Geolocated footage from a couple of days ago indicates that Russian forces have advanced north of Kalinina and captured a Ukrainian trench fortification.

After they gained a foothold in the southern part of the forest, Russian forces were able to continue their advance and capture the rest of it. They then advanced down the nearby treelines which they used to advance into the trench fortification. Ukrainian forces withdrew to positions in the next forest, and to the trench fortifications on the western bank of the Siverksy Donets Canal.

This advance will allow for an assault on Hryhorivka from two directions: the east and the south. The forests may also be used as forward troop concentration points for future assault operations across the canal.

There has been no confirmed or claimed movement of the frontlines south of Vuhledar after the initial Russian attack on the Ukrainian held positions in and around the agricultural buildings in northern Pavliivka 5 days ago.

This either means two things:

1. The 110th brigade which was sent to a Vuhledar isn’t as degraded as we previously thought.

2. Part of the 72nd brigade remained in Vuhledar rather than all of it being sent to Selydove.

I’m more inclined to believe the latter as there were reports by Russian sources that the 72nd was still conducting operations there. Additionally, I’m pretty sure that the 110th is still very degraded as it was bombarded by FABs in Avdiivka for months, and went through intense battles for Keramik, Novokalynove and Arkhanhelske. They are also reportedly primarily made up of connoscripts.

I doubt that they alone would be able to repel a frontal attack by the Russians, even though they do hold the high ground in the area. Therefore, It is highly likely in my opinion that 1-2 battalions of the 72nd remained in Vuhledar due to the deteriorating situation, while the rest was sent to Selydove to help the previously deteriorating situation there.

This is another example of Ukraine plugging holes wherever they can, as they get stretched thinner and thinner and is another reason why the Kursk offensive should have never happened. The fact that the AFU is moving battalions between critical areas of the frontline highlights how they have little to no reserves in the rear.

Interesting, I didn’t know the Houthis had missiles like that.

Both Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk cities have been cut off from water and gas. Electricity is only partially available. Bridges leading out the cities are being systematically destroyed by Russian missiles. The situation is critical for those still living there.

Houthi air defences shot down a $30 million dollar US MQ-Reaper drone while it was flying in the airspace of the Dhamar Governorate of Yemen at dawn today.

A reliable source reported that Ukrainian forces have advanced in the Glushkovsky district of Kursk Oblast following a series of cross-border mechanised offensives.

Ukrainian forces have reportedly advanced from positions in Volfyne to the neighboring village of Krasnooktyabr'skiy. Not much is known about how this attack occurred, as reports came in yesterday of a Ukrainian presence there, before being further amplified by a reliable source.

As for the main Ukrainian push, Ukrainian vehicles advanced from the Novyi Put tract to the village of Obukhovka. Ukrainian infantry reportedly captured the entirety of the village, while fighting is ongoing for Veseloe, which has apparently changed hands multiple times.

Additional reports suggest that Ukrainian forces opened up a third vector of attack and reached the Medvezhe tract.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced in the Vuhledar direction, and captured the Pivdennodonbaska 3 coal mine.

Russian forces advanced from their new positions in Vodyane, though the small treeline and infiltrated the mine in small groups. They found that one of the shafts had been heavily mined by Ukrainian forces, so therefore conducted a controlled detonation of it which was caught on camera by a drone.

They were then able to advance further into the complex and capture the Ukrainian positions there. It is also possible that they expanded their area of control along the nearby treeline to the east of the mine to protect their northern flank.

The mine was the last section of the local ridgeline to be captured and will allow the Russians to gain fire control over the nearby gulley. This advance also puts them closer to the last Ukrainian dirt supply road into Vuhledar itself.

Geolocated footage inidctaes that Russian forces made a sudden advance southwest of Ivanivske and crossed the Siversky Donets canal.

Following a reported Ukrainian counterattack, Russian infantry advanced from positions south of Ivanivske and from the highway in a pincer movement, nearly encircling 3 Ukrainian-held strongholds in the forests.

They were then able to cross the canal and establish positions in the forests on the western bank near the village of Stupochy.

The forests that the Russians are advancing in are burning, complicating Russian logistics and rotations.

Ukraine has also reportedly received a new batch of FPV drones which are operating at new low frequencies, and quadcopters equipped with several VOG grenades each.

Russian forces have reportedly recaptured the village of Upsenovka in Kursk Oblast following a series of offensive operations from positions to the west.

This advance puts the Ukrainian logisitcs route that runs through Bilovody and Zhuravka at risk. While the closest possible Russian positions would still be over 3km away from the road, there are no trees in the way of it, meaning that the Russians can force the AFU to use other routes, complicating logistics into Kursk and the evacuation of wounded personnel.

Considering the fact that the AFU obviously can't have large warehouses in Kursk Oblast, the roads connecting them with Sumy Oblast are naturally the "roads of life" and are critical to both defensive and offensive operations there.

Nothing ever happens

Reports from reliable sources suggest that Russian forces continue to advance in the direction of the Oskil river near Kolysynkivka.

Russian forces likely advanced and entered a trench fortification (the one which is orange and blue), and contested it at some point. It is unknown whether or not they are still there and captured it, or if they were repelled by Ukrainian forces.

Meanwhile, other reports suggest that the area in the yellow was taken, which includes one field trench fortification in the north, and a series of treeline positions.

If these reports are true, then it would put the Russians just 2.3km from eastern Kolysynkivka and 3.26km from the Oskil river. To put that in perspective, before the original offensive on the village of Krokhmalne, the Russians were over 17.4km from the Oskil river.

If they reach the river, then the road resupplying the Ukrainian salient to the north will be cut, significantly complicating Ukrainian logistics as the only way to resupply the Northern bridgehead would be to use pontoon bridges across the Oskil river, which will be targeted by Russian airstrikes and artillery.

Around 4 ballistic missiles were launched at Sumy one after another. Powerful explosions were reported.

They reportedly targeted energy infrastructure.

~10 Russian Geran drones were launched from Cape Chauda in Crimea and from Kursk.

As of the time of writing, there are still ~8 drones in the airspace of Ukraine. 1 returned to Kursk Oblast and another disappeared from the radar.

4 Gerans are flying northwest through Mykolaiv Oblast in the direction of Snigurivka, while the other 4 are flying to Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast and Chernihiv Oblast on a western course.

Explosions in Sumy. Geran attacks. This might be the drone which returned to Kursk.

I hate Ukrainian monitor channels. So many scams and fake links.

Everyone knows I’m the map guy (when I rarely have time lol)

Yeah it was. 9 Gerans were recorded over the airspace at once, up from 8.

4 new Gerans were launched from Cape Chauda, Crimea. They are flying through Bashtanka district of Mykolaiv Oblast.

There are now ~11 drones in the airspace of Ukraine.