The Russian imposed Kherson Oblast Governor claimed that Ukraine has pulled forces from the Kherson direction to the Donbas and Kursk Oblast.
In my opinion, if this is true, either the 122nd, 123rd or the 124th territorial defence brigades would’ve been sent from Kherson city to the Donbas, while either the 35th or the 38th marine brigades or the 503rd marine battalion would’ve been sent from the Krynky area to Kursk.
Unless of course Ukraine is intending to commit to more defensive operations in Kursk, in which case they may send territorial defence forces to Kursk and the Donbas, rather than marine brigades. But considering Ukraine’s recent pattern of sending marines to Kursk, I’d say the first option is more likely.
I’ll keep an eye on the movements in Kursk and update you if I spot any new brigades or battalions there.
In my opinion, if this is true, either the 122nd, 123rd or the 124th territorial defence brigades would’ve been sent from Kherson city to the Donbas, while either the 35th or the 38th marine brigades or the 503rd marine battalion would’ve been sent from the Krynky area to Kursk.
Unless of course Ukraine is intending to commit to more defensive operations in Kursk, in which case they may send territorial defence forces to Kursk and the Donbas, rather than marine brigades. But considering Ukraine’s recent pattern of sending marines to Kursk, I’d say the first option is more likely.
I’ll keep an eye on the movements in Kursk and update you if I spot any new brigades or battalions there.
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Reports indicate that Israel might have just begun limited movements inside Lebanon. This is currently unconfirmed.
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“The reports about the possibility of an Israeli ground operation in Lebanon are increasing in the last day - it should be noted that if there is an Israeli ground operation in Lebanon, it will be limited in scope.”
- Hebrew source
- Hebrew source
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Today's Ukrainian UAV attack appeared to be more successful for them than usual. An airfield in the city of Yeysk, Krasnodar Krai which apparently stored Kinzhal missiles was reportedly struck by a Ukrainian drone.
Explosions were reported near a power plant in Volgodonsk, Rostov Oblast, and an ammunition depot may have been hit in the village of Kotluban, Volgograd Oblast.
Meanwhile the Russian MOD claimed to have shot down 125 UAVs during the attack, although considering it's an MOD claim, take it with a grain of salt.
Explosions were reported near a power plant in Volgodonsk, Rostov Oblast, and an ammunition depot may have been hit in the village of Kotluban, Volgograd Oblast.
Meanwhile the Russian MOD claimed to have shot down 125 UAVs during the attack, although considering it's an MOD claim, take it with a grain of salt.
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Update from the Sudanese Civil War - The battle for Khartoum:
Reliable reports suggest that the Sudanese Armed Forces have succesfully broken the siege of the Kadroo military base following a series of offensive operations.
SAF troops from Kadroo advanced from their besieged positions and captured the Rayhan Hospital. At the same time, SAF forces from Omdurman crossed the Halfaya bridge and advanced for 3km to the junction between Halfaya bridge road and Al Mauna street, and linked up with Kadroo forces. Advances also took place to the south in order to protect the southern flank of the spearhead.
These advances allow for supplies to be brought into the area and also creates a large wedge through the RSF positions.
Interestingly, there wasn’t much fighting reported during the initial advance. This may have been because in recent months, drone attacks and artillery attacks which were aided by reconnaissance drones, have made the RSF’s defense of the Halfaya Bridge more difficult. The bridge’s access road also crosses 2 km of open farmland, making it difficult for the RSF to guard the approach to the bridge without being shelled.
Meanwhile, in Khartoum city centre, following the SAF advance over the White Nile river, heavy clashes have been taking place without any changes to the frontline. The Al-Shaheed mosque appears to be in the grey zone with both sides attempting to seize control of it, while fire support is provided from the towers on either side. The SAF controls the PDOC and GNPOC towers to the west, while the RSF controls the Sahara tower and the central bank of Sudan to the east. All of these buildings have been gutted by fire, but are still able to be used as firing positions. The RSF controlled high-rise building are guarding against further SAF advance, however.
Reliable reports suggest that the Sudanese Armed Forces have succesfully broken the siege of the Kadroo military base following a series of offensive operations.
SAF troops from Kadroo advanced from their besieged positions and captured the Rayhan Hospital. At the same time, SAF forces from Omdurman crossed the Halfaya bridge and advanced for 3km to the junction between Halfaya bridge road and Al Mauna street, and linked up with Kadroo forces. Advances also took place to the south in order to protect the southern flank of the spearhead.
These advances allow for supplies to be brought into the area and also creates a large wedge through the RSF positions.
Interestingly, there wasn’t much fighting reported during the initial advance. This may have been because in recent months, drone attacks and artillery attacks which were aided by reconnaissance drones, have made the RSF’s defense of the Halfaya Bridge more difficult. The bridge’s access road also crosses 2 km of open farmland, making it difficult for the RSF to guard the approach to the bridge without being shelled.
Meanwhile, in Khartoum city centre, following the SAF advance over the White Nile river, heavy clashes have been taking place without any changes to the frontline. The Al-Shaheed mosque appears to be in the grey zone with both sides attempting to seize control of it, while fire support is provided from the towers on either side. The SAF controls the PDOC and GNPOC towers to the west, while the RSF controls the Sahara tower and the central bank of Sudan to the east. All of these buildings have been gutted by fire, but are still able to be used as firing positions. The RSF controlled high-rise building are guarding against further SAF advance, however.
