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AMK Mapping
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Focusing on news from the Russia-Ukraine war and other conflicts in the Middle East.

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Forwarded from Geopolitics Watch
🇳🇬🇳🇬🏴 — Nigerian armed forces continue their offensive against ISWAP territory in the 'Timbuktu Triangle', south west of Maiduguri, near Damboa.

➡️ Started on the 16th January, Operation Desert Sanity IV aims at dismantling ISWAP strongholds in the North-East region.

➡️The military claims to have taken the 4 towns of Jemyeri, Abulam, Agum, and Digamari from ISWAP terrorists in the past 10 days of the offensive, killing more than 60 ISWAP militants.

➡️22+ soldiers were killed during the operation so far, and dozens more injured.

➡️ The armed forces also shot down some drones ISWAP terrorists were using for reconnaissance and (likely) as kamikaze/delivery drones, several IEDs and SVBIEDs were used against Nigerian troops, notably an SVBIED was used against the soldiers in Gardari base, resutling in the death of the Commanding Officer of the operation and others.

➡️ISWAP is yet to comment on the battles, but it is important to note that in previous offensives of this kind, towns were ISWAP is disloged usually come back to its control after the army leaves them, as Abulam for example which was recaptured by the military in 2022 but now is getting re-recaptured 3 years later.
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Former Israeli national security minister Ben Gvir: "The reopening of the Netzarim road this morning and the entry of tens of thousands of Gazans into the northern Gaza Strip are images of victory for Hamas and an additional and humiliating part of the deal… This is what absolute surrender looks like, our soldiers did not sacrifice their lives to allow these images to appear.”
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Recent reports from multiple reliable sources indicate that Russian forces advanced in western Donetsk Oblast and completed the capture of Novoandriivka.

Russian forces advanced from positions in the southern houses of Novoandriivka, and moved north, clearing Ukrainian positions as they went. Ukrainian forces put up a decent amount of resistance here, especially considering the small size of it. This is likely because of its strategic position in holding back the frontline from reaching Sribne.

Once the village fell, Russian forces went on to capture the treeline west of it, establishing a small buffer zone, while simultaneously laying the ground works for a future assault operation on Sribne from the east.

+ ~3.61km² in favour of Russia.
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Recent reports from multiple reliable sources indicate that Russian forces made a small advance in western Donetsk Oblast, completing the capture of two treelines.

This advance was first reported by a Russian source about 4 days ago, but was confirmed by a Ukrainian source yesterday. After establishing control over the southern part of these two treelines, Russian forces advanced north up them, reaching the southern outskirts of Udachne.

If they can advance one more treeline over, they will be able to completely outflank Udachne from the south, and possible begin a pincer movement into the western houses of the village while simultaneously pushing from positions near the centre of the village.

This would require infantry or armoured vehicles to cross approximately 800 metres of open fields, making them susceptible to Ukrainian FPV drones and artillery, however Russian forces have demonstrated their ability to advance across large open fields in this area before, so I expect it shouldn't be too difficult for them, although of course this does depend on a number of uncontrollable variables.

+ ~0.69km² in favour of Russia.
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Recent reports from multiple reliable sources indicate that Russian forces advanced in the Chasiv Yar direction, and captured the fortified bunker system.

Russian forces advanced from the newly captured positions in the children's camp slightly southeast of the bunkers. They consolidated their positions here and then advanced on the bunkers. Nothing is really known about the process of clearing it, but shortly afterwards it was confirmed that it was captured.

This, combined with attacks over the pipeline section of the Siversky Donets-Donbas canal which resulted in marginal advances into the forests, forced the Ukrainian command to withdraw any remaining forces in the forests to positions in the southwestern part of Chasiv Yar. Notably, they couldn't be brought into the city centre where the most intense fighting is ongoing due to it being in an operational encirclement.

+ ~2.44km² in favour of Russia.
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A strong explosion is heard in Rostov. The source is currently unknown.
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Russian forces have reportedly completed the capture of the village of Nadiivka in western Donetsk Oblast.
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M23 fighters have entered the city of Goma in eastern DRC. Scattered gunfire can still be heard. Looting is currently ongoing at the international airport.
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More fortifications are being constructed in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.
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This is the way forward. Respectfully disagree on some things, find common ground on other things. We shouldn't be isolated by political opinions or ideologies.
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Results of the Russian Geran-2 drone attacks on Ukraine from January 26-27, 2025, according to a Pro-Russian Ukrainian with local sources.

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:
In Kilchen, three drones attacked an oil depot of ZBER-RESOURCE LLC, used as a storage and distribution center for fuel and lubricants for the needs of the AFU.
The facility served as an operational reserve, supplying units in the Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporizhzhia and Mykolaiv regions, including refueling columns of armored vehicles and combat aircraft.

Two 2,000 cubic metre oil tanks containing aviation kerosene and diesel fuel were completely destroyed, leading to an uncontrolled fire.

