Iskander threat from Crimea

Iskander on Tuzly, Odesa Oblast.

Explosion in Tuzly.

This was probably a Ukrainian air defence missile launch.

Explosion in the Tuzly-Sarata area.

HIMARS launches from Chuhuiv, Kharkiv Oblast, to Belgorod

S-300 launches from Belgorod City

Several HIMARS rockets. At least 5 interceptions, 1 impact.

One of the interceptions over Belgorod City

7 HIMARS rockets were launched in total.

5 were shot down, 2 impacted the same target. Only 5 S-300 missiles were launched to counter the attack.

After Trump's statement saying that "Ayatollah Khamenei should be very worried", the Iranian military has been placed on a maximum state of alert.

Update on Russian strategic aviation movements:

All 7 Tu-95MS strategic bombers which were airborne during the last attack flew back to Olenya Airbase, Murmansk Oblast.

- Since the last attack, an An-124 "Ruslan" cargo plane has landed at Engels-2 Airbase, delivering Kh-101 cruise missiles for Tu-95MS strategic bombers.

- 1 Tu-95MS redeployed from Olenya Airbase to Engels-2 Airbase, where it was equipped with at least 5 Kh-101 missiles.

- 2 Tu-95MS redeployed to Ukrainka Airbase in the far east.

It's possible that these three Tu-95MS are the ones which carried out combat sorties during the most recent attack. As I mentioned earlier, only 3 out of 7 airborne bombers took part in the attack, so it's possible that the 4 Tu-95MS still at Olenya Airbase are equipped with missiles for the next attack.

Russian Geran-2 drone strike on a Ukrainian "Caesar" 155-mm self-propelled howitzer, somewhere in northeastern Ukraine.

Mass disconnections of Russian Starlink Terminals have begun.

Russian sources report that more than 500,000 terminals have lost connection throughout Russian-controlled Ukraine.

EDIT: Ukrainian starlink terminals are going down en masse too.

Ukraine's losses amount to 55,000 dead. However, there are a large number of people whom Ukraine considers missing, — Zelensky

A year ago, Zelensky claimed 46,000 Ukrainian soldiers had been killed. According to his logic, just 9,000 Ukrainian soldiers have died since, at a rate of 750 per month.

In January 2026, Ukraine claimed that 35,000 Russian soldiers were killed in a month, which would give us a hypothetical claimed death ratio of 47:1 in favour of Ukraine.

According to my information, an explosion occurred at an Iranian early warning radar facility in Dinarkoh, near the border with Iraq, at approximately 9pm local time. A fire has subsequently broken out.

It's possible that this was a sabotage operation, but the information needs further clarification. Treat all of this as unconfirmed for now.

Coordinates: 32.916139, 47.290627

The earlier Iskander-M strike on Kryvyi Rih impacted an unknown target near the village of Hleyuvatka, just outside the city.

General coordinates: 48.049201, 33.422172

Zaporizhzhia City has come under heavy attacks tonight.

At least 4 Tornado-S rockets targeted the "Armalit" 150 kV electrical substation. As a result, most/all of western Zaporizhzhia lost power.

Additionally, multiple salvos of MLRS have targeted areas south of the city.

Substation coordinates: 47.89009, 35.0005