Mariupol

Russian sources claimed that 5 HIMARS were intercepted over Mariupol.

IDF: Sirens sounded in Kerem Shalom, a community near the Gaza Strip.

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Russian air defence is now operating in occupied Tokmak.

It's possible that Ukraine is attempting to strike Berdyansk too.

It seems that the Russians are launching their main assault on the Ukrainian stronghold village of Novoselivka Persha. The goal is to squeeze the Ukrainians out from multiple directions, a goal that has become much easier following the fall of the "Kotik" stronghold. Reports are already coming in that Russian forces seized the school and the centre of the village.

Novoselivka Persha is the last settlement still under Ukrainian control east of the Vovcha river.

Update from the Myanmar civil war - Mogok front:

Geolocated footage indicates that the TNLA rebels continue to advance in Eastern Mogok and are approaching the centre of the city. Intense urban warfare is being reported as the TNLA continue their advance. This comes as the TNLA seized the neighbouring town of Kyatpyin, effectively besieging Mogok. With the remaining Junta forces trapped inside the city, the Junta air force is responding with heavy air strikes on the western part of the city. Some reports by local residents suggest that the Junta has been conducting air strikes on eastern Mogok, indicating a TNLA advance from that direction too.

Heavy fighting is also being reported near the chicken farm, the dump and near the centre of the city (circled in blue). This indicates that instead of attacking with a spearhead formation, the TNLA are actively protecting their flanks by seizing parts of the remaining hills surrounding Mogok.

The main issue with the fighting in the city is the civilian death toll. On July 10th, according to local residents, 2 civilians were killed and another 3 injured, possibly as a result of artillery strikes. The death toll among the locals is likely to rise as many were unable to escape the city before the battles commenced. The city of Mogok was one of the primary goals of the new TNLA offensive dubbed “1027,” and was relatively far away from the frontlines before the offensive was launched. The offensive quickly gained momentum and before we knew it, Mogok was encircled and heavy battles were ongoing not only in Kyatpyin but in Mogok itself.

Update from the Sudanese civil war - Sennar front:

Following heavy back and forth fighting in towns and villages east of the Blue Nile where towns changed hands multiple times, the RSF finally managed to seize the initiative and consolidate control over their new positions.

Now that the SAF had been pushed to the eastern bank of the Dinder river, the RSF were ready to launch direct assaults on Sennar city itself, the last remaining SAF stronghold in the Sennar state.

Originally, the SAF claimed that all RSF assaults were repelled, but new footage indicates that RSF forces managed to break through the SAF's defensive lines and advance along the Sinjah-Sennar highway for over 35km. They managed to reach the key town of Maiurno and occupy the southern part of it.

The SAF had established trenches and fortifications along the canal which leads out from the Blue nile. The RSF managed to quickly breach this as the SAF defences continued to crumble.

Reports indicate that the RSF has now entered the northern part of Maiurno while simultaneously working on bypassing the town from the west, with reports of battles near the village of Hillet el beir. The rest of the surrounding area has likely become a contested grey zone.

Currently, the frontline situation is very fluid and can change at any time, but it appears that resistance from the SAF is largely breaking down, and it is possible that we may see fighting inside Sennar city itself in the coming days.

Update from the Ocheretyne Salient:

Geolocated footage shows that Russian forces have made three main advances over the past week, so let's go over them.

Firstly, Russian forces made significant progress in the direction of Novoselivka Persha, the main Ukrainian stronghold east of the Vovcha river. Here they advanced from three different directions. From the east, Russian AFVs advanced along the treelines to the eastern outskirts of the settlement. From the Northeast, Russian forces advanced from Novopokrovske along the banks of the reservoir, and from the north, Russian infantry advanced to the northern agricultural buildings of Novoselivka Persha and took up positions in them. This third advance also allowed the Russians to occupy the "Kotik" stronghold. However, the main assault is reportedly underway on the village with some sources claiming that Russian forces captured the school and the rest of the central part of the settlement.

Secondly, Russian forces captured the rest of the settlement of Sokil, before advancing further west and capturing most, if not all of Voskhod, raising their flag on the western outskirts. The agricultural buildings in the southwest of the village may still be contested, however. The fields to the southwest of Sokil also fell to Russian forces.

And finally, Russian vehicles made more progress in the fields south of Novooleksandrivka, nearly reaching the railway line. The goal here is likely to flatten out the front in order to lay the groundwork for an eventual assault on Prohres.

Overall, the frontline continues to move in a westerly direction here, as the remaining Ukrainian defences in this area are ground down by the Russians.

Geolocated footage shows that the Russians may have temporarily stablised the frontline in Hlyboke (Lyptsi direction) and still control the eastern part of the settlement.

The domino effect in Ukraine is real...

Niu-York should have never collapsed. That is the one place where Ukraine should have been defending ferociously. The situation in pivnichne, while bad, is controllable for now. There are still lots of defensive fortifications in the way of Toretsk. But Niu-york on the other-hand flanks Toretsk. If/when the Russians capture it, it won't be good for Ukraine and will allow the Russians to enter Toretsk from the South.

It seems Syrskyi is obsessed with attacking and defending to the last man in the wrong places. I will never get the point of this PR based strategy. Sure, it might get more weapons for Ukraine, but Ukraine needs manpower more than anything. If they just focused on the right places, it would buy time for more stronger rear defenses to be built.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces broke through Ukrainian positions in the Velyka Novosilka direction and captured the village of Urozhaine.

Following the fall of Staromayorske, Russian forces managed to seize control of the western bank of the Mokri Yaly river which runs between the two settlements. This allowed them to gain fire control over the western part of Urozhaine, significantly speeding up the offensive operations in the village.

Originally, Russian forces managed to gain a foothold in the southern residential area and the agricultural buildings in Urozhaine, but Ukraine was able to stablise the front line as Russia switched their focus to Staromayorske. From there, following the fall of Staromayorske, Russian forces launched a series of surprise assaults which reportedly resulted in Ukrainian forces "running from their positions". As a result of this, Russian forces managed to advance to the centre of Urozhaine, and raised their flag over the local school.

Russian forces continued to advance, taking advantage of their control of the trench systems in southern Urozhaine, likely to launch flanking assaults on the rest of central part of the settlement. As a result of these attacks Russian forces captured the rest of the central part of the village and raised their flag over the village council.

The Russians then briefly consolidated control over their new positions and launched a powerful attack on Northern Urozhaine, quickly overrunning Ukrainian positions in a matter of hours and forcing the remaining Ukrainian formations out of the settlement to the fields to the north. This also means that Russian forces now likely control the two oval shaped trench systems in the northern outskirts of the village.

Overall, this is more of a symbolic victory for Russia but will create issues with morale among the AFU defending the Velyka Novosilka axis. Urozhaine was one of the few settlements that Ukrainian forces liberated in the failed 2023 counteroffensive and to see this fall after Staromayorske and the crown-jewel, Robotyne, will definitely negatively affect morale in the area as the Ukrainians see the territory, they worked so hard to liberate be lost to the Russians.

A missile was launched from Crimea in the direction of Mykolaiv Oblast. Northwestern course.

It's heading for Voznesensk.

Explosions in Mykolaiv Oblast.

Clarification: The explosions were reported in Voznesensk.