In theory, they should be approaching their first potential launch lines.

As many as 17 Tu-95s are now airborne, all of which have combined into one group, heading south to the potential launch lines in Saratov Oblast.

5 Tu-160's are flying to potential launch lines in the Caspian sea. This means that as many as 22 strategic bombers are airborne, ALL flying to launch lines. It is highly unlikely that all will launch, if any launch at all, but these are record numbers.

Reports of 2 more Tu-160s airborne, bringing the total to 7.

Confirmed. 7 Tu-160s are flying to the Caspian Sea. As many as 24 strategic bombers are airborne.

Explosions in Pavlohrad, Dnipropetrovsk Oblast. Geran attacks.

Approximate situation with Strategic bombers:

16 Tu-95s flew past the launch lines in Saratov Oblast and are now over Volgograd Oblast, likely heading to the Caspian Sea.

6-7 Tu-160s are approaching the Caspian Sea.

Launch maneuvers were conducted.

We'll find out if they are real or simulated later.

A Geran drone struck a target in Mykolaiv.

All 16 Tu-95s have turned in the opposite direction after conducting launch maneuvers over the Caspian Sea. It is unclear how many of them conducted a launch maneuver.

It is also unclear where the Tu-160s are. No launches were reported from them.

More launch maneuvers were carried out by the Tu-95s, this time from Astrakhan Oblast.

~15 Geran drones remain in the airspace of Ukraine, half of what it was an hour and a half ago.

Kalibrs were launched from the Black Sea. Here we go everyone.

At least ten Kalibrs were apparently launched.

~10 Kalibrs heading for Kropyvynytskyi

Clear. Possibly a false alarm.

Ukrainian monitor channels are very skittish

We should be expecting Kh-101s soon.

There are now 4 Kalibr missile carriers in the black sea with a total salvo of up to 24 missiles.

New Geran drones were launched from Khalino airbase in Kursk, and have entered Sumy Oblast.