2-3 missiles, flying through Chernihiv Oblast towards Kyiv

They are flying to Ozerne Airbase, Zhytomyr Oblast.

2 more missiles are flying behind, flying towards Kyiv Oblast.

The first two missiles flew further towards Starokostyantyniv Airbase, Khmelnytskyi Oblast.

2 Kinzhals, 50km from Starokostyantyniv

Explosions in Starokostyantyniv

2 more Kinzhals flying in, ~200 km away in western Kyiv Oblast

Now flying over Zhytomyr Oblast.

100 km away.

50 km

20 seconds away

Approaching

Explosions in Starokostyantyniv

All clear. 4 Kinzhal impacts to Starokostyantyniv Airbase.

Well, there go the 4 MiG-31Ks I reported on before.

Approximate flight paths of the MiG-31K fighters and Kinzhal missiles.

Wake up... First thing I see is AMK Mapping rationing ISW regarding that war is not linear.

Today's going to be a good day

Professional think tank vs teenage BROSINTter.

Who wins?

1 "Varshavyanka" submarine has been deployed from Novorossiysk Naval Base to the Black Sea.

It would make sense if there were a missile attack on Ukraine tonight, excluding strategic bombers.

3-4 Tu-22m3 bombers are airborne right now, redeploying back to Belaya Airbase, Irkutsk Oblast.

Keep in mind, my probability reports are primarily based on strategic aviation movement, which is why there can be attacks excluding Kh-101 missiles even when I say they are unlikely.

I will continue to monitor.

There is activity on Russian strategic frequencies, but it is likely related to training/redeployment in western Russia.

We will see.

These movements are really weird. It isn't adding up right now.