Meanwhile in Myanmar, the civil war continues to rage. The rebel "TNLA" group today launched a surprise offensive in the northern Shan state of Myanmar. They successfully captured the town of Kyaukme and have seized the hills overlooking the ruby-rich town of Mogok which is said to be one of the main targets of the offensive.

I am currently working on a control map of Myanmar which should hopefully be ready in the coming weeks.

Additionally, in today's statement by the TNLA, they reported that following a series of attacks on the Junta held base in the town of Nuanghkio, they were able to seize the entirety of the settlement

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces continued to advance in the Kupyansk direction and seized control over a series of Ukrainian positions.

Building on their initial success, Russian forces advanced to the next treeline in the low-lying ground, capturing Ukrainian positions. From there, Russian infantry on foot along with an APC advanced from their new positions and captured a strong Ukrainian trench fortification just next to the treeline that runs from north to south (southernmost arrow).

Russian infantry managed to capture the trenches, however suffered losses from drone-dropped explosives.

The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~1.59km.

These advances are currently unconfirmed, but if true it would likely mean two things:

1. Following Russia's expensive offensive on Terny to capture the eastern bank of the Zherebets river grinding to a halt, Ukraine took advantage of the lack of activity here and Russian re-deployments to other sectors of the frontline to build on their initial success in counterattacking. They decided to continue to assault Russian positions which - according to Ukrainian sources - lack manpower.

2. Ukrainian forces likely didn't send manpower from this sector of the frontline to Terny, further indicating that the main re-deployments occurred in other sectors (likely the Pokrovsk and Chasiv Yar directions).

Reports indicate that the TNLA during their continued offensive in the Mandalay region of Myanmar have entered the key city of Mogok. Heavy fighting is ongoing for the western part of the city, while the TNLA were able to seize control over the nearby hills.

The primary goal of the TNLA is likely to reach the intersection of the two highways in the western part of Mogok in order to complicate logistics for Junta forces. They may also try to encircle the city by seizing the surrounding hills, a tactic which has been employed many times in the past due to the consistent training in the remote rainforests. The KNLA is likely more accustomed to fighting in the hills and forests rather than taking part in costly urban combat which not only poses a risk to the local infrastructure but also to the civilians still living there. Surrounding and besieging the city would force the Junta soldiers which are reportedly suffering from morale issues to surrender.

Of course it is possible that we will see a similar situation occur to that in the border city of Myawaddy where resistance forces managed to seize the city following a siege but subsequently lost it following Junta counterattacks, likely due to them not establishing new positions in time. However the resistance forces may learn from previous mistakes while also building on the successes that they have enjoyed over the past few days in the Mandalay and Shan states. The main thing is to not underestimate their enemy. The Junta has been weakened, but it is still a formidable fighting force and can recapture territory when absolutely necessary, like in the case with Myawaddy. The question is, will the resistance forces repeat the same mistakes from earlier this year in holding key cities, or will they learn from these mistakes.

It all also relies on whether they even capture Mogok. It is entirely possible that the Junta will hold the city (albeit, unlikely considering the current pace of the offensive). Only time will tell.

A reliable source has just reported the same thing. It is likely that these advances took place.

A ballistic missile was launched from Crimea and is heading in the direction of Zaporizhzhia.

(Part 1) Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces continue to slowly advance inside the Kanal micro-district. There are two main advances here, so let's break it down:

Firstly, small groups of Russian infantry were able to advance in two main directions in the northern part of the Kanal micro-district. They managed to capture the rest of the Dachas and reach the northern part of the former Chasiv Yar Repair Plant, while simultaneously advancing inside the repair plant itself, capturing around 50% of it, and reaching the main building. The Russian infantry managed to establish positions in some smaller buildings which are actively being targeted by Ukrainian drone-dropped explosives.

(Part 2) Secondly, Russian infantry also advanced in the high-rise residential part of the Kanal micro-district, capturing a further 9 high-rise buildings. They were also able to capture a small residential area consisting of houses, including the general store, the pharmacy and the local post office.

Assaults are underway on St. Boris's church and the remaining high-rise residential block.

A reliable source reported that Rozdolivka (Bakhmut sector) is mostly under Russian control, but there are Ukrainian soldiers still in the basements of the houses. So far, I have only viewed visual confirmation of a Russian presence in the southeastern part of the settlement.

Reports are coming in that Russian forces launched cross-border offensive operations in a new part of Kharkiv Oblast near the village of Sotnyts'kyi Kozachok.

A Russian Brigadier general along with the Pro-Ukrainian source Deepstate both reported this.

Previously, the village of Sotnyts'kyi Kozachok was used as a staging ground for incursions on Russian territory by the Russian Volunteer Corps which resulted in the capture of the nearby Russian village of Gorkovskii.

This would make sense considering Russian forces have largely been attacking in areas where all Russian Pro-Ukrainian forces launched cross-border incursions in 2023 and 2024.

It is currently unknown whether this is the beginning of a new front in Kharkiv Oblast or if it is just a limited cross-border incursion like the one in Ryzhivka, Sumy Oblast by Chechen "Akhmat" forces.

I will update if anything comes of this.

Deepstate reports that most of Sotnyts'kyi Kozachok is in the grey zone.

"A Russian sabotage and intelligence group attempted to conduct combat operations in the border area of ​​Sotnytsky Kozachk in the north of Kharkiv Oblast. The border guards repelled the Russian attack"

- The Ukrainian Spokesman of the State Border Service Andriy Demchenko.

Israeli warplanes are flying over Jenin, the West bank. This comes as the Governor of Jenin warned that Israel is threatening to bomb Jenin from the air.

Update from Gaza:

Geolocated footage indicates that Israeli tanks and other armoured vehicles significantly advanced southwest of Gaza city, and captured the rest of the Az-Zahra area.

The maximum advance of the IDF was ~4.37km.

Additionally, the IDF reportedly conducted raids on the Al-Zeitoun, Al Tuffah and Al-Shejaiya districts of Gaza city.

Forgot to update the scale sorry. It's not 300m.