Disappeared from the radar. It either struck an open area, was shot down or was a false alarm.

All 4 Tu-95s are flying south towards the launch lines in the Engels area of Saratov oblast.

The Tu-95s are currently over Vologda Oblast, keeping the same course towards the launch lines in the Engels Area. They will probably arrive at the launch lines in around an hour.

In my opinion, this is just a redeployment. 4 Tu-95s isn't many, and Ukrainian monitoring channels reported that the radio activity observed before the departure from Olenya Airbase was consistent with preparations for redeployment.

However, they are taking off at a very common time for combat sorties to take place, so my guess is that while they are redeploying, they will also conduct a simulated launch maneuver, although that would require them to fly further south before returning to Engels-2 Airbase as they always launch over Engels.

Unconfirmed reports of 2 more Tu-95ms aircraft taking off from Olenya Airbase in Murmansk Oblast.

The Pokrovsk Coking mine is ceasing it's operations. The closure of the plant could diminish Ukrainian steel production to only 2-3 million metric tons, down from a projected 7.5 million by the end of 2024

4-6 Tu-95s have all entered Penza Oblast. They will be at the launch lines in the next 15-20 minutes.

A launch maneuver was carried out

As many as 8 Tu-95s are in the air, all of them conducted a launch maneuver.

Threat of Iskanders from Taganrog

Reports of Kalibr Missile carriers departing from Novorossiysk.

8-9 Tu-95s are flying towards the Caspian Sea. They are currently over Akhtubinsk Oblast.

Missiles should be arriving soon if they were launched.

3 Kalibr missile carriers are in the Black Sea

Missile in Kharkiv Oblast

It's flying in the direction of Poltava, probably an Iskander

Threat of Ballistic missiles from Crimea

Disappeared from the radar

8-9 Tu-95s carried out a launch maneuver from the Caspian area

The first launch maneuver that was carried out from the Engels area of Saratov Oblast was simulated.

An Iskander was launched at Kharkiv Oblast.