There has been high activity of Russian reconnaissance drones over Ukraine over the past few hours. There is currently one near Kharkiv, and another near Pavlohrad (Dnipropetrovsk Oblast).
Additionally, there were previously drones near Odesa and Chernihiv.
Additionally, there were previously drones near Odesa and Chernihiv.
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AMK Mapping
Another Iskander in the direction of Kyiv
There is now an S-300/400 system active in Belgorod Oblast which is in air defence mode. There is a possibility of ballistic missile launches considering the reconnaissance drone near Kharkiv, but this remains unlikely at the moment.
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Explosions in Pavlohrad. An Iskander Ballistic missile launched from Kursk struck the city.
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AMK Mapping
2 Russian Tu-95MS aircraft are redeploying from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast to Engels-2 air base in Saratov Oblast, presumably to be equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles. They will probably fly back to Olenya within the next 12-24 hours.
It turns out that three Russian Tu-95MS aircraft were redeployed from Olenya air base in Murmansk Oblast to Engels-2 air base in Saratov Oblast, rather than two. The purpose was to equip with Kh-101 cruise missiles.
All three Tu-95s have now flown back to Olenya. One flew back in the morning, and the other two followed shortly afterwards.
This means that there are now at least 6 Tu-95MS aircraft at Olenya air base equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles and ready for use.
All three Tu-95s have now flown back to Olenya. One flew back in the morning, and the other two followed shortly afterwards.
This means that there are now at least 6 Tu-95MS aircraft at Olenya air base equipped with Kh-101 cruise missiles and ready for use.
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South Korea's military reported that North Korea conducted a test launch of a ballistic missile a short while ago into the East Sea.
Japan's NHK News stated that officials from the relevant ministries and agencies in Japan will gather in the management centre to assess the situation.
This launch coincides with the visit of U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to South Korea to reaffirm America's alliance with the nation amid a political crisis.
Japan's NHK News stated that officials from the relevant ministries and agencies in Japan will gather in the management centre to assess the situation.
This launch coincides with the visit of U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken to South Korea to reaffirm America's alliance with the nation amid a political crisis.
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Geolocated footage and reports from reliable sources indicate that Ukrainian forces have launched a new offensive in Kursk Oblast, making progress in the direction of the town of Bolshoe Soldatskoe.
Ukraine has been accumulating armoured fighting vehicles, armoured personnel carriers, and tanks in Sumy Oblast for this offensive for some time, and yesterday they finally launched it. The attack came in two waves. The first wave consisted of around 5 armoured vehicles, all equipped with electronic warfare systems (EW), rendering most Russian drones, except fiber optic ones, useless. It advanced northeast along the P-200 highway in the direction of Bolshoe Soldatskoe. Ukrainian infantry followed close behind, and under the cover the initial thrust, were able to break off from the highway and infiltrate two forests. Russian drones quickly spotted them and corrected artillery fire on the Ukrainian formations, likely achieving casualties among them.
A second wave was then launched, in the form of a column of at least 12 armoured vehicles, which advanced past the forests while the infantry consolidated their positions there from the first assault. This column also brought electronic warfare with them, this time with longer range, making Russian reconnaissance drones very difficult to operate. Russian drone operators quickly responded by utilising fiber optic drones to strike the incoming column which was headed for the small village of Berdin. Reports suggest that a substantial number of Ukrainian armoured vehicles were destroyed in the process. Nevertheless, a couple of APCs reached the village of Berdin, where they engaged with firefights with the Russian defenders.
Russian forces were initially able to put up significant resistance in Berdin, causing the AFU to suffer casualties, but was then dislodged from their positions and Ukraine brought in more reinforcements. As the first troops entered the village, more infantry dismounted inside the village, pushing the Russians out and capturing Berdin.
Not wanting to lose their initial momentum, Ukrainian forces went on to attack to the east, entering the village of Novosotnitsky. Russian forces put up significant resistance here as well, but eventually Ukraine was able to dislodge them from their positions, securing the western houses of the village. Once the Russians retreated to the eastern houses, a Russian tank laid suppressive fire on the Ukrainian positions, attempting to degrade any future offensive potential.
As of now, fighting is ongoing in the centre of Novosotnitsky. Ukrainian forces are trying to advance further east, while the Russians put up fierce resistance. It's likely, in my opinion, that Ukraine will attempt some form of pincer movement on the village, by bringing in APCs to the east of the settlement to try to squeeze the Russian garrison out to the north. The lack of minefields on and around the R-200 highway makes it much easier for the Ukrainians to advance, with fiber optic drones remaining the main obstacle in their way.
