Forwarded from AMK Mapping
I personally believe that Israel is gearing up to annex the Palestinian controlled parts of The West Bank. Here are a few reasons why.
1. In their briefings and announcements on "anti-terrorist operations" in the West Bank, the IDF has begun referring to the West Bank as "Judea and Samaria". Judea and Samaria is the Israeli term for the West Bank (excluding east Jerusalem). They control 230 settlements there, with another 165 "islands" which are under partial or total Palestinian authority (PA) administration (there are anti-PA resistance groups which operate there too). The fact that they have changed what they are officially calling it could represent a change in policy towards the PA-administered parts of the West Bank and while it may seem mainly symbolic, it could foreshadow the future of these territories.
2. The Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal will undoubtably significantly affect Netanyahu's popularity among Israelis, and he will probably lose the remaining support from among the hardliners, nationalists, and far-right Israelis, which was already damaged after his first response to Iran after operation True Promise I but partially restored after his stronger response to Iran's operation True Promise II and the invasion of Lebanon. To retain what support he will still have among right-wing Israelis, Netanyahu may choose a war and annexation of the West Bank. The resistance factions that fight Israel's daily incursions into parts of the PA-Administered West Bank are much weaker than Hamas and their allied factions that operate in the Gaza Strip, due to a number of reasons including lack of manpower and no solid supply lines. This would make a potential invasion much easier and would almost guarantee success.
3. The Palestinian authority has significantly warmed their relations with Israel in recent months, with the primary example of this being their direct cooperation with the IDF against the Jenin Camp Battalion in the West Bank city of Jenin. They have transmitted intelligence to the IDF regarding the location of Palestinian fighters from the Jenin Camp Battalion, allowing for precise Israeli drone strikes and even air strikes on certain areas of the city. The PA has also been fighting against the Jenin Camp Battalion on the ground, firing RPGs at buildings, and engaging in close-quarter combat on the edges of the Jenin refugee camp. The head of the Jenin camp battalion was among a number of fighters were killed in Jenin as a result of these clashes and precision strikes. This could suggest that the Palestinian authority is looking to increase their relations with Israel to ward off a future full-scale IDF invasion of the West Bank, which would undoubtably bring a lot of destruction to densely populated civilian areas.
4. Israeli Defence Minister Katz has cancelled all administrative detention orders against West Bank settlers. Administrative detention is primarily used against Palestinians; however, many settlers are held in administrative detention too.
It's also important to keep in mind that the next Israeli elections are set to take place in 2026, and Netanyahu may want to prove to the Israeli people that he can secure a victory, with said victory possibly being in the form of a war in the West Bank and its subsequent annexation.
1. In their briefings and announcements on "anti-terrorist operations" in the West Bank, the IDF has begun referring to the West Bank as "Judea and Samaria". Judea and Samaria is the Israeli term for the West Bank (excluding east Jerusalem). They control 230 settlements there, with another 165 "islands" which are under partial or total Palestinian authority (PA) administration (there are anti-PA resistance groups which operate there too). The fact that they have changed what they are officially calling it could represent a change in policy towards the PA-administered parts of the West Bank and while it may seem mainly symbolic, it could foreshadow the future of these territories.
2. The Gaza ceasefire and hostage deal will undoubtably significantly affect Netanyahu's popularity among Israelis, and he will probably lose the remaining support from among the hardliners, nationalists, and far-right Israelis, which was already damaged after his first response to Iran after operation True Promise I but partially restored after his stronger response to Iran's operation True Promise II and the invasion of Lebanon. To retain what support he will still have among right-wing Israelis, Netanyahu may choose a war and annexation of the West Bank. The resistance factions that fight Israel's daily incursions into parts of the PA-Administered West Bank are much weaker than Hamas and their allied factions that operate in the Gaza Strip, due to a number of reasons including lack of manpower and no solid supply lines. This would make a potential invasion much easier and would almost guarantee success.
3. The Palestinian authority has significantly warmed their relations with Israel in recent months, with the primary example of this being their direct cooperation with the IDF against the Jenin Camp Battalion in the West Bank city of Jenin. They have transmitted intelligence to the IDF regarding the location of Palestinian fighters from the Jenin Camp Battalion, allowing for precise Israeli drone strikes and even air strikes on certain areas of the city. The PA has also been fighting against the Jenin Camp Battalion on the ground, firing RPGs at buildings, and engaging in close-quarter combat on the edges of the Jenin refugee camp. The head of the Jenin camp battalion was among a number of fighters were killed in Jenin as a result of these clashes and precision strikes. This could suggest that the Palestinian authority is looking to increase their relations with Israel to ward off a future full-scale IDF invasion of the West Bank, which would undoubtably bring a lot of destruction to densely populated civilian areas.
