Last night was the largest Russian Geran-2 drone attack on Ukraine since the beginning of the war.

According to the Ukrainian Air Force, 188 drones were launched. They claimed that Air Defence and electronic warfare destroyed 171 of them, while 5 flew to Belarus and didn't return.

However, explosions were reported in the following cities:

- Zhytomyr
- Shepetivka, Khmelnytskyi Oblast
- Ternopil
- Kyiv
- Boryspil, Kyiv Oblast
- Vyshhorod, Kyiv Oblast
- Pereyslav, Kyiv Oblast
- Obukhiv, Kyiv Oblast
- Yahotyn, Kyiv Oblast
- Vinnytsia
- Sumy
- Shostka, Sumy Oblast

A recent report from Pro-Ukrainain source "Deepstate" suggests that Russian forces have expanded their bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Oskil river, taking up more positions in the forests.

There are also reports that fighting has moved to the southern houses of Novomylnsk, although there has been no visual confirmation of any consolidation in the village.

It is reported that the remaining Ukrainian formations in the cauldron south of Kurakhove are retreating.

A new report states that Russian forces have advanced east of Vyshneve, taking up positions in the eastern houses of Zelenyi Hai

If true, it would appear that the second spearhead to the Oskil river is expanding.

My prediction for the southern flank of Pokrovsk:

I believe that the Russians will utilise the railway line (again), and the nearby chain of settlements to seize the key town of Shevchenko. This will be useful for them as it will strengthen the southern flank of Pokrovsk and can be used as a forward troop deployment point.

It will additionally allow Russia to get behind the strong Ukrainian positions in Lysivka and Sukhyi Yar, which they have been trying to take for a long time. It will also cut one of the main supply roads into Pokrovsk and will put them close to another highway.

This was all because Selydove was captured. As I and others previously mentioned, the fall of Selydove would be a major defeat for Ukraine, as the lack of defences to the west of the city means that Russia can move with much more ease. The lack of defensive fortifications also makes it more difficult for Ukraine to stage flanking counterattacks, meaning that longer and what would usually be more risky spearheads can now be safely created by Russia.

The current situation in Kurakhove according to a local Ukrainian source

Smoke rising over the suburbs of Sumy after a Russian Iskander missile strike

It looks like we might get at least a temporary ceasefire in Lebanon within the next 48 hours.

A Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile was launched from Crimea in the direction of Odesa.

A second Iskander-M was launched in the direction of Odesa.

Explosions in Odesa Oblast.

The explosions were in the town of Tuzly. Two Orlan-10 reconnaissance UAVs were over the settlement, but have left for the town of Lebedivka.