Meanwhile, to the south, lower intensity fighting is underway. Ukrainian forces were able to advance from the village of Kruglik, capturing Russian positions in the forests and forest plantations, pushing the Russians back to the village of Pushkarnoe. This is likely to secure the flank of the main Ukrainian push to Bolshoe Soldatskoe, and so far, this maneuver has been successful.
+ ~17.9km² in favour of Ukraine.
Ukraine has been accumulating armoured fighting vehicles, armoured personnel carriers, and tanks in Sumy Oblast for this offensive for some time, and yesterday they finally launched it. The attack came in two waves. The first wave consisted of around 5 armoured vehicles, all equipped with electronic warfare systems (EW), rendering most Russian drones, except fiber optic ones, useless. It advanced northeast along the P-200 highway in the direction of Bolshoe Soldatskoe. Ukrainian infantry followed close behind, and under the cover the initial thrust, were able to break off from the highway and infiltrate two forests. Russian drones quickly spotted them and corrected artillery fire on the Ukrainian formations, likely achieving casualties among them.
A second wave was then launched, in the form of a column of at least 12 armoured vehicles, which advanced past the forests while the infantry consolidated their positions there from the first assault. This column also brought electronic warfare with them, this time with longer range, making Russian reconnaissance drones very difficult to operate. Russian drone operators quickly responded by utilising fiber optic drones to strike the incoming column which was headed for the small village of Berdin. Reports suggest that a substantial number of Ukrainian armoured vehicles were destroyed in the process. Nevertheless, a couple of APCs reached the village of Berdin, where they engaged with firefights with the Russian defenders.
Russian forces were initially able to put up significant resistance in Berdin, causing the AFU to suffer casualties, but was then dislodged from their positions and Ukraine brought in more reinforcements. As the first troops entered the village, more infantry dismounted inside the village, pushing the Russians out and capturing Berdin.
Not wanting to lose their initial momentum, Ukrainian forces went on to attack to the east, entering the village of Novosotnitsky. Russian forces put up significant resistance here as well, but eventually Ukraine was able to dislodge them from their positions, securing the western houses of the village. Once the Russians retreated to the eastern houses, a Russian tank laid suppressive fire on the Ukrainian positions, attempting to degrade any future offensive potential.
As of now, fighting is ongoing in the centre of Novosotnitsky. Ukrainian forces are trying to advance further east, while the Russians put up fierce resistance. It's likely, in my opinion, that Ukraine will attempt some form of pincer movement on the village, by bringing in APCs to the east of the settlement to try to squeeze the Russian garrison out to the north. The lack of minefields on and around the R-200 highway makes it much easier for the Ukrainians to advance, with fiber optic drones remaining the main obstacle in their way.
Meanwhile, to the south, lower intensity fighting is underway. Ukrainian forces were able to advance from the village of Kruglik, capturing Russian positions in the forests and forest plantations, pushing the Russians back to the village of Pushkarnoe. This is likely to secure the flank of the main Ukrainian push to Bolshoe Soldatskoe, and so far, this maneuver has been successful.
+ ~17.9km² in favour of Ukraine.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced in the southeastern part of the Kursk salient, and made further progress inside the village of Makhnovka.
After establishing a foothold in the southeastern houses of the village, Russian forces were able to destroy/damage a Ukrainian tank that was laying supressive fire on the Russian positions in these houses. This may have been the reason that they were able to advance over the tributary of the Sudzha river and capture positions in the houses there.
They were then able to advance further, reaching the eastern bank of the Sudzha river, while also approaching the centre of Makhnovka.
Once Makhnovka falls, the road will be open for a direct ground assault on Sudzha.
+ ~2.00km² in favour of Russia.
After establishing a foothold in the southeastern houses of the village, Russian forces were able to destroy/damage a Ukrainian tank that was laying supressive fire on the Russian positions in these houses. This may have been the reason that they were able to advance over the tributary of the Sudzha river and capture positions in the houses there.
They were then able to advance further, reaching the eastern bank of the Sudzha river, while also approaching the centre of Makhnovka.
Once Makhnovka falls, the road will be open for a direct ground assault on Sudzha.
+ ~2.00km² in favour of Russia.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced in western Luhansk Oblast, and are approaching the outskirts of Nadiya.
This area of the frontline has been relatively quiet for a while now, as the main thrust was from Pishchane towards the Oskil river as well as towards Borivska Andriivka. However, now Russian forces have restarted assault operations, attacking towards Nadiya with the goal of taking the village under their control.
