The Ocheretyne breakthrough will go down in history as one of the worse Ukrainian military failures ever. It has allowed for a massive expansion of Russian control and the flower will continue to "bloom".

I think it will happen in 4 directions. One along the railway line which runs along the tactical heights, 1 in the direction of Pokrovsk, 1 to cut to the Pokrovsk-Kostyantynivka highway and 1 to get behind Toretsk.

The vector of attack from Toretsk will likely be supported by another flanking assault vector from Klishchiivka while the vector of attack along the railway line will likely be supported by an assault from Netailove.

This whole entire Donetsk front is about to shift and the last remaining Ukrainian strongholds in the Donbas are going to become frontline cities...

IDF: Air raid sirens are sounding in Eliat, Israel.

Southern Israel.

This comes as the Oil Refinery and Port within the City of Al-Hudaydah in Western Yemen were attacked by an Israeli F-35 in response to the drone attack on Tel Aviv.

This air raid alert could mean three things:
1. False alarm (most likely)
2. Rockets from Gaza
3. Another strike from Yemen

Shit, it was a Houthi attack. "IDF repels Houthi ballistic missile attack aimed at civilians in southern Israel using the Israeli “Arrow 3” air defense system"

IDF: The IDF intercepted a surface-to-surface missile that approached Israel from the Red Sea

A short while ago, the IDF Aerial Defense Array successfully intercepted a surface-to-surface missile that approached Israeli territory from Yemen using the "Arrow 3" Aerial Defense System.

The projectile did not cross into Israeli territory. Rocket and missile sirens were sounded following the possibility of falling shrapnel. The incident has concluded.

There are reports of Iskander launched from Crimea. Waiting on confirmation.

Likely AD work or training.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces have made significant advances in the direction of the Oskil river and captured the village of Pishchane.

Russian forces (likely just small infantry groups) advanced from their positions near Berestove and Krokhmalne into the southern part of Pischane. From there, they consolidated control over their positions for around two weeks before attacking across the Pishchana River and quickly seizing the rest of the settlement.

This advance also likely forced a Ukrainian withdrawal from the tree lines and fields east of Pishchane to positions in the forests on the tactical heights west of Tabaivka.

Pishchane was the last village in the way of the Oskil river-side settlements, meaning that Russian forces now need to cross ~8km of open terrain to reach the river. This would be significant as it will cut the Ukrainian bridgehead on the eastern bank of the Oskil river into two parts.

Approximate paths of today's Russian Shahed drones. Based on preliminary reports, Russia launched 53 Shahed drones at Ukraine over the past 24 hours. The following information is based on reports by Ukrainian monitor and radar telegram channels, as well as Local telegram channels.

The Shahed drones flew over Kherson, Mykolaiv, Odesa, Dnipro, Donetsk, Kharkiv, Sumy, Chernihiv, Kyiv, Poltava, Cherkasy and Kirovohrad Oblasts. It is impossible to give an exact number of hits with an attack this big, but based on explosion reports, at least 8 hit their targets (likely more). Most of the impacts likely occurred around Konotop and Shostka (Both in Sumy Oblast).

This is the largest Russian drone strike in months and likely the largest single drone strike (without being accompanied by missiles) since the beginning of the war.

Russian Iskanders struck a train depot busy with AFU personnel and equipment in the Donetsk region.

An Iskander ballistic missile was launched from Crimea in the direction Odesa Oblast.

Correction: It is flying in the direction of Bilhorod-Dnistroyskyi.

Explosion in Odesa Oblast.

Clarification: The explosion occurred in Bilhorod-Dnistroyskyi district.

I missed a Russian missile strike on Sumy Oblast while I was eating dinner, so here are the details:

Firstly, a Russian Reconnaissance drone was launched from Kursk Oblast and flew over/near Sumy city. Explosions were reported from air defence. However, air defence failed to shoot down the drone and it turned northwest and flew over Konotop.

Once reaching its destination, it likely circled before two Russian cruise missiles were launched from strategic aircraft in Kursk Oblast. Explosions were reported in Konotop as at least one missile but likely both hit their targets.

Explosions in the suburbs of Kharkiv.