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AMK Mapping
Update from the Sudanese Civil War - The battle for Khartoum: Reliable reports suggest that the Sudanese Armed Forces have succesfully broken the siege of the Kadroo military base following a series of offensive operations. SAF troops from Kadroo advanced…
This is a rough estimate of the situation near the Al-Shaheed mosque in the centre of Khartoum. The Blue arrow is the SAF vector of attack, the red arrow is the RSF vector of attack, the Green arrows are SAF fire control, and the orange arrows are RSF fire control.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have advanced south of Katerynivka and captured a series of treeline positions.
A Russian column consisting of 5 armoured vehicles advanced up the western treeline. Infantry dismounted at the northern end near a reservoir and took multiple Ukrainian Prisoners of war.
In my opinion, the next goal for the Russians is to squeeze Ukraine out of the salient to the east, before conducting direct ground assaults on the agricultural buildings in the south of Katerynivka. The same tactic of attacking from the south and pushing Ukraine up to the river has been used for both Kostyantynivka and Novomykhailivka, so it would make sense for the Russians to repeat this.
A Russian column consisting of 5 armoured vehicles advanced up the western treeline. Infantry dismounted at the northern end near a reservoir and took multiple Ukrainian Prisoners of war.
In my opinion, the next goal for the Russians is to squeeze Ukraine out of the salient to the east, before conducting direct ground assaults on the agricultural buildings in the south of Katerynivka. The same tactic of attacking from the south and pushing Ukraine up to the river has been used for both Kostyantynivka and Novomykhailivka, so it would make sense for the Russians to repeat this.
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Reliable reports suggest that Russian forces have advanced southeast of Tsukuryne and entered the territory of the St Basil mine.
Russian forces also likely advanced along the treelines to the east. The goal here is to bypass Hirnyk from the west, taking the town into a semi-envelopment. Once the small Terykon is captured, then it will simplify future Russian offensive operations through the fields to the south.
Russian forces also likely advanced along the treelines to the east. The goal here is to bypass Hirnyk from the west, taking the town into a semi-envelopment. Once the small Terykon is captured, then it will simplify future Russian offensive operations through the fields to the south.
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AMK Mapping
Violent explosions are reported throughout southern Beirut.
An IDF spokesman stated that Israel conducted a targeted assassination on an unspecified Hezbollah leader in the Dahiya suburb of southern Beirut. It is currently unclear whether this attack was successful or not.
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AMK Mapping
A strong explosion was reported in the Syrian capital of Damascus.
Syrian air defence is active in the west of Damascus.
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Forwarded from War Monitor
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⚡️Reports in Yemen about the downing of an American MQ-9 Reaper
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Following reports of Russian forces probing Ukrainian defences near the village of Vasukivka on the northern Bakhmut flank, Russian forces have begun attacking in the direction of Minkivka.
Geolocated footage shows an attack consisting of 15 motorcycles along the E-40 highway heading in the direction of positions held by the Ukrainian 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Ukrainian drone operators spotted the Russians early on and began striking them with FPV drones. In total, 8 motorcycles were destroyed, and the Ukrainian unit claimed that 16 Russian soldiers were killed.
At the same time, Russian forces reportedly captured the village of Hryhorivka (further south), although this remains unconfirmed. While I doubt this is part of a larger push in the Slovyansk direction, I do think that once Chasiv Yar falls, offensive operations will increase in this direction, supporting the main axis of attack from Lyman.
Geolocated footage shows an attack consisting of 15 motorcycles along the E-40 highway heading in the direction of positions held by the Ukrainian 30th Separate Mechanized Brigade. Ukrainian drone operators spotted the Russians early on and began striking them with FPV drones. In total, 8 motorcycles were destroyed, and the Ukrainian unit claimed that 16 Russian soldiers were killed.
At the same time, Russian forces reportedly captured the village of Hryhorivka (further south), although this remains unconfirmed. While I doubt this is part of a larger push in the Slovyansk direction, I do think that once Chasiv Yar falls, offensive operations will increase in this direction, supporting the main axis of attack from Lyman.
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Russian KAB bombs have been targeting Zaporizhzhia over and over again today. 13 bombs were dropped on the city last night, and another launch has just been reported, with explosions being heard.
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Forwarded from Intel Slava
🇱🇧Hezbollah has elected a new leader to replace Nasrallah, who was killed by Israel , Al Arabiya TV reported, citing sources.
Hashem Safieddine, who previously held the post of head of the executive committee, was elected as the new secretary general of the Lebanese group.
This information has not been officially confirmed.
Safieddin is the cousin of the murdered Hassan Nasrallah. His son Reza is married to the daughter of the Iranian general Soleimani, who was killed by the Americans.
Hashem Safieddine, who previously held the post of head of the executive committee, was elected as the new secretary general of the Lebanese group.
This information has not been officially confirmed.
Safieddin is the cousin of the murdered Hassan Nasrallah. His son Reza is married to the daughter of the Iranian general Soleimani, who was killed by the Americans.
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In your opinion, which direction will be prioritized the most during Russia's winter offensive campaign?
Anonymous Poll
73%
Pokrovsk + South Donetsk
7%
Chasiv Yar
5%
Lyman-Kupyansk
15%
Zaporizhzhia
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