Rockets in the direction of Nahariya, Northern Israel

Explosions were reported in Nahariya.

Recent reports from local sources suggest that Israeli forces made a small advance in Jabalia, north of the civil administration building.

10 rockets were launched, it is reported that 2 people were wounded.

Lebanese media report that the airstrike in Almat targeted a residential building, and that 20 people were killed.

8 Tu-95s are airborne.

They took off from Olenya airbase in Murmansk Oblast. This is the usual place where they take off from for combat flights, but it is also often used for training.

~21 Geran drones are still in the airspace of Ukraine, ~11 of which are new ones. Kyiv appears to be the primary target for these drones.

Ukrainian monitor channels report that it is likely a combat flight.

I will continue to monitor the situation, and will report on the events in real time. I’m not at home right now, but I will try to be back by the time the missiles enter Ukrainian airspace (if they even do) so I can make live map updates tracking them.

The 8 Tu-95s are all heading in the direction of the launch lines in Saratov Oblast and the Caspian Sea.

Additional Tu-95s have taken off.

This is going to be a big one

New launches of Geran drones from Khalino airbase, Kursk Oblast were reported.

7 US-British airstrikes were reported in the Amran governorate of Yemen.

5 Geran drones are bypassing Kyiv from the south. It is possible that they return to the city from the west to hit just before the missiles, overloading Ukrainian air defence, therefore maximizing the damage.

The Tu-95s are now halfway to the potential launch lines in Saratov.

Most of the Geran drones have either been shot down or hit their targets. There are only two left in Ukrainian airspace.

I forgot to mention that there is one missile carrier in the waters Black Sea, with a total salvo of up to 4 Kalibr missiles.

There are no Gerans left.