The Chernihiv OVA announced mandatory evacuation orders for civilians in 14 unspecified border villages of Chernihiv Oblast.

It's likely that these are: Senkivka, Khrinivka, Klyusy, Hirsk, Yeline, Mistky, Salne, Huta-Studenetska, Baranivka, Bleshnya, Mkhy, Krasni Lozy, Karopvychi, and Hati.

AMK, I don't know if you read the comments at all, but can I have a suggestion about the map reports? They sound dry, detailless and lacks depth. "They advanced, further taking bla bla. Then they advanced to the south." Why? How? What was the key factors in this? What is the probable long term goal in doing so? What are the strategies (or tactics in this case)? I think WeebUnion is a masterclass in this, it's not my place to teach you how to do your job, but I really admire your work overall and you seem like a guy whose open to criticism. Keep up the good work and thanks.

I'll respond to this as a post as I'd like more people to see this.

I add that kind of information in where I can, but these map updates have always been more situational. I just don't have enough information on that stuff, so I omit it most of the time. I could make guesses, but I'm not confident in that considering how much more unpredictable things have gotten as this war evolves.

As an analyst, it's important to understand that you don't and can't know everything. For me, speculating about the processes of an attack wouldn't be analysing things. But, I do write separate posts with this sort of information once the dust has settled and things are clarified.

The Ukrainian Group of Forces "South" published footage claiming to show their forces clearing Hulyaipole.

In reality, the video was recorded in the town of Zaliznychne, 6 km away.

Coordinates: 47.6475668, 36.1651338

3 Su-57s flying from Rostov Oblast to the Sea of Azov.

A Su-34 is also airborne in the area.

Su-34 is over Russian controlled Kherson Oblast. It launched a KAB/Grom-E1 at Kherson Oblast.

Flight of the glide-bombs, flying towards Vysokopillia and then likely the Zelenodolsk Thermal Power Plant.

The 3 Su-57s took off from Akhtubinsk Airbase, Astrakhan Oblast.

They are flying over the Sea of Azov right now.

The KABs disappeared west of Novovorontsovka, Kherson Oblast.

Iskander launch from Kursk

There is a Zala recon drone near Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast right now

No missiles are detected.

Recon drones are also detected near Nedryhailiv, Sumy Oblast.

Russian forces have recaptured the village of Andriivka, Khotin direction, Sumy Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~86.
Total land area: ~1.05 km².

The second battle for Andriivka lasted approximately 30 days.

According to data from the different OVAs in Ukraine, Russia launched a total of 44,782 KAB/FAB glide-bombs at populated areas in 2025.

However, the true total number including strikes on areas directly on the frontline, strikes which were not included in official tallies (which frequently happens), and strikes on areas outside populated areas, is probably closer to 80,000.

If you even say 1 Ukrainian soldier was killed on average per strike, those numbers add up very quickly. If you were to say 5 on average, it gets even worse.

Additionally, according to statistics from the Ukrainian airforce, Russia launched more than 54,000 Geran-2, Geran-3, and Gerbera drones in 2025.

The 3 Su-57s are carrying out a training mission in the Sea of Azov.

The attached audio is of communications from one of the aircraft.

Happy new year everyone!

Best of luck to you all for 2026.

YouTube gave me 3 unskippable ads just as the clock was about to hit 12 on a new year's countdown livestream. (The ads were from an Israeli company too).

Very reflective of the current state of the world 🤣

Interestingly, the recon drone (Orlan-10, not Zala) from earlier is still flying, having been in Ukrainian airspace for over 4 hours.

The approximate flight route so far is shown on the map.

Of course not 🤣

At least be like Ukraine and make an AI video to fake it.

Not even trying, smh.

Shelling on the Rodynske - Pokrovsk road