A lot of movements north of Homs, Syria. Will report with maps later. I think it will be a late night for me lol.

Russia has significantly decreased their presence in the waters of the Black Sea, with only 1 submarine of the “Varshavyanka" project active.

This gives us a possible total salvo of 4 Kalibr missiles.

Update from The Syrian Civil War:

Over the past 24 hours, HTS has made significant advances across the frontline, seizing large swaths of territory. They were not only able to capture the strategic city of Hama but also entered the Homs governorate and began fighting for the desert settlements there.

Starting off in Hama, HTS was able to capture the city after the SAA announced a "strategic withdrawal to the south". The city was at a significant risk of encirclement after the HTS pincers were closing in on the last roads. However, it appears that after withdrawing, the SAA moved further south than expected, possibly due to a late withdrawal and not having enough time to set up positions close to Hama. This allowed HTS to advance significantly south of the city, approaching the Orontes River. The found that the bridge over the river was still intact, so crossed it and captured the city of Ar-Rastan - the third largest in the Homs governorate. A Russian airstrike destroyed the bridge shortly afterwards. Nevertheless, there are reports stating that HTS has reached the northern outskirts of Homs, but this remains unconfirmed at the time of writing.

Meanwhile in the Syrian desert, HTS militants were able to capture the strategic logistical hub of Salamiyah, which is situated at the intersection of two highways. This means that 2 of the 6 highways leading out of Homs are now cut. Additionally, they were able to advance further east through the Syrian desert, reaching the settlements of Hdazh and Ithriya, where clashes are taking place. HTS is currently trying to bypass Ithriya from the north.

And finally, on the Al-Ghab plains axis, HTS was able to break through SAA positions, and reach the water canal from most directions. The key SAA stronghold town of Qalaat Al Madiq was captured in the process, as well as dozens of other smaller settlements.

By the way, apologies for not making separate map updates, I just thought it would be better to catch up by doing one big update due to how much I missed while I was offline. Thanks for reading!

Southern FSA sleeper cells appear to be moving freely through the city of Inkhil, in the Southern Dara'a province of Syria, after SAA security personnel withdrew.

Geolocated footage and recent reports indicate that HTS has captured the town of Talbiseh, north of Homs. This puts them just 5.5km from the northern outskirts of the city, and around 32km from the Lebanese border.

Ukraine has withdrawn from the southern Kurakhove pocket.

Do you guys still think Iran will respond to Israel? I've been thinking about that lately.

Threat of IRBMs from Astrakhan Oblast

There was a launch or a simulated launch

Explosion in Kryvyi Rih, it could be unrelated but we'll see.

Apparently the explosion was unrelated. Either way, 10 minutes have passed, so if that wasn't the Oreshnik, then it wasn't launched.

It was launched. Heading for Dnipro

Bro I hate Ukrainian channels sometimes

To be fair it is probably just civilians being paranoid and mistaking something dumb like a bird for an ICBM lol. I wonder if it was another hang glider.

Yeah it was nothing. All channels are confirming this.

HTS drones are currently attacking Homs city. There are reports of interceptions.

The FSA captured an SAA tank in Dara'a, southern Syria

The situation in Syria is becoming catastrophic for the SAA. They are about to lose their whole coastline. This will shorten the frontline. There are only two real hopes for the SAA, the first being that they can wear down HTS manpower with artillery and airstrikes to a point where HTS can't advance any further without becoming so over-extended that even the smallest counterattacks will break through. The SAA will also need to do some major regrouping north of the capital. The second is that if Iran directly intervenes. @Suriyak_Maps has talked about this, but in short, if Syria falls, Hezbollah's supplies from Iran will be cut.

This offensive is reshaping the entire geopolitical and strategic situation in The Middle East.

⚡🇸🇾 The Daraa front reopens. Former rebels that made peace with Assad have taken up arms in southern Syria wresting Daraa city and the Nasib border crossing.

@medmannews

The question is, how effective will the Daraa front be? This could completely overextend the SAA, or it could just be an insurgency that seeks to harass the SAA formations there. I'm not too sure about the FSA's manpower situation in Daraa.

The Russian and Chinese embassies in Damascus have called on their citizens to leave Syria.