Nadiya appears to be well fortified, and Ukraine is quite dug in here. The Russians failed to take in in their attacks over the Zherebets river in 2023, with the settlement becoming a key defensive node in the region.
Either way, Russia was able to advance from the reservoir, capturing two treelines and a forest plantation. There are some claims that Russian forces captured Nadiya, although I haven't viewed any evidence of this.
+ ~2.84km² in favour of Russia.
This area of the frontline has been relatively quiet for a while now, as the main thrust was from Pishchane towards the Oskil river as well as towards Borivska Andriivka. However, now Russian forces have restarted assault operations, attacking towards Nadiya with the goal of taking the village under their control.
Nadiya appears to be well fortified, and Ukraine is quite dug in here. The Russians failed to take in in their attacks over the Zherebets river in 2023, with the settlement becoming a key defensive node in the region.
Either way, Russia was able to advance from the reservoir, capturing two treelines and a forest plantation. There are some claims that Russian forces captured Nadiya, although I haven't viewed any evidence of this.
+ ~2.84km² in favour of Russia.
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Recent reports from reliable sources indicate that Russian forces made another advance in Ivanivka.
After crossing the Zherebets river and infiltrating the northern part of Ivanivka, Russian forces were able to advance south, capturing the central part of the settlement. Ukraine was forced to retreat to the southern houses, where fighting is probably ongoing.
+ ~0.50km² in favour of Russia.
After crossing the Zherebets river and infiltrating the northern part of Ivanivka, Russian forces were able to advance south, capturing the central part of the settlement. Ukraine was forced to retreat to the southern houses, where fighting is probably ongoing.
+ ~0.50km² in favour of Russia.
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Recent reports from reliable sources indicate that Ukrainian forces advanced in the direction of Klishchiivka, reaching the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal.
After back and forth fighting in the forests north of the chalk quarry on the western bank of the Siversky Donets canal, Ukrainian forces once again took the initiative and pushed the Russians back across the canal. They were able to recapture the trench fortifications in these forests, as well as in the forest plantations northwest of the chalk quarry.
This advance was likely helped by the fact that Ukraine holds the tactical heights to the west, meaning that the advance was downhill, and Ukraine maintained fire control and surveillance over the area, making it difficult for the Russians to consolidate their positions. However, as the forests are heavily damaged, the cover that was previously offered has been heavily degraded. This will make it difficult for the AFU to consolidate here, meaning that we will likely see more back and forth fighting until one side pushes beyond the forests.
+ ~3.75km² in favour of Ukraine.
After back and forth fighting in the forests north of the chalk quarry on the western bank of the Siversky Donets canal, Ukrainian forces once again took the initiative and pushed the Russians back across the canal. They were able to recapture the trench fortifications in these forests, as well as in the forest plantations northwest of the chalk quarry.
This advance was likely helped by the fact that Ukraine holds the tactical heights to the west, meaning that the advance was downhill, and Ukraine maintained fire control and surveillance over the area, making it difficult for the Russians to consolidate their positions. However, as the forests are heavily damaged, the cover that was previously offered has been heavily degraded. This will make it difficult for the AFU to consolidate here, meaning that we will likely see more back and forth fighting until one side pushes beyond the forests.
+ ~3.75km² in favour of Ukraine.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces marginally advanced in northwestern Toretsk.
After spearheading a new assault, bypassing the terykon, Russian forces went on to secure their southwestern flank. They were able to capture around 5 blocks of residential houses, pushing the Ukrainians to the forests near Toretsk's outskirts.
+ ~0.08km² in favour of Russia.
After spearheading a new assault, bypassing the terykon, Russian forces went on to secure their southwestern flank. They were able to capture around 5 blocks of residential houses, pushing the Ukrainians to the forests near Toretsk's outskirts.
+ ~0.08km² in favour of Russia.
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Recent reports from reliable sources indicate that Russian forces are continuing their advance on the eastern flank of Pokrovsk and have made further progress in two primary directions.
In the east, Russian forces were able to advance towards the settlement of Baranivka along the eastern bank of the Bychok river, approaching the village from the south. They also advanced along one main treeline, then down a perpendicular one, approaching Baranivka from the east as well. This puts any remaining Ukrainian formations in the newly formed salient at a risk of encirclement.
Meanwhile, further west, the main thrust was made. After collapsing the salient formed by the capture of Vozdvydzhenka, Russia was able to push outwards, reaching the outskirts of Yelyzavetivka, capturing multiple more treelines. They attempted an attack on Yelyzavetivka, but failed to take any positions, being repelled by Ukrainian forces defending the village. However, once Yelyzavetivka falls, Russia will be just 2.8km from the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka highway.