Two oil tanks with similar capacity received critical damage, with a fire also breaking out there.

One 1000 cubic meter tank filled with gas condensate was partially destroyed. Cooling is underway to prevent detonation.

Sumy Oblast:
In Stretskivka, three drones attacked the permanent deployment point of the 58th motorised infantry brigade. The facility was used to prepare AFU reserves, as well as to store ammunition and provide logistics, before sending units to the Kursk direction.

The roof of a hangar used for storing armored vehicles and transport vehicles was damaged.

The canteen was completely destroyed, which led to the failure of the centralized food supply system for personnel.

The barracks complex was partially damaged, window frames were knocked out, and deformations of the supporting structures were recorded.

Ivano-Frankivsk Oblast:
In Pokhivka, one drone struck the 330 kV Bogorodchany substation, which is a key distribution hub of Ukraine's energy system in the western regions of the country.

A fire broke out in a 330 kV transformer (TDTN-200000/330/11). power equipment was completely destroyed, the transformer group failed.

Oil switches and busbar connections were damaged, resulting in an automatic shutdown of the power distribution section.

The 330 kV power transmission lines “Bogorodchany – Uzhgorod” and “Bogorodchany – Lviv” have been temporarily de-energised.

In Bohorodchany, one drone struck the compressor station "Bogorodchany", which is part of the main gas pipeline system. The facility performed the functions of regulating gas pressure and supplying it to the distribution network of Ukraine.

A fire broke out in a 110 kV transformer that supplied electricity to gas pumping units.

Siemens 3AP1 FG SF6 circuit breakers suffered critical damage, which led to interruptions in the operation of compressor units.

This compressor station was one of the elements of the strategic gas transportation infrastructure; its damage limits the ability to supply gas to the central and western regions.
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M23 rebels entered the northeastern suburbs of Goma. Footage shows them walking unopposed down the highway, and additional footage shows them entering the Majengo neighborhood further west.

It's difficult to determine the areas of control, but we can assume that a decent-sized portion of the city is in the grey zone.
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Recent reports from multiple reliable sources indicate that Russian forces advanced in western Donetsk Oblast and completed the capture of the village of Nadiivka.

In the south of the village, Russian forces advanced from positions in the southeastern houses, reaching the southwestern outskirts. On the northern street, they advanced from the central houses to the agricultural buildings, reaching the northwestern outskirts of the village.

From here, they might turn south to hit the village of Sribne from the north and take it, and the village of Zaporizhya into a pincer movement.

+ ~0.66km² in favour of Russia.
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🇨🇩🇷🇼- Prison break at Goma'a Munzenze Prison in the center of the city. The prison allegedly was abandoned after the guards fled.
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Goma police and the Congolese armed forces (FADRC) are beginning to surrender en masse. The fall of the city seems to be imminent and might occur in the coming hours.
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Despite Ukraine's disastrous "offensive" on Bolshoe Soldatskoe in Kursk Oblast, geolocated footage shows that they surprisingly maintain positions in Berdin. The rest of the village remains in a grey zone for now.
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General reminder: Your geopolitical stance on a war does NOT equal your stance on the potential outcomes of a war. Too many people associate the belief that Russia will win with being Pro-Russian.
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Regarding the situation in Udachne.

No advances have been recorded in the village over the past 48 hours, however heavy fighting continues. Ukraine is putting up extremely fierce resistance, suggesting new forces being brought into the battle.

From what I've heard, Ukraine has withdrawn slightly to create some form of kill-zone. Russian infantry is attacking in the southern part of the village, but Ukrainian FPV drones and artillery are preventing them from gaining a foothold in the grey zone. It's possible that Ukraine is preparing for another series of counterattacks to hold the line for longer and buy time for formations in Dnipropetrosk Oblast and to the north in the Pivdennodonbaska mines and in the village of Serhiivka.

Nevertheless, it appears that Russia is suffering heavy casualties in taking this village, which shows that Ukrainian forces know the tactical implications that they would suffer once this it falls.

It also goes to show that if enough effort is put in, a strong stand can be made for long enough to delay advances in key places and buy time for units in the rear to build more defences. However, depending on where new units are pulled from, defending harder and longer in one area could result in another area suffering more. But of course, this depends on the area, how critical its situation is defensive-wise, how strong Russia's presence is there, and the local geography of the area.

In the north of Udachne, the situation remains relatively calm, with no reported attacks ongoing. There is a large grey zone however, due to the presence of Russian forces in the houses by the railway line, and the wide-open fields to the north. This doesn't mean that Ukraine doesn't maintain a presence here, but it shows that it is relatively undefended by men.
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Russian forces are reportedly slowly advancing in the northern part of the southern Oskil bridgehead.

In the west, they reportedly took a couple of positions south of the village of Zahryhove.

Further east, they reportedly advanced down a forest plantation, reaching a perpendicular treeline.

In the east, Russian forces apparently captured a position in a grove and advanced south down a treeline.
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