Yesterday evening, 2 Russian Iskander-M ballistic missiles launched from near Yeysk, Krasnodar Krai, impacted an unknown target near the village of Olefirivka, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

In recent weeks, Russia has intensified their bombing of the village of Kolodyazne in the northeastern-most part of Kharkiv Oblast, possibly in preparation for renewed attacks in this direction.

After their initial successful cross-border incursions from May and July 2025 , Russian forces struggled to build on their success beyond the villages of Dvorichanske and Odradne, becoming bogged down in the fields between these villages and Kolodyazne as winter set in.

Kolodyazne serves as a crucial defensive node for Ukrainian forces defending the northeastern corner of Kharkiv Oblast, as it sits along the Verkhnya Dvurichkova River. The fall of Kolodyazne would open the way for Russian forces to begin operating more freely, allowing for them to intensify the pressure north and northwest of Kupyansk - which would likely be in coordination with additional attacks in the area of Bilyi Kolodyaz and Velykyi Burluk.

Recently, Ukraine has deployed elements of the 159th Mechanised Brigade from from Vovchanski-Khutoryi area to Kolodyazne, likely to take part in efforts to repel a second Russian operation aimed at reaching and entrenching along the eastern bank of the Verkhnya Dvurichkova River.

Kharkiv City is under attack from Russian Tornado-S rockets.

At least 5 rockets launched from Belgorod Oblast have impacted the city - 3 in the Osnovianskyi District and 2 in the Kholodnohirskyi District. The targets are currently unknown.

Consequences of Russian KAB glide-bomb strikes on the village of Velyka Chernechchyna, just outside Sumy City, which came under attack yesterday evening. 1 civilian was injured.

In addition, Geran-2 drones attacked a target in the village of Altynivka.

The frontline east of Slovyansk continues to "cascade" westwards, with Ukrainian control over the key tactical heights and forests south of the Siverskyi Donets River slipping further.

As a result of this successful Russian push in the area of Kryva Luka and Kalenyky, most Ukrainian artillery has been pushed out of range of Siversk, which is the main Russian logistical hub for this sector.

Soon, Russia will be able to use Siversk as a decently stable logistical hub, which will only accelerate their gains towards the crucial city of Mykolaivka and then the Slovyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration.

Hardly anyone is even talking about this sector. This is an area of the frontline which barely moved for over 3 years, and now all of a sudden is the most successful for Russia. This sector is continuing to progress terribly for Ukraine, and if something isn't done soon, the entirety of northern Donetsk Oblast is at risk in the short-term.

In my opinion, the Lyman direction - and by extension, the Svyatohirsk direction - will be properly re-activated soon as well, in coordination with this westwards push along the southern bank of the Siverskyi Donets River. The outcome of that offensive will result in Slovyansk becoming become a so-called "dead city" like Kostyantynivka and Dobropillya, when Russia places their FPV drone operators in and around Lyman. And yet, Ukrainian authorities STILL haven't constructed ANY anti-drone nets in Slovyansk and Kramatorsk, where over 150,000 civilians still live.

Flightradar shows that 2 U.S. Airforce KC-135 refuelling aircraft are airborne over the Indo-pacific, which could suggest that the 4 B-52 strategic bombers from Guam are redeploying to Diego Garcia.

It's so fucking funny to see all the Pro-Ukrainian accounts who fell hook line and sinker for the initial Ukrainian OPSEC operation for this counteroffensive, and who accused me of completely fabricating the counteroffensive to provide a cover for reverting my supposed fake Russian advances that I mapped, all of a sudden declare a massive victory for Ukraine.

Unfortunately, none of them will ever accept that they were wrong, though. The Pro-Russian accounts will also follow this trend in the coming weeks/months, and everyone will just forget about it.

So fun 🙃

One thing that I think I should mention, that I think people get the wrong idea of, is that this localised Ukrainian counteroffensive started on February 5. I myself have been covering it since February 9.

It has been ongoing for a total of 18 days. This was not a 1 or 2 day operation that recaptured "300 km²".

Also, as usual, all the new map updates have all been published on the interactive map. I aim to write up the individual reports tomorrow as I've been extremely busy these last few days. I also need to clarify some additional changes for the map before publishing reports on some certain sectors, so stay tuned for that.

https://www.google.com/maps/d/u/0/edit?mid=1thW9kqnDOaS2lAepLhLdzSX8Ur9Sc4k&ll=48.881032000172894%2C37.77412946783012&z=12

Russian forces north of Sumy are now only 16km from the city near the second line of defense, FPVs are buzzing over the city regularly.

As with almost every Ukrainian propaganda or information campaign, this recent OPSEC operation regarding the counteroffensive in the Hulaipole and Pokrovs'ke directions has been very successful.

Even though many Russian channels had published a lot of information about the order of battle and even the Ukrainian advances early on, most Pro-Ukrainian people on Twitter wont even see this, as they reside in an information echo-chamber where they have already labelled most channels as only ever spreading "enemy propaganda", let alone the general public ever seeing anything about it.

So I think the OPSEC operation was very successful for Ukraine for the same reason as all previous information operations: they simply don't need to fool those who care to find the truth, and do more than surface-level analysis or news aggregation. Western mainstream media get their usual flashy headlines about another "lightning, heroic Ukrainian counteroffensive, carried out again all odds against a superior enemy", and can then go on to once again completely ignore the frontline situation for the next few months, until the next convenient time to report on it.

Exactly 4 years ago today, Russia launched their invasion of Ukraine, which would turn into the deadliest conflict in Europe since World War 2, completely uplifting the regional geopolitical situation.

With the war unfortunately now entering its 5th year, what battle did you find the most interesting? For me, it was the battle of Stepove, just north of Avdiivka.

Pictured: Donetsk International Airport, December 2014.