Currently there are only ~12 Geran-2/Gerbera drones detected in Ukrainian airspace.

Considering the fact that most strategic bombers are concentrated in western Russia, any mass-launches of Gerans probably wont take place for at least 5 hours.

Currently, a minimum of 8 Tu-95MS strategic bombers are ready for the next missile attack on Ukraine.

This includes:
- 5 Tu-95MS at Olenya Airbase.
- 2 Tu-95MS at Dyagilevo Airbase.
- 1 Tu-95MS at Engels-2 Airbase.

Also, as I mentioned earlier, there is a possibility of 2-4 Tu-160M strategic bombers being used from Belaya Airbase in the far east. If this is the case, these bombers will already be airborne right now, but without being detected yet.

The number of Geran-2/Gerbera drones detected in Ukrainian airspace has increased to around 30.

So far, launches have taken place from:

- Khalino Airbase, Kursk Oblast.
- Tsumbulova Testing Site, Oryol Oblast.
- Navlya Testing Site, Bryansk Oblast.
- Hvardiiske Airbase, Crimea.
- Millerovo Airbase, Rostov Oblast (unconfirmed).

No mass launches have been recorded yet.

2-4 Tu-160M strategic bombers are likely airborne from Ukrainka Airbase, Amur Oblast, flying to their launch lines in Saratov/Volgograd Oblast.

A total of 5 (!) different frequencies have been active today, including 4632 kHz which is used during both winter and spring.

Information about Tu-160s being airborne is not confirmed, but would line up with timing.

The first large groups of Geran-2 drones have begun to enter Ukrainian airspace, with at least 20 flying in two chains through Chernihiv Oblast in the direction of Kyiv Oblast.

The first groups of Geran-2 drones have entered Kyiv Oblast, and are around 25 km from Kyiv.

If they attack Kyiv, the missiles will almost certainly fly to Kyiv later, rather than western Ukraine.

The city of Dnipro is under attack from Gerans - 2 impacts so far. Air defence is working in Dnipro in Pavlohrad.

2 Geran-3 jet-drones have entered Kyiv Oblast from Chernihiv Oblast, flying towards Chornobyl.

At least 55 Geran-2 drones are currently detected in Ukrainian airspace.

Iskander on Kharkiv

This is Tornado-S. Flying to Kharkiv City via Tsyrkuny.

Explosion in Kharkiv City.

Another explosion in Kharkiv.

More explosions in Kharkiv.

1 Tornado-S rocket equipped with a cluster warhead struck the "Kharkivska" 330 kV electrical substation in Kharkiv City.

The other two explosions heard were unrelated.

Coordinates: 49.961688, 36.280374

Another Tornado-S rocket to Kharkiv City

Explosion in Kharkiv City.

Two Russian Geran-2 drones flew over eastern Kyiv and hit an unknown target somewhere in the indicated area, around 2 km north of the CHP-5 power plant.

3rd Tornado-S rocket to Kharkiv

To the city centre