+ ~11.74km² in favour of Russia
In the east, Russian forces were able to advance towards the settlement of Baranivka along the eastern bank of the Bychok river, approaching the village from the south. They also advanced along one main treeline, then down a perpendicular one, approaching Baranivka from the east as well. This puts any remaining Ukrainian formations in the newly formed salient at a risk of encirclement.
Meanwhile, further west, the main thrust was made. After collapsing the salient formed by the capture of Vozdvydzhenka, Russia was able to push outwards, reaching the outskirts of Yelyzavetivka, capturing multiple more treelines. They attempted an attack on Yelyzavetivka, but failed to take any positions, being repelled by Ukrainian forces defending the village. However, once Yelyzavetivka falls, Russia will be just 2.8km from the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka highway.
+ ~11.74km² in favour of Russia
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Recent reports from reliable sources indicate that Russian forces made two advances in the Pokrovsk direction.
In the east, Russia was able to advance deeper into the village of Zelene, reaching the centre of the settlement. They were also able to capture one of the two remaining treelines south of it. The other treeline is in the grey zone. As Russian forces are also pressing from the west, its likely that Ukraine will be forced to withdraw from Zelene, north to Novoukrainka to avoid being encircled.
Meanwhile, further west, Russian forces were able to advance northwest of Pishchane again, taking up new positions in the treelines and forest plantations. They are now just 900 metres from the Mezhova - Pokrovsk highway.
+ ~2.98km² in favour of Russia.
In the east, Russia was able to advance deeper into the village of Zelene, reaching the centre of the settlement. They were also able to capture one of the two remaining treelines south of it. The other treeline is in the grey zone. As Russian forces are also pressing from the west, its likely that Ukraine will be forced to withdraw from Zelene, north to Novoukrainka to avoid being encircled.
Meanwhile, further west, Russian forces were able to advance northwest of Pishchane again, taking up new positions in the treelines and forest plantations. They are now just 900 metres from the Mezhova - Pokrovsk highway.
+ ~2.98km² in favour of Russia.
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Geolocated footage and reports from reliable sources indicate that Russian forces continue to advance on a wide front west of Kurakhove.
Starting off with the northernmost advance, and moving south, Russian forces entered the village of Petropavlivka and captured the village without much resistance, raising their flag over one of the largely intact houses.
Further south, Russian forces also advanced in Shevchenko, completing the capture of the village, reaching its western outskirts. Ukraine put up a decent amount of resistance here, with most of the battles taking place for the central houses.
Closer to Kurakhove, visual confirmation surfaced showing Russian forces in control of the mechanical plant on the western outskirts of Kurakhove, officially confirming the fall of the city. Russian forces also flattened out the frontline south of the mechanical plant.
And finally, southwest of Kurakhove, Russian forces flattened out the frontline, capturing 3 more treelines, taking up positions there.
+ ~13.08km² in favour of Russia.
Starting off with the northernmost advance, and moving south, Russian forces entered the village of Petropavlivka and captured the village without much resistance, raising their flag over one of the largely intact houses.
Further south, Russian forces also advanced in Shevchenko, completing the capture of the village, reaching its western outskirts. Ukraine put up a decent amount of resistance here, with most of the battles taking place for the central houses.
Closer to Kurakhove, visual confirmation surfaced showing Russian forces in control of the mechanical plant on the western outskirts of Kurakhove, officially confirming the fall of the city. Russian forces also flattened out the frontline south of the mechanical plant.
And finally, southwest of Kurakhove, Russian forces flattened out the frontline, capturing 3 more treelines, taking up positions there.
+ ~13.08km² in favour of Russia.
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I made a post on twitter covering my thoughts on the recent Lex Fridman interview with Zelensky.
https://x.com/AMK_Mapping_/status/1876201170378887596
https://x.com/AMK_Mapping_/status/1876201170378887596
X (formerly Twitter)
AMK Mapping 🇺🇦🇳🇿 (@AMK_Mapping_) on X
My thoughts on the Lex Fridman interview as a Pro-Ukrainian Zelensky critic.
Here I will cover the main points of the 3-hour long interview (which I watched in its entirety) and will provide my opinions on it. This will probably be quite long, so I understand…
Here I will cover the main points of the 3-hour long interview (which I watched in its entirety) and will provide my opinions on it. This will probably be quite long, so I understand…
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