Geolocated footage indicates that Russian infantry, possibly accompanied by motorbikes continue to slowly advance in Krasnohorivka.
Here they were able to capture most of the remaining part of the town centre and advance into the northern residential areas, capturing multiple streets and a church.
It appears that the fall of the main part of Krasnohorivka is imminent as reports indicate that Ukrainian forces are low on pretty much everything here and may be forced to conduct a sudden withdrawal.
The fall of the Refractory plant which not only is on the high ground but was also the main fortified area in the town complicated the defensive operations significantly, and honestly, I am surprised that the town has held out for this long. I expected Krasnohorivka to fall within 2-3 weeks of the capture refractory plant.
Here they were able to capture most of the remaining part of the town centre and advance into the northern residential areas, capturing multiple streets and a church.
It appears that the fall of the main part of Krasnohorivka is imminent as reports indicate that Ukrainian forces are low on pretty much everything here and may be forced to conduct a sudden withdrawal.
The fall of the Refractory plant which not only is on the high ground but was also the main fortified area in the town complicated the defensive operations significantly, and honestly, I am surprised that the town has held out for this long. I expected Krasnohorivka to fall within 2-3 weeks of the capture refractory plant.
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(Part 1) Regarding the situation in Yasnobrodivka and the "peninsula".
Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have restarted offensive operations in the Yasnobrodivka direction (Avdiivka sector).
Russian forces originally attacked the eastern outskirts of this village using BMPs about a week and a half ago, however, were likely unsuccessful in doing so. Following this attack, Russian forces using unknown vehicles attacked again, and managed to capture both of the lake-side manors.
This advance, along with the advance into the northern outskirts of Karlivka in the "Donbas" dacha village indicate that Ukrainian forces likely withdrew from the treeline southeast of Yasnobrodivka too.
This means that most if not all of the high ground on the "peninsula" has been captured by Russian forces which will further complicate the Ukrainian defence of the remaining positions there.
Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have restarted offensive operations in the Yasnobrodivka direction (Avdiivka sector).
Russian forces originally attacked the eastern outskirts of this village using BMPs about a week and a half ago, however, were likely unsuccessful in doing so. Following this attack, Russian forces using unknown vehicles attacked again, and managed to capture both of the lake-side manors.
This advance, along with the advance into the northern outskirts of Karlivka in the "Donbas" dacha village indicate that Ukrainian forces likely withdrew from the treeline southeast of Yasnobrodivka too.
This means that most if not all of the high ground on the "peninsula" has been captured by Russian forces which will further complicate the Ukrainian defence of the remaining positions there.
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AMK Mapping
(Part 1) Regarding the situation in Yasnobrodivka and the "peninsula". Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have restarted offensive operations in the Yasnobrodivka direction (Avdiivka sector). Russian forces originally attacked the eastern…
(Part 2) Reports have been coming in that yesterday, Ukrainian forces attempted a counterattack in the Yasnobrodivka area which was reportedly repulsed by Russian forces. However, this does indicate that Ukrainian forces may not giving up on holding this "peninsula" yet and may fight to the bitter end to prevent its complete capture.
It makes me wonder what Ukraine's defences are like further west. There is a small land bridge that connects the "peninsula" to the Karlivka-Kalynove area which could be used as a chokehold to funnel Russian troops into a death-zone of sorts.
The fact that Ukraine isn't withdrawing from the "peninsula" indicates that they may not be confident in their defences, even though they will be able to withdraw to more advantageous positions further west and utilise the chokehold to their advantage.
Of course, it could just be that they are holding the "peninsula" for PR and morale reasons. Ukraine suffered heavy losses in vehicles and other equipment while defending Tonenke which was the gateway to this "peninsula", so to see all that go to waste without putting up a good fight might demoralise troops in the area which are likely already suffering from morale issues following the fall of Avdiivka and the subsequent retreats of up to 22km in a westerly direction.
But surely, retreating to more advantageous positions and funneling Russians through the choke hold would be better for Ukraine and would cost them far less. It appears that these Syrskyi tactics are not working well for Ukraine and may cost them dearly, which is something we do not want to see in such a critical time for the AFU.
Overall, in my opinion we will likely see the fall of the "Peninsula" in the coming weeks, and it remains to be seen how long Ukraine can halt the westerly Russian advance and how many casualties they can force Russia to sustain here.
It makes me wonder what Ukraine's defences are like further west. There is a small land bridge that connects the "peninsula" to the Karlivka-Kalynove area which could be used as a chokehold to funnel Russian troops into a death-zone of sorts.
The fact that Ukraine isn't withdrawing from the "peninsula" indicates that they may not be confident in their defences, even though they will be able to withdraw to more advantageous positions further west and utilise the chokehold to their advantage.
Of course, it could just be that they are holding the "peninsula" for PR and morale reasons. Ukraine suffered heavy losses in vehicles and other equipment while defending Tonenke which was the gateway to this "peninsula", so to see all that go to waste without putting up a good fight might demoralise troops in the area which are likely already suffering from morale issues following the fall of Avdiivka and the subsequent retreats of up to 22km in a westerly direction.
But surely, retreating to more advantageous positions and funneling Russians through the choke hold would be better for Ukraine and would cost them far less. It appears that these Syrskyi tactics are not working well for Ukraine and may cost them dearly, which is something we do not want to see in such a critical time for the AFU.
Overall, in my opinion we will likely see the fall of the "Peninsula" in the coming weeks, and it remains to be seen how long Ukraine can halt the westerly Russian advance and how many casualties they can force Russia to sustain here.
