AMK Mapping
Following the IDF raid on Al-Shejaiya in Gaza city and intense shelling of the area, the Palestinian red crescent reported that more than 30 people were wounded.
15 people were reportedly killed and 105 injured.
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Russian Shahed drones were largely targeting southern and western Ukraine today. Interestingly they are still targeting the Starokostyantyniv airfield in Khmelnytskyi Oblast which is likely where F-16 infrastructure was being built.
Additionally, some drones targeted the Transcarpathia region for the first time in a decent amount of time, while Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts were heavily targeted as usual.
Additionally, some drones targeted the Transcarpathia region for the first time in a decent amount of time, while Kherson and Mykolaiv Oblasts were heavily targeted as usual.
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Following Russia's success in advancing by over 3.3km in the Kupyansk direction, Ukrainian forces launched a counterattack on Russia's eastern flank, possibly with the goal of encircling the Russian-held forward trench system which they captured just the other day.
So far as a result of the counterattacks, Ukrainian forces lost one IFV. The infantry assault group also likely sustained losses as they came under Russian shelling.
It is currently unknown whether or not this counterattack was successful, but if it was it would put the Russian forces in their new positions in an operational encirclement, and they would have to retreat across the open field in order to reach safe lines. It would also buy more time for the defence of Synkivka, Petropavlivka and Kupyansk and slow the Russians down in their offensive efforts.
So far as a result of the counterattacks, Ukrainian forces lost one IFV. The infantry assault group also likely sustained losses as they came under Russian shelling.
It is currently unknown whether or not this counterattack was successful, but if it was it would put the Russian forces in their new positions in an operational encirclement, and they would have to retreat across the open field in order to reach safe lines. It would also buy more time for the defence of Synkivka, Petropavlivka and Kupyansk and slow the Russians down in their offensive efforts.
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Following the reported withdrawal of the Ukrainian garrisons holed up in the two central high-rise buildings in the Kanal micro-district of Chasiv Yar, new drone footage was released from the area showing Ukrainian reinforcements being brought into the last remaining residential block under Ukrainian control using an APC.
This indicates that Ukraine is not planning on leaving the micro-district any time soon and is attempting to beef up the defence of the eastern half of it.
It also indicates that more pontoon bridges have been set up over the Siversky Donets canal. Ukraine will likely suffer heavy losses crossing the canal as these pontoon bridges become choke points where reinforcements are funneled through.
Russian drone and artillery operators are likely constantly monitoring these crossings for any sort of movement. We have already seen geolocations of a large number of Ukrainian vehicle losses near the bridge on Oleha Koshovoho street which has now been destroyed.
This indicates that Ukraine is not planning on leaving the micro-district any time soon and is attempting to beef up the defence of the eastern half of it.
It also indicates that more pontoon bridges have been set up over the Siversky Donets canal. Ukraine will likely suffer heavy losses crossing the canal as these pontoon bridges become choke points where reinforcements are funneled through.
Russian drone and artillery operators are likely constantly monitoring these crossings for any sort of movement. We have already seen geolocations of a large number of Ukrainian vehicle losses near the bridge on Oleha Koshovoho street which has now been destroyed.
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Reports indicate that as a result of yesterday's raid on Al Sejaiya in Gaza city, the IDF was able to advance over 4km deep into the city and reached the Tunisian cemetery on Abu AlKass street.
It is currently unknown whether the IDF is planning to remain there for a long period of time, or if this is just a limited raid, but if geolocations appear in the coming days showing a presence there then I will add it to the map.
It is currently unknown whether the IDF is planning to remain there for a long period of time, or if this is just a limited raid, but if geolocations appear in the coming days showing a presence there then I will add it to the map.
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AMK Mapping
(part 1) Geolocated footage and reliable reports from both sides indicate that Russian forces have made significant progress in the Toretsk direction. Let's break it down: Russian infantry, likely concealed by the windbreaks on either side of the railway…
Adjusting the frontline in Ukraine's favour following new footage being posted showing a Ukrainian presence south of Shumy. I was just waiting for this footage to be dated, and it turns out that it was very recent.
This lays off some of the pressure on the Ukrainian forces on the Terykons (industrial waste heaps) to the south in Pivdenne.
Note: this is not a Ukrainian advance. Just a map mistake.
This lays off some of the pressure on the Ukrainian forces on the Terykons (industrial waste heaps) to the south in Pivdenne.
Note: this is not a Ukrainian advance. Just a map mistake.
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AMK Mapping
Heavy fighting is ongoing in Mogok's sister city of Kyatpyin (in yellow) in the Mandalay state of Myanmar. Geolocated footage shows smoke plumes rising from a residential area in the central part of the city. This comes as a surprise KNLA offensive speeds…
Clarification of the frontlines in Kyatpyin and Mogok in Myanmar. The fighting has reached the police station in the centre of Kyatpyin, while the key town of Mogok which is said to be the main target of the 1027 offensive is surrounded by three sides.
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AMK Mapping
Explosions in Odesa Oblast.
It likely hit its target. I say likely because it's possible there is a patriot system nearby considering yesterday's Iskander was shot down.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian infantry, possibly accompanied by motorbikes continue to slowly advance in Krasnohorivka.
Here they were able to capture most of the remaining part of the town centre and advance into the northern residential areas, capturing multiple streets and a church.
It appears that the fall of the main part of Krasnohorivka is imminent as reports indicate that Ukrainian forces are low on pretty much everything here and may be forced to conduct a sudden withdrawal.
The fall of the Refractory plant which not only is on the high ground but was also the main fortified area in the town complicated the defensive operations significantly, and honestly, I am surprised that the town has held out for this long. I expected Krasnohorivka to fall within 2-3 weeks of the capture refractory plant.
