A recent post by the Ukrainian Airborne Assault Forces confirms what I have been saying for weeks about this localised Ukrainian counteroffensive:
The goal is to delay Russian plans for their upcoming encircling maneuver against Orikhiv, which by extension protects Zaporizhzhia City for longer. The goal is not an operational breakthrough into the deep rear like I keep seeing many propaganda accounts like David D claim. This is a stabilising measure against a section of the frontline which saw rapid Russian progress, which aims to alleviate the pressure on the key tactical heights which protect Ukraine's left flank to Orikhiv.
Keep in mind, most of the accounts hyping up this counteroffensive and drawing big arrow predictions are the same people who claimed this was a fabricated counteroffensive aimed at quietly covering up supposedly "fake" Russian advances.
The goal is to delay Russian plans for their upcoming encircling maneuver against Orikhiv, which by extension protects Zaporizhzhia City for longer. The goal is not an operational breakthrough into the deep rear like I keep seeing many propaganda accounts like David D claim. This is a stabilising measure against a section of the frontline which saw rapid Russian progress, which aims to alleviate the pressure on the key tactical heights which protect Ukraine's left flank to Orikhiv.
Keep in mind, most of the accounts hyping up this counteroffensive and drawing big arrow predictions are the same people who claimed this was a fabricated counteroffensive aimed at quietly covering up supposedly "fake" Russian advances.
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3 Russian surface-carriers have been equipped with Kalibr cruise missiles at Novorossiysk Naval Base, Krasnodar Krai, in preparation for the upcoming combined missile and drone attack on Ukraine.
These are:
"Admiral Makarov" Frigate
"Admiral Essen" Frigate
"Buyan-M" Corvette
They can launch a total possible salvo of 24 missiles.
These are:
"Admiral Makarov" Frigate
"Admiral Essen" Frigate
"Buyan-M" Corvette
They can launch a total possible salvo of 24 missiles.
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The GUR has issued a warning to some media outlets about the threat of a combined missile attack tonight.
I mentioned earlier that there was a threat for tonight and the next few days, and its possible that strategic aviation is used. If this is the case, the first frequency activities will be detected in the next 3-4 hours.
However, I have my doubts that anything will happen for tonight.
I mentioned earlier that there was a threat for tonight and the next few days, and its possible that strategic aviation is used. If this is the case, the first frequency activities will be detected in the next 3-4 hours.
However, I have my doubts that anything will happen for tonight.
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Unidentified missiles flying to Hlukhiv (Sumy Oblast) and Odesa.
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AMK Mapping
Unidentified missiles flying to Hlukhiv (Sumy Oblast) and Odesa.
Kh-31P to Hlukhiv (launched by a Su-35). It has since disappeared.
The missile flying to Odesa was a misidentification.
The missile flying to Odesa was a misidentification.
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AMK Mapping
The GUR has issued a warning to some media outlets about the threat of a combined missile attack tonight. I mentioned earlier that there was a threat for tonight and the next few days, and its possible that strategic aviation is used. If this is the case…
Russia will carry out a large-scale combined missile and drone attack on Ukrainian energy infrastructure tonight.
Communications with Russian strategic command and control in Moscow and activity on combat frequencies have been recorded.
At least 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers 6-8 Tu-95MS are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases.
Kalibr cruise missiles, Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Iskander-K cruise missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles may also be used.
The highest threat is to the western regions of Ukraine, Kyiv Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from 12am to 8am Kyiv Time.
Communications with Russian strategic command and control in Moscow and activity on combat frequencies have been recorded.
At least 2 Tu-160M strategic bombers 6-8 Tu-95MS are equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles at Olenya and Engels-2 Airbases.
Kalibr cruise missiles, Iskander-M ballistic missiles, Iskander-K cruise missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles may also be used.
The highest threat is to the western regions of Ukraine, Kyiv Oblast, Kharkiv Oblast, and Dnipropetrovsk Oblast from 12am to 8am Kyiv Time.
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3 Tu-95MS strategic bombers will depart from Olenya Airbase some time in the next 2.5 hours. Departures of at least 3 Tu-95MS and 2 Tu-160s from Engels-2 Airbase are expected in the next 4 hours.
For the next 4 hours, there is an increased threat to Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv Oblasts from Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles.
For the next 4 hours, there is an increased threat to Kyiv, Dnipropetrovsk and Kharkiv Oblasts from Iskander-M ballistic missiles and Zircon hypersonic cruise missiles.
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Kh-101 cruise missiles and any Kalibr cruise missiles will target energy infrastructure western regions of Ukraine.
Potential targets:
Zakhindoukrainska 750 kV substation
Burshtyn TPP
Dobrotvir power plant
Kalush TPP
330 kV substations in Rivne and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts.
Potential targets:
Zakhindoukrainska 750 kV substation
Burshtyn TPP
Dobrotvir power plant
Kalush TPP
330 kV substations in Rivne and Khmelnytskyi Oblasts.
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No large numbers of Geran-2 drones have been detected in Ukrainian airspace.
So far, gas infrastructure in Poltava City has been attacked, as well as targets in Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast), Zaporizhzhia City, and Mena (Cherniihv Oblast).
The first mass launches of drones have been reported from several locations.
So far, gas infrastructure in Poltava City has been attacked, as well as targets in Kramatorsk (Donetsk Oblast), Zaporizhzhia City, and Mena (Cherniihv Oblast).
The first mass launches of drones have been reported from several locations.
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