The last missiles impacted the Zakhidnoukrainska 750 kV substation in Lviv Oblast.
Ukrainian airspace is now clear of missiles.
Ukrainian airspace is now clear of missiles.
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The missile attack appears to be over. At least 35 missiles of various types were used. I will publish a full report + the consequences later on.
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Thank you for following along.
Buy Me a Coffee
AMK Mapping
Mapping the war in Ukraine, and the situation in the Middle East, while also covering other geopolitical developments in the world. I'm also the guy who tracks Russian missiles live with maps. Support
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F-16s and Mirage-2000s shot down a large number of Kh-101s during tonight's attack, along with ground-based installations such as Iris-T.
One reason for this is Russia using the same couple of routes for their missiles every single attack, making their movements very predictable and allowing Ukraine to prepare their air defence and fighter jet movements beforehand.
One reason for this is Russia using the same couple of routes for their missiles every single attack, making their movements very predictable and allowing Ukraine to prepare their air defence and fighter jet movements beforehand.
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AMK Mapping
Unidentified missile to Staryi Saltiv, Kharkiv Oblast.
Disappeared near Zarichne, Kharkiv Oblast.
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This seems to be Tornado-S. A Russian recon drone is circling near Staryi Saltiv.
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With frontline strategy evolving, so must the maps, and today I've decided to add a new polygon to my map to represent "infiltration zones".
I have been considering doing something along the lines of this for at least 6 months, but wasn't sure how to go about it. Recently, Deepstate changed their grey-zone to an "infiltration zone", and I have decided that instead of replacing my ordinary grey-zone like them, I will overlay a new, much larger polygon for the infiltration zone.
The infiltration zone can be loosely defined as an area where both sides can remain in either temporary or permanent positions in close proximity to each other, and is much more prone to infiltrations from small groups of soldiers. Parts of this infiltration zone will contain areas of mixed and overlapping Russian and Ukrainian positions, while parts will be considered "solid control" or "consolidated" on most maps, but still prone to non-consolidated infiltrations by each side.
I have added this layer in response to the death of the conventional "frontline" in Ukraine, and the evolution of the line of contact into a dynamic, fluid zone, sometimes up to 15 km wide, where both sides can hold overlapping positions, and can infiltrate deep behind the lines in small groups without being detected (often with DRGs).
However, for simplicity purposes, my ordinary map updates will not show this infiltration zone. I will, however, continue to make the ordinary grey-zone larger to account for some of these more complicated fronts, and the "control zone" (red & blue polygons) will become more and more generalised over time as it becomes impossible to accurately portray the frontline in a solidified sense. You can toggle this infiltration zone layer on and off in the layers tab on my interactive map.
And before people start commenting about this, no - it does not mean the Ukrainian counteroffensive is not taking back ground. If there are areas where there is 98% Ukrainian soldiers and 2% Russian soldiers, it will be marked in blue, but under the "infiltration zone". Additionally, much of the areas which Ukraine has retaken would've been previously marked under red, but also under the infiltration zone.
I have been considering doing something along the lines of this for at least 6 months, but wasn't sure how to go about it. Recently, Deepstate changed their grey-zone to an "infiltration zone", and I have decided that instead of replacing my ordinary grey-zone like them, I will overlay a new, much larger polygon for the infiltration zone.
The infiltration zone can be loosely defined as an area where both sides can remain in either temporary or permanent positions in close proximity to each other, and is much more prone to infiltrations from small groups of soldiers. Parts of this infiltration zone will contain areas of mixed and overlapping Russian and Ukrainian positions, while parts will be considered "solid control" or "consolidated" on most maps, but still prone to non-consolidated infiltrations by each side.
I have added this layer in response to the death of the conventional "frontline" in Ukraine, and the evolution of the line of contact into a dynamic, fluid zone, sometimes up to 15 km wide, where both sides can hold overlapping positions, and can infiltrate deep behind the lines in small groups without being detected (often with DRGs).
However, for simplicity purposes, my ordinary map updates will not show this infiltration zone. I will, however, continue to make the ordinary grey-zone larger to account for some of these more complicated fronts, and the "control zone" (red & blue polygons) will become more and more generalised over time as it becomes impossible to accurately portray the frontline in a solidified sense. You can toggle this infiltration zone layer on and off in the layers tab on my interactive map.
And before people start commenting about this, no - it does not mean the Ukrainian counteroffensive is not taking back ground. If there are areas where there is 98% Ukrainian soldiers and 2% Russian soldiers, it will be marked in blue, but under the "infiltration zone". Additionally, much of the areas which Ukraine has retaken would've been previously marked under red, but also under the infiltration zone.
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For the next 4 days, there is an increased threat of a large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
If this attack occurs, it will involve Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and possibly Iskander-K cruise missiles, Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, Kh-22/32 cruise missiles, and Kalibr cruise missiles.
This would server as a "part 2" to today's attack, and would primarily target Kyiv Oblast, and parts of central and eastern Ukraine.
If this attack occurs, it will involve Iskander-M ballistic missiles, and possibly Iskander-K cruise missiles, Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles, Kinzhal hypersonic aeroballistic missiles, Kh-22/32 cruise missiles, and Kalibr cruise missiles.
This would server as a "part 2" to today's attack, and would primarily target Kyiv Oblast, and parts of central and eastern Ukraine.
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There is also a threat of Kinzhal launches from MiG-31K fighters during the day - especially for the next 4 hours. Any strikes will target energy infrastructure in the western regions of Ukraine.
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Forwarded from A P
https://open.substack.com/pub/delwinstrategy/p/the-grey-zone-a-doctrinal-clarification?utm_source=share&utm_medium=android&r=6r3ige
Good reading on mapping.
All notions are well defined.
Grey zone,
Control
No-mans land
FLOT
Consolidation
etc.
Good reading on mapping.
All notions are well defined.
Grey zone,
Control
No-mans land
FLOT
Consolidation
etc.
Substack
The Grey Zone: a doctrinal clarification for frontline mapping
Cartography and storytelling
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Last night, Russia carried out a large-scale Geran-2 drone attack on Odesa City.
At least 20 drones attacked multiple targets, with most impacting the "Tairove" 110 kV electrical substation, where a large fire subsequently broke out.
Coordinates: 46.3965, 30.71317
At least 20 drones attacked multiple targets, with most impacting the "Tairove" 110 kV electrical substation, where a large fire subsequently broke out.
Coordinates: 46.3965, 30.71317
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Possible departures of 2-3 Tu-22m3 strategic bombers from Olenya Airbase
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AMK Mapping
Photo
Additional scenes from Dnipro, where a large fire broke out following a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile strike overnight.
The missile likely targeted fuel infrastructure, although the exact impact point is currently unknown.
Additionally, at least 4 Geran-2 drones attacked a target in the northern suburbs of the city.
The missile likely targeted fuel infrastructure, although the exact impact point is currently unknown.
Additionally, at least 4 Geran-2 drones attacked a target in the northern suburbs of the city.
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