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Reports are coming in that Ukrainian forces withdrew from the "citadel" in Krasnohorivka (outlined in blue) to the eastern residential area. This would indicate that Ukrainian forces withdrew from the pocket formed east of Krasnohorivka a while ago, however I will wait for geolocations confirming that as usual.
Heavy fighting is also occurring near the city hospital (circled in red) where Russian assaults on the complex and surrounding buildings are underway.
It appears that Russian forces are trying to knock the AFU out of their remaining strongholds in Krasnohorivka in order to pave the way for the capture of the entirety of the town.
Heavy fighting is also occurring near the city hospital (circled in red) where Russian assaults on the complex and surrounding buildings are underway.
It appears that Russian forces are trying to knock the AFU out of their remaining strongholds in Krasnohorivka in order to pave the way for the capture of the entirety of the town.
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Forwarded from 🔻Warfare Analysis NEWS
We are engaged in fierce clashes with various weapons with enemy forces penetrating the Al-Shuja’iya neighborhood, east of Gaza City.
#Al-Aqsa Flood
[G&T]
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Multiple sources reported that Russian forces started offensive operations in another sector of the frontline in the Horlivka sector. Here Russian forces reportedly managed to advance by ~880m and entered the first houses of Niu-york.
They reportedly advanced on both sides of the Kryvyi Torets river, capturing a treeline on the western bank while also capturing another treeline on the eastern bank (southwest of the first houses).
So far, these advances are unconfirmed, and I will wait for geolocations before adding them to my map as usual.
They reportedly advanced on both sides of the Kryvyi Torets river, capturing a treeline on the western bank while also capturing another treeline on the eastern bank (southwest of the first houses).
So far, these advances are unconfirmed, and I will wait for geolocations before adding them to my map as usual.
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AMK Mapping
Heavy Israeli artillery shelling in Al-Shujaiya
The clashes in Al-Shujaiya are very violent. We haven't seen anything like this since the raids on Jabalia.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces continue to slowly advance on the southern Donetsk front.
Here a Russian mechanised assault consisting of three unknown vehicles managed to advance northwest and take up positions in the low-lying ground. It appears that despite heavy Ukrainian artillery strikes, none of the vehicles were destroyed, although it is possible that the video cut off before any of them were damaged.
The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~1.07km.
Here a Russian mechanised assault consisting of three unknown vehicles managed to advance northwest and take up positions in the low-lying ground. It appears that despite heavy Ukrainian artillery strikes, none of the vehicles were destroyed, although it is possible that the video cut off before any of them were damaged.
The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~1.07km.
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(Part 1) Geolocated footage indicates that Ukrainian forces continue to slowly advance in Vovchansk.
Here, Ukrainian infantry launched an assault on Russian positions in School no. 2 and managed to dislodge them from the complex. They also likely managed to clear a row of houses to the west.
It appears that the Ukrainian goal here is to encircle Russian forces inside the Vovchansk Aggregate plant. In my opinion, there are two reasons for doing this, the first being the obvious: force Russian soldiers to surrender and capture them. It looks good in reports and photos, might boost morale and will slightly decrease the invading force in Vovchansk.
Here, Ukrainian infantry launched an assault on Russian positions in School no. 2 and managed to dislodge them from the complex. They also likely managed to clear a row of houses to the west.
It appears that the Ukrainian goal here is to encircle Russian forces inside the Vovchansk Aggregate plant. In my opinion, there are two reasons for doing this, the first being the obvious: force Russian soldiers to surrender and capture them. It looks good in reports and photos, might boost morale and will slightly decrease the invading force in Vovchansk.
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AMK Mapping
(Part 1) Geolocated footage indicates that Ukrainian forces continue to slowly advance in Vovchansk. Here, Ukrainian infantry launched an assault on Russian positions in School no. 2 and managed to dislodge them from the complex. They also likely managed…
(Part 2) The other reason is to support the narrative that Russian forces were encircled in the first place. You might remember that around 2 weeks ago, Ukrainian sources (including Deepstate) reported that Russian forces had been encircled in the aggregate plant and completely cut off from the rest of the city. Some went as far to claim that 200 soldiers were encircled. Footage showing the plant being bombed by JDAMs further corroborated those claims.
However, if you have been looking at the different pieces of footage carefully, you would notice that these claims are false and that Russian forces still maintained a corridor into the plant. It appears that Ukraine wants to actually cut off the Russians in order to support the narrative that they were encircled in the first place just to try and prove everyone wrong.
I could be wrong, but that is just my take. It is entirely possible that the goal is simply to retake territory for PR and morale reasons. I have talked about why I don't think that these counterattacks (especially in Vovchansk) are a good idea, so I won't go into that here.
However, if you have been looking at the different pieces of footage carefully, you would notice that these claims are false and that Russian forces still maintained a corridor into the plant. It appears that Ukraine wants to actually cut off the Russians in order to support the narrative that they were encircled in the first place just to try and prove everyone wrong.
I could be wrong, but that is just my take. It is entirely possible that the goal is simply to retake territory for PR and morale reasons. I have talked about why I don't think that these counterattacks (especially in Vovchansk) are a good idea, so I won't go into that here.
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Missile danger for Sevastopol. Air defence was working near the city. Preliminarily, 2 missiles of an unknown type were shot down.
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Forwarded from 🔻Warfare Analysis NEWS
Two rockets fired from Gaza exploded near “Kerem Shalom” in the Gaza envelope, without activating the sirens.
[A.k]
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