attacks, the entirety of northern Chernihiv Oblast is without power. Work is underway to restore it, however, and no changes to the region's blackout schedule have been made.
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Media is too big
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Despite the ceasefire remaining in place, the IDF has continued carrying out controlled demolitions of residential buildings in the Gaza Strip within their controlled territory behind the Yellow Line.
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AMK Mapping
Deepstate reports that Russia carried out a series of mechanised assaults in the Orikhiv direction, western Zaporizhzhia Oblast, today. They stated that Russian forces, using tanks, BMPs, BTRs, and infantry attacked on four assault vectors towards Mala Tokmachka…
Update: A Russian channel with connections on the frontline claims that Russian soldiers entered Novodanylivka (south of Orikhiv).
Keep in mind, all previous Russian attempts to gain a foothold in the village have failed, but this attack does seem to be much larger.
Keep in mind, all previous Russian attempts to gain a foothold in the village have failed, but this attack does seem to be much larger.
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Kharkiv city is currently under a large-scale attack from Russian KAB glide-bombs. At least five impacts so far. Reports state that they are targeting the TEC-5 Power Plant (49.97073, 36.10046).
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AMK Mapping
Kharkiv city is currently under a large-scale attack from Russian KAB glide-bombs. At least five impacts so far. Reports state that they are targeting the TEC-5 Power Plant (49.97073, 36.10046).
A secondary target has also been hit. 4 KABs impacted the power plant, and 4 others impacted something else. The KABs have been launched in two waves so far, 2 hitting each target at a time.
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Two missiles were detected, both S-300 air defence missiles. No Iskander threat.
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Three S-300 missiles (ground-to-ground) struck the Bilopillya area in Sumy Oblast
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A Su-34 is flying to the launch lines in Kherson Oblast from Dzhankoi, Crimea. KAB launches to Ukrainian-controlled Kherson Oblast are expected in the next 15 minutes.
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AMK Mapping
Three S-300 missiles (ground-to-ground) struck the Bilopillya area in Sumy Oblast
Bilopillya District continues to be shelled by S-300s. 2+ more impacts.
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AMK Mapping
A Su-34 is flying to the launch lines in Kherson Oblast from Dzhankoi, Crimea. KAB launches to Ukrainian-controlled Kherson Oblast are expected in the next 15 minutes.
The combat mission was cancelled for some reason. 5 (!) Su-34s flew to the launch lines northwest of Chaplynka, Kherson Oblast, and made a return flight to Crimea.
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Kherson City is currently under attack from Russian Geran-2 drones. At least four impacts have been recorded in the Tavriya District.
1 reconnaissance drone is operating over the Dnipro River, opposite Korobelnyi Island.
1 reconnaissance drone is operating over the Dnipro River, opposite Korobelnyi Island.
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AMK Mapping
The combat mission was cancelled for some reason. 5 (!) Su-34s flew to the launch lines northwest of Chaplynka, Kherson Oblast, and made a return flight to Crimea.
The 5 Su-34s flew something like this while the Gerans were striking Kherson. Very weird.
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AMK Mapping
The 5 Su-34s flew something like this while the Gerans were striking Kherson. Very weird.
Also there were no Su-35 escorts for some reason.
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Regarding the Geran-2 drone strikes on Kherson, here are some videos showing the impacts. Ukrainian air defence in the city attempted to shoot them down but was ineffective. The target was something in the Tavriya District, but I'm not sure exactly what. It doesn't seem to be energy-related.
More Gerans were launched from Hvardiiske Training Ground in Crimea earlier. They may also strike Kherson in the coming hours.
More Gerans were launched from Hvardiiske Training Ground in Crimea earlier. They may also strike Kherson in the coming hours.
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