The domino effect in Ukraine is real...

Niu-York should have never collapsed. That is the one place where Ukraine should have been defending ferociously. The situation in pivnichne, while bad, is controllable for now. There are still lots of defensive fortifications in the way of Toretsk. But Niu-york on the other-hand flanks Toretsk. If/when the Russians capture it, it won't be good for Ukraine and will allow the Russians to enter Toretsk from the South.

It seems Syrskyi is obsessed with attacking and defending to the last man in the wrong places. I will never get the point of this PR based strategy. Sure, it might get more weapons for Ukraine, but Ukraine needs manpower more than anything. If they just focused on the right places, it would buy time for more stronger rear defenses to be built.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces broke through Ukrainian positions in the Velyka Novosilka direction and captured the village of Urozhaine.

Following the fall of Staromayorske, Russian forces managed to seize control of the western bank of the Mokri Yaly river which runs between the two settlements. This allowed them to gain fire control over the western part of Urozhaine, significantly speeding up the offensive operations in the village.

Originally, Russian forces managed to gain a foothold in the southern residential area and the agricultural buildings in Urozhaine, but Ukraine was able to stablise the front line as Russia switched their focus to Staromayorske. From there, following the fall of Staromayorske, Russian forces launched a series of surprise assaults which reportedly resulted in Ukrainian forces "running from their positions". As a result of this, Russian forces managed to advance to the centre of Urozhaine, and raised their flag over the local school.

Russian forces continued to advance, taking advantage of their control of the trench systems in southern Urozhaine, likely to launch flanking assaults on the rest of central part of the settlement. As a result of these attacks Russian forces captured the rest of the central part of the village and raised their flag over the village council.

The Russians then briefly consolidated control over their new positions and launched a powerful attack on Northern Urozhaine, quickly overrunning Ukrainian positions in a matter of hours and forcing the remaining Ukrainian formations out of the settlement to the fields to the north. This also means that Russian forces now likely control the two oval shaped trench systems in the northern outskirts of the village.

Overall, this is more of a symbolic victory for Russia but will create issues with morale among the AFU defending the Velyka Novosilka axis. Urozhaine was one of the few settlements that Ukrainian forces liberated in the failed 2023 counteroffensive and to see this fall after Staromayorske and the crown-jewel, Robotyne, will definitely negatively affect morale in the area as the Ukrainians see the territory, they worked so hard to liberate be lost to the Russians.

A missile was launched from Crimea in the direction of Mykolaiv Oblast. Northwestern course.

It's heading for Voznesensk.

Explosions in Mykolaiv Oblast.

Clarification: The explosions were reported in Voznesensk.

Explosions in occupied Mariupol. Russian air defence is operating.

Ukrainian UAVs were launched at Mariupol. Waiting on official information.

The explosions were reported in multiple different parts of the city. This might be a large UAV attack.

A Russian military helicopter over Mariupol. Locals report seeing at least three of them.

A Russian reconnaissance UAV is over the black sea, heading in the direction of Chornomorsk, Odesa Oblast.

Ukrainian air defence is working against the UAV.

The drone is approaching the coast.

It was reportedly shot down just off the coast of Chornomorsk. That's the 4th one today.

❗️Спутниковые снимки аэропорта в Мариуполе.

Судя по снимкам, аэропорт действительно был поражен 12.07. Ранее там была геолоцирована позиция ПВО С-300В.

Explosions in Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast.

Explosions in the suburbs of Kharkiv around 20 minutes ago.

The Ukrainian Airforce reported that a Shahed drone is currently flying near Pripyat. Local monitoring channels report that it is a few km from the abandoned city. I am waiting on Belorussian Monitor channels to report on this so we can get an accurate path of its flight so far.