Odesa was hit by 2 ballistics around an hour ago. Not sure what the target was.

I’m not surprised that some of the UAVs got through. Based on the reports from be seen, dozens were launched in multiple directions.

Warehouses and fuel depots were reportedly hit.

Update from the Pokrovsk direction:

Geolocated footage and reliable reports indicate that Russian forces are continuing to steadily advance westwards.

Firstly, geolocated footage shows that Russian forces advanced from Vovche and captured a large Ukrainian stronghold near the Vovcha river. This is the first in a series of fortifications on the western bank of the Vovcha river that Russia is trying to capture by hitting them from the rear.

This advance also indicates that Ukrainian forces withdrew from the fields to the east of the Vovcha river. However, based on reports, this withdrawal likely occurred a while ago.

Secondly, reliable reports indicate that Russian forces likely continue to advance in Zhelanne, and have expanded their foothold in the settlement in two directions. Russian forces have also likely advanced in the southern part of Serhiivka, where assault operations are reportedly underway. As Serhiivka is a relatively small village, I expect it will fall within the next 2-3 days.

Colours for the map:
Red = Confirmed Russian controlled territory
Yellow = Confirmed Russian advances
Purple = Likely Russian advances

NASA FIRMS data shows a large fire at Morozovsk airfield in Rostov Oblast following a Ukrainian UAV attack. Based on where the fires are, it is definitely possible that some aircraft were hit.

Geolocated footage indicates that Russian forces advanced west of Klishchiivka on the tactical heights and captured the "fish tail" stronghold. This stronghold has been contested for months and following successful assault operations in the forests to the south, it appears that Russian forces restarted attacks and seized these key positions.

The immediate goal for the Klishchiivka sector is likely still to capture all the territory east of the Siverskyi-Donets canal.

Update from the Southern Donetsk front:

Geolocated footage from the past week shows that Russian forces have made five new advances here, so let's go over them.

Moving North to south: firstly, Russian forces supported by BTRs and BMPs advanced down the O0532 highway near Pobieda and captured positions south of the settlement. They managed to advance by ~1.9km. Multiple vehicles were damaged/destroyed by Ukrainian FPV drones.

Secondly, Russian forces advanced through the treelines north of Novomykhailivka and captured new positions with the support of Several AFVs and tanks. 5 AFVs and 1 tank were destroyed/damaged in the assault, but they were able to advance by ~830m.

In Kostyantynivka, Russian infantry were confirmed to have entered the town and captured the first few houses in the southeast of the settlement. Assault operations are likely underway on the agricultural buildings in the south of the settlement. Here they managed to advance by ~580m.

Further south near the O0532 road is where is where the most important advance is. Here, geolocated footage shows a Russian flag planted on the highway, indicating a Russian spearhead advance through the treelines east of the road. This is significant as it now means that Ukraine can't resupply Vuhledar without using dirt roads.

And finally, Russian forces advanced along a treeline in the direction of the O0532 road, either with the goal of reaching the road in another direction, or just to try to flatten out the frontline more.

Update from the Middle East - events over the past 12 hours:

- The US and the UK have urged their citizens to leave Lebanon as soon as possible.

- Hezbollah launched over 50 rockets at Galilee, Northern Israel. It is unknown how many hit their targets.

- Israel responded to these attacks a couple hours later by likely striking the launch point of the rockets.

- “Israel expects a large scale Iranian attack on military targets in the center of Israel” – Kann

- FlightRadar shows constant flights of Russian IL-96 military cargo aircraft from Russia to Iran, indicating that Russia is supplying Iran with military equipment before Iran’s likely response.

- Anti-government protesters continue to clash with police in Tel Aviv.

It's time again to release an updated list of Ukrainian settlements that have changed hands since the beginning of the year. Settlements in Bold are settlements that were captured/claimed captured since my last update a month ago.

Confirmed captured by Russia:
Marinka
Avdiivka
Stepove
Sieverne
Lastochkyne
Orlivka
Tonenke
Ocheretyne
Pervomaiske
Novomykhailivka
Sakko I vansetti
Vodiane
Ivanivske
Novobakhmutivka
Soloviove
Bohdanivka
Robotyne
Staromayorske
Paraskoviivka
Pobieda
Netailove
Umanske
Berdychi
Semenivka
Novokalynove
Keramik
Akhanhelske
Berestove
Kotlyarivka
Pletenivka
Hatyshche
Ohirtseve
Buhruvatka
Borysivka
Lukyantsi
Pyl'na
Oliinykove
Morokhovets
Krasne
Hlyboke
Strilecha
Novopokrovske
Netailove
Novooleksandrivka
Shumy
Novoselivske
Ivanivka (Kupyansk direction)
Tabaivka
Kyslivka
Klishchiivka
Krynky
Pivdenne
Yurivka
Spirne
Sokil
Voskhod
Yevhenivka
Yasnobrodivka
Rozdolivka
Pishchane
Lozuvatske
Prohres
Vovche
Urozhaine
Novoselivka Persha

Claimed captured by Russia:
Hoptivka
Andriivka (Chasiv Yar direction)
Stepova Novosilka
Heorhiivka
Ivano-Darivka
Zalizne
Tymofiivka
Vesele (Pokrovsk direction)

Confirmed liberated by Ukraine:
Tykhe
Sotnytskyi Kozazhok

Claimed liberated by Ukraine:
Vesele (Siversk direction)

That's a total of:
65 confirmed captured by Russia
8 claimed captured by Russia
2 confirmed liberated by Ukraine
1 claimed liberated by Ukraine

Let me know if I missed anything!

Russian advances across the frontline appear to have slowed down over the past 48 hours. Deepstate reported an advance in 1 direction yesterday, a decrease from advances in 8 directions 3 days ago. Sofa General staff reported advances in 2 directions yesterday, also a decrease from advances in 8 directions 3 days ago.

This is temporary and is likely due to consolidation of new positions. The Russians are being very careful with their offensive operations, which also gives Ukraine more time to build more defences. I predict in the next week, there will be some major progress near Zhelanne and Hrodivka in the Pokrovsk direction.

In the Pokrovsk direction, Russian forces likely advanced into southern Ivanivka from the east. Reports from multiple reliable sources indicate that Russian forces cleared the first houses of the settlement and are advancing northwest towards the centre of the village.

Some sources claimed that Russian forces already reached the centre of Ivanivka and control everything inside the yellow line, however this remains unconfirmed for now.

For the record, Vesele has already likely fallen. If Ivanivka falls too, then it would allow for two assault vectors on the key town of Hrodivka, with only fields in the way of making this happen.

Sofa general staff's new map update indicates that Russian forces are just 1.1km from Toretsk. The battle for the city is going to commence soon.

Multiple sources reported that Russian forces entered northern Mezhove.

This is odd, as I would've thought it'd be easier for Russia to advance from the western bank of the Vovcha river and force a Ukrainian withdrawal from Mezhove and Skuchne by seizing the fortifications west of them

A lot of air raid alerts in northwestern Israel.

Explosions in Nahariya.

The battle for Toretsk has likely officially begun today.