Here they were able to capture most of the remaining part of the town centre and advance into the northern residential areas, capturing multiple streets and a church.
It appears that the fall of the main part of Krasnohorivka is imminent as reports indicate that Ukrainian forces are low on pretty much everything here and may be forced to conduct a sudden withdrawal.
The fall of the Refractory plant which not only is on the high ground but was also the main fortified area in the town complicated the defensive operations significantly, and honestly, I am surprised that the town has held out for this long. I expected Krasnohorivka to fall within 2-3 weeks of the capture refractory plant.
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(Part 1) Regarding the situation in Yasnobrodivka and the "peninsula".
Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have restarted offensive operations in the Yasnobrodivka direction (Avdiivka sector).
Russian forces originally attacked the eastern outskirts of this village using BMPs about a week and a half ago, however, were likely unsuccessful in doing so. Following this attack, Russian forces using unknown vehicles attacked again, and managed to capture both of the lake-side manors.
This advance, along with the advance into the northern outskirts of Karlivka in the "Donbas" dacha village indicate that Ukrainian forces likely withdrew from the treeline southeast of Yasnobrodivka too.
This means that most if not all of the high ground on the "peninsula" has been captured by Russian forces which will further complicate the Ukrainian defence of the remaining positions there.
Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have restarted offensive operations in the Yasnobrodivka direction (Avdiivka sector).
Russian forces originally attacked the eastern outskirts of this village using BMPs about a week and a half ago, however, were likely unsuccessful in doing so. Following this attack, Russian forces using unknown vehicles attacked again, and managed to capture both of the lake-side manors.
This advance, along with the advance into the northern outskirts of Karlivka in the "Donbas" dacha village indicate that Ukrainian forces likely withdrew from the treeline southeast of Yasnobrodivka too.
This means that most if not all of the high ground on the "peninsula" has been captured by Russian forces which will further complicate the Ukrainian defence of the remaining positions there.
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AMK Mapping
(Part 1) Regarding the situation in Yasnobrodivka and the "peninsula". Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have restarted offensive operations in the Yasnobrodivka direction (Avdiivka sector). Russian forces originally attacked the eastern…
(Part 2) Reports have been coming in that yesterday, Ukrainian forces attempted a counterattack in the Yasnobrodivka area which was reportedly repulsed by Russian forces. However, this does indicate that Ukrainian forces may not giving up on holding this "peninsula" yet and may fight to the bitter end to prevent its complete capture.
It makes me wonder what Ukraine's defences are like further west. There is a small land bridge that connects the "peninsula" to the Karlivka-Kalynove area which could be used as a chokehold to funnel Russian troops into a death-zone of sorts.
The fact that Ukraine isn't withdrawing from the "peninsula" indicates that they may not be confident in their defences, even though they will be able to withdraw to more advantageous positions further west and utilise the chokehold to their advantage.
Of course, it could just be that they are holding the "peninsula" for PR and morale reasons. Ukraine suffered heavy losses in vehicles and other equipment while defending Tonenke which was the gateway to this "peninsula", so to see all that go to waste without putting up a good fight might demoralise troops in the area which are likely already suffering from morale issues following the fall of Avdiivka and the subsequent retreats of up to 22km in a westerly direction.
But surely, retreating to more advantageous positions and funneling Russians through the choke hold would be better for Ukraine and would cost them far less. It appears that these Syrskyi tactics are not working well for Ukraine and may cost them dearly, which is something we do not want to see in such a critical time for the AFU.
Overall, in my opinion we will likely see the fall of the "Peninsula" in the coming weeks, and it remains to be seen how long Ukraine can halt the westerly Russian advance and how many casualties they can force Russia to sustain here.
It makes me wonder what Ukraine's defences are like further west. There is a small land bridge that connects the "peninsula" to the Karlivka-Kalynove area which could be used as a chokehold to funnel Russian troops into a death-zone of sorts.
The fact that Ukraine isn't withdrawing from the "peninsula" indicates that they may not be confident in their defences, even though they will be able to withdraw to more advantageous positions further west and utilise the chokehold to their advantage.
Of course, it could just be that they are holding the "peninsula" for PR and morale reasons. Ukraine suffered heavy losses in vehicles and other equipment while defending Tonenke which was the gateway to this "peninsula", so to see all that go to waste without putting up a good fight might demoralise troops in the area which are likely already suffering from morale issues following the fall of Avdiivka and the subsequent retreats of up to 22km in a westerly direction.
But surely, retreating to more advantageous positions and funneling Russians through the choke hold would be better for Ukraine and would cost them far less. It appears that these Syrskyi tactics are not working well for Ukraine and may cost them dearly, which is something we do not want to see in such a critical time for the AFU.
Overall, in my opinion we will likely see the fall of the "Peninsula" in the coming weeks, and it remains to be seen how long Ukraine can halt the westerly Russian advance and how many casualties they can force Russia to sustain here.
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Reports are coming in that Ukrainian forces withdrew from the "citadel" in Krasnohorivka (outlined in blue) to the eastern residential area. This would indicate that Ukrainian forces withdrew from the pocket formed east of Krasnohorivka a while ago, however I will wait for geolocations confirming that as usual.
Heavy fighting is also occurring near the city hospital (circled in red) where Russian assaults on the complex and surrounding buildings are underway.
It appears that Russian forces are trying to knock the AFU out of their remaining strongholds in Krasnohorivka in order to pave the way for the capture of the entirety of the town.
Heavy fighting is also occurring near the city hospital (circled in red) where Russian assaults on the complex and surrounding buildings are underway.
It appears that Russian forces are trying to knock the AFU out of their remaining strongholds in Krasnohorivka in order to pave the way for the capture of the entirety of the town.
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