The Tu-22m3s landed at Shaykovka Airbase, Kaluga Oblast

As a result of the combined Russian missile and drone attack on the Burshtyn Thermal Power Plant in Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast, much of the city of Burshtyn is now without heating.

A large column of fire trucks could be seen driving to the plant, which is currently on fire.

Overnight, Ukrainian UAVs attacked energy infrastructure in Kazan, Republic of Tatarstan.

At least one drone impacted the "Verkhniy Uslon" 110 kV electrical substation, resulting in a fire breaking out.

Coordinates: 55.74932, 48.94610

Approximately 970 km from the nearest Ukrainian-controlled territory.

The Ukrainian Airforce claims they shot down all 25 cruise missiles launched by Russia overnight.

They did the meme...

Last night and this morning, another large-scale, combined Russian missile and drone attack was carried out on Ukraine.

Missiles launched:

~16 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 4 Tu-95MS strategic bombers at their launch lines over the Caspian Sea in Limansky District, Astrakhan Oblast.

~12 Kh-101 cruise missiles launched from 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers at their launch lines over the Caspian Sea in Limansky District, Astrakhan Oblast.

~6 Iskander-K cruise missiles launched from OTRK installations in Kursk Oblast.

~4 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from OTRK installations near Taganrog, Rostov Oblast.

~1 Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from an OTRK installation near Dzhankoi, Crimea.

~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile launched from a Su-34 at its launch lines near Kamianka, Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

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Total missiles launched:

~28 Kh-101 cruise missiles.
~6 Iskander-K cruise missiles.
~5 Iskander-M ballistic missiles.
~1 Kh-59/69 cruise missile.

~40 missiles in total.

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Ukrainian air defence work:

As of the time of writing, it appears that Ukrainian air defence was able to intercept at least 14 Kh-101s, 2 Iskander-Ks, and 1 Kh-59/69.

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The main targets for this strike was Ukrainian energy infrastructure in western Ukraine. The following was targeted:

- "Zakhidnoukrainska" 750 kV electrical substation, Lviv Oblast (49.38707, 24.24990) by ~4 Kh-101s & 4 Iskander-Ks.

- "Podilska" 330 kV electrical substation, Odesa Oblast (47.83028, 29.5142) by ~5 Kh-101s.

- Burshtyn Thermal Power Plant, Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast (49.20902, 24.66568) by ~3 Kh-101s.

- "Hirnycha" 330 kV electrical substation, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, by ~1 Iskander-M.

- Unknown target in/near Lozova, Kharkiv Oblast by ~3 Iskander-Ms.

- Unknown target near Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast, by ~2 Kh-101s.

- Unknown fuel-related target in Dnipro, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by ~1 Iskander-M.

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Keep in mind, the numbers of missiles launched may be slightly higher than what I've listed, as the number of missiles detected is sometimes lower than actual launches.

Pro-Ukrainians will say 100% of missiles were shot down.
Pro-Russians will say every single missile hit its target.

It's always somewhere in between, but most people aren't ready to accept that yet.

I always regret opening the cesspool which Twitter is. It seems every day there's a new person trying to prove I'm an FSB operative or something.

"Not taking things well" but yet I've had some of the most extensive coverage of this Ukrainian counteroffensive since it began.

Stupidity from these people who claim to support Ukraine really has no limits.

The funny thing is, people never end up tagging me in these posts. So every now and then, I'll stumble across a thread posted 6 months ago with 100,000 views making allegations about me that I'd never even heard of 🤣🤣

This morning, a Ukrainian long-range UAV struck a methanol production facility at the Metafrax Chemical plant in the city of Gubakha, Perm Krai.

Coordinates: 58.89291, 57.57235.

The distance from the nearest Ukrainian-controlled territory is approximately 1,600 km.

I have a theory that, as described by AMK, the ‘death’ of the conventional frontline and the beginning of fluidity and deep infiltration, is a sign that the collapse is a step closer. Ukraine’s critical lack of manpower means their command is concentrating troops in areas and leaving others almost entirely defended by drones. They use these concentrated troop formations to carry out infiltrations and counterattacks, and, due to relying on drones almost exclusively to hold some sectors, are extremely vulnerable to deep Russian infiltrations, by DRGs and then assault groups shortly afterward. In other words, Ukraine is using infantry to attack and drone operators to defend. The next natural step from here, which will indicate total collapse is imminent, will be Ukraine losing the ability to counterattack anywhere. This will suggest Ukraine is out of manpower to expend and is down to simply what is left there holding the front.

The Ukrainian Special Operations Forces published footage showing 15 new FP-2 drone strikes on valuable Russian targets in Crimea and Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

In the village of Pasichne, Crimea, they reportedly struck a facility used for storing Iskander-M ballsitic missiles. Notably, Pasichne is less than 15 km from known Russian Iskander-M OTRK installations in Crimea.

In the village of Vysoke, they reportedly struck a remote pilot station of Russia's elite "Rubicon" drone unit.

An Oreshnik IRBM was just launched from Kapustin Yar Test Site, Astrakhan Oblast.

