Geolocated footage shows that the RSF has indeed captured Sinjah. It appears that the SAF defences in Jebel Moya completely collapsed following the capture of the town.

An RSF offensive on Sennar is now imminent.

I think that this is the moment for me when I realise that the SAF cannot win this war.

Iskander in the direction of Odesa.

An explosion was reported in Odesa Oblast, likely Bilhorod-Dnistrovsky district.

Reportedly smoke rising over Odesa.

(Part 1) Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces made limited gains in the Kupyansk direction.

The footage shows a Russian BMP-2 advancing northwest of Kyslivka before being set on fire by Ukrainian drones. This indicates that Russian forces managed to advance in the windbreaks on either side of the railway line.

If I had to guess the original assault which wasn't caught on video would have been conducted by Russian infantry, being concealed from Ukrainian drones and artillery by the thick trees in the windbreaks. Then, building on their original success, a follow-up attack would have been launched with a BMP-2 providing fire support.

(Part 2) It is unknown whether or not this assault was successful. It could have been successful if Ukrainian drones were too pre-occupied with the BMP-2 to strike possible Russian infantry in the area, but that would depend on how many Ukrainian drones are in the area. It is also possible that it was just the BMP-2 on its own. There simply isn't enough context in the footage to draw a reliable conclusion from it.

Overall, if this second attack was successful, it would be a useful advance for Russia as it is on the high-ground and the new positions could be used to support further assaults to the northwest and southwest.

The maximum advance of Russian forces was ~830m.

Air raid alerts just outside Gaza again following Hamas launching rockets. These have been increasing lately.

More air raid alerts in Israel outside southern Gaza.

Explosions in Berdyansk, occupied Zaporizhzhia Oblast.

Air raid alerts in Kyiv and a number of regions. Previously there was a Russian recon UAV over Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast. It is possible that Iskander missiles will be launched at Poltava Oblast.

An Iskander was launched at Sumy Oblast. It has already either been shot down or hit it's target.

Another Iskander was launched, this time in the direction of Myrhorod, Poltava Oblast.

Explosions in Myrhorod.

The issue I have with this claim by the Russian MOD is that Spirne is completely destroyed and likely in the grey zone. Even Russian sources report this. If you look at google maps imagery from 2022, you can see that even back then, not a single building was left standing. Imagine what it must be like now!

From what I've seen, Ukrainian forces finally withdrew from their years old positions inside the village due to them being untenable to hold and most of the settlement has become a contested grey zone. There was a small Russian advance south of Spirne which you may see in the post below which I will report about later.

Overall, Spirne has faced fighting for nearly 2 years now, and as a result has been completely flattened, similar to that of Robotyne. Heavy artillery, drone strikes, etc have had their intended effect once again, and now Ukrainian forces will need to withdraw to the slightly less destroyed village of Ivano-Darivka.

Another sector of the frontline likely soon to be re-activated. Meanwhile Ukraine is wasting all their manpower on Kharkiv Oblast.

Sorry for the message spam, sometimes I forget to post my tweets on here lol