4. Israeli Defence Minister Katz has cancelled all administrative detention orders against West Bank settlers. Administrative detention is primarily used against Palestinians; however, many settlers are held in administrative detention too.
It's also important to keep in mind that the next Israeli elections are set to take place in 2026, and Netanyahu may want to prove to the Israeli people that he can secure a victory, with said victory possibly being in the form of a war in the West Bank and its subsequent annexation.
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AMK Mapping
I personally believe that Israel is gearing up to annex the Palestinian controlled parts of The West Bank. Here are a few reasons why. 1. In their briefings and announcements on "anti-terrorist operations" in the West Bank, the IDF has begun referring to…
Not saying that this will happen in these potential operations, but it’s certainly an escalation.
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U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order halting all U.S. aid to foreign nations for the next 90 days.
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Donald Trump: "I looked at a picture of Gaza, it's like a giant demolition site. That place needs to be rebuilt."
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U.S. President Donald Trump has placed Cuba on the list of state sponsors of terrorism. Former U.S. President Joe Biden had removed Cuba from this list just 6 days earlier. Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel responded by calling Trump's decision to revoke Biden's measures an "act of mockery and abuse."
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Trump: "I'm not looking for conflict with Iran, we don't want any conflict. We need to stop the wars. But Iran needs to behave, and we gotta see if we can do something, if we can discuss some things."
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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
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Reuters
Trump cancels sanctions on Israeli settlers in West Bank
U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday rescinded sanctions imposed by the former Biden administration on far-right Israeli settler groups and individuals accused of being involved in violence against Palestinians in the occupied West Bank, the new White House…
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The moment a Russian Pantsir S1 air defence missile shot down a Ukrainian UAV over Smolensk city.
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A Ukrainian UAV struck the Smolensk Aviation Plant. The Smolensk Aviation Plant apparently produces Kh-55 and Kh-59 cruise missiles.
The plant was previously attacked on October 1, 2023.
The plant was previously attacked on October 1, 2023.
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A Ukrainian UAV struck the Liski oil depot in Voronezh Oblast last night. It was already burning due to another attack 5 days earlier.
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A Ukrainian UAV struck the Smolensk TV tower.
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Ukrainian channels reported that a fire broke out in a residential building in Smolensk due to a Russian Pantsir air defence missile impacting it. One channel cited supposed Russian locals.
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A short while ago, a Russian Iskander-M ballistic missile struck Dnipro city.
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AMK Mapping
U.S. President Donald Trump has signed an executive order halting all U.S. aid to foreign nations for the next 90 days.
Correction: It is a 90-day pause in United States foreign development assistance. This doesn't seem to include military aid.
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Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced in the western part of the Kursk salient, and entered the outskirts of Nikol'skii.
A Russian APC advanced across the fields and dropped off Russian troops at positions in the forest plantations on the southern outskirts of Nikol'skii. They then took up positions there. If these positions can be consolidated and resupplied, it would make the tactical situation for Ukraine west of the Malaya Loknya river much worse.
+ ~2.92km² in favour of Russia.
A Russian APC advanced across the fields and dropped off Russian troops at positions in the forest plantations on the southern outskirts of Nikol'skii. They then took up positions there. If these positions can be consolidated and resupplied, it would make the tactical situation for Ukraine west of the Malaya Loknya river much worse.
+ ~2.92km² in favour of Russia.
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Recent reports from multiple reliable sources indicate that Russian forces significantly expanded their bridgehead on the western bank of the Oskil river.
Russian forces launched a spearhead attack from positions in the Rakovo district of Dvorichna, capturing the Kyrpychne and Sahunivka districts, as well as most of the Palistina district. In the Palistina district there are still a few 3-story buildings in the south that are in the grey zone.
+ ~1.41km² in favour of Russia.
Russian forces launched a spearhead attack from positions in the Rakovo district of Dvorichna, capturing the Kyrpychne and Sahunivka districts, as well as most of the Palistina district. In the Palistina district there are still a few 3-story buildings in the south that are in the grey zone.
+ ~1.41km² in favour of Russia.
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A recent report from a Ukrainian source indicates that Russian forces advanced deeper into Nadiivka.
They were able to advance from their positions int he eastern houses and captured most of the northern street of the village, taking up new positions there. The next goals for the Russians will probably be to cross the bridge and capture the agricultural buildings on the northwestern outskirts.
+ ~0.10km² in favour of Russia.
They were able to advance from their positions int he eastern houses and captured most of the northern street of the village, taking up new positions there. The next goals for the Russians will probably be to cross the bridge and capture the agricultural buildings on the northwestern outskirts.
+ ~0.10km² in favour of Russia.
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