Sirens are sounding in all regions of Ukraine, however this is probably just a test launch.

Correction: test launches of S-500 air defence missiles are being carried out from Kapustin Yar. Ukrainian intel got it mixed up with Oreshnik activity.

The restrictions imposed on Ukrainian channels regarding sharing information on the Ukrainian counteroffensive operations is slowly being lifted, with more and more channels talking about successes.

These are the same channels which previously claimed there was no counteroffensive, and that most Russian maps were incorrect. Over the next few weeks, this will continue to be lifted further, and the situation will become clearer. The Ukrainian OPSEC operation which aimed to conceal the first stages of the counteroffensive appears to be largely over.

Meanwhile, Ukrainian advances have significantly slowed over the past 5 days, and casualties are beginning to mount, as Russia concentrates significant air and artillery fire in this direction. They are still advancing in multiple areas of the Pokrovs'ke and Hulyaipole directions, and will continue to advance for likely at least the next week.

Ukrainian forces are now pushing through areas with a much higher Russian troop presence, and once the Russian withdrawals from forward positions are complete, the line of contact will be significantly shortened and Russia will begin being able to contain the advance and push back in some tactically important areas.

In the Komyshuvakha direction, Ukrainian forces continued their counterattacks and have made new progress in three different areas.

In the west, Ukrainian forces continued pushing through Prymorske, crossing the Pererva Gulley and reaching more entrenched Russian positions in the centre of the village. They were able to establish control over the central part of Prymorske and began infiltrating Russian positions in the southern streets, where a layered zone has formed with both Russian and Ukrainian positions overlapping. Additionally, Ukrainian forces were able to capture the last parts of the Pererva Gulley and began pushing southeast down Hnidoho Road towards the intersection with the M-18 Highway.

To the east, the Ukrainians crossed the Pererva Gulley, and advanced down the M-18 Highway, where they captured some positions in the treelines just south of the gulley. From there, small groups are advancing southwest down the highway, with some soldiers managing to infiltrate behind Russian lines and entrench in a few houses in the central part of Plavni.

In the southeast, Ukrainian forces secured a number of treeline positions north of Stepnohirsk, as well as some of the northern streets of the town, paving the way for reinforcements to arrive. They also expanded the grey-zone in the northern part of the town, where both Russian and Ukrainian soldiers remain. Russian forces retain full control over the central block of high-rise buildings.

+ ~4.61 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10

In the Omelnyk direction, Russian forces continued their assault operations and have made new progress in two different areas.

In the south, Russian forces continued advancing southwest of Hulyaipole and have reversed all Ukrainian progress in the fields there. They were able to resecure the treeline positions directly west of the highway and began advancing from the flanks from the north and south, capturing positions in numerous different treelines. They also pushed northwest again, back up the railway windbreaks, recapturing previously lost positions there, and are now attempting to attack from the fields to the east and establish themselves along the rest of the railway line.

To the northwest, Russian soldiers continued entering Zaliznychne from the northeast and southeast in small groups, and are engaged in fighting for the central and western parts of the town. Ukrainian forces are constantly counterattacking, slowing Russian progress and preventing them from consolidating. Additionally, Russian forces captured positions in the gulley east of Tsvitkove and have infiltrated the village, which now resides in the grey-zone.

+ ~9.79 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10

In the Pokrovs'ke direction, Ukrainian forces continued their counteroffensive, making some additional gains amid fierce Russian resistance.

After recapturing the village of Vidradne, Ukrainian forces continued advancing south towards the Yanchur River. They were able to capture a number of treeline positions west of the highway, as well as some trench fortifications south of Vidradne, and continued attacks on the village of Andriivka. They also improved their positions in the treelines southeast of the village.

Meanwhile, the Ukrainians continued attacking south of the tributary of the Yanchur River, but without any new confirmed successes. Fighting continues for the central parts of Vyshneve and Verbove, as well as in the treelines southwest of Verbove. Russian forces have significantly intensified their artillery, drone, and glide-bomb strikes on Ukrainian assault groups, resulting in a sharp rise in casualties, and are now fighting in a much more coordinated manner with a shortened line of contact and more manpower at their disposal.

+ ~6.45 km² in favour of Ukraine.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10

In the Novopavlivka direction, Russian forces restarted their assault operations at the Dnipropetrovsk - Donetsk regional border, and have captured new positions there.

Russian forces advanced west along the southern bank of the Solona River and re-entered the village of Novomykolaivka, which Ukrainian forces had previously recaptured in August 2025. They were able to entrench in the eastern streets and are now fighting for the central part of the village. Aditionally, the Russians advanced west from the 2014-era concrete trench fortification, crossing the regional border and capturing some treeline positions.

+ ~3.84 km² in favour of Russia.

Interactive map link: https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=47.972743277699266%2C36.237619512610394&z=10

Russian forces have recaptured the village of Sukhetske, Dobropillya direction, Donetsk Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~39.
Total land area: ~0.35 km².

Russian forces have captured the village of Kharkivka, Hlukhiv direction, Sumy Oblast.

Pre-war population: ~56.
Total land area: ~0.55 km².