When will the market return to a major rising phase again?

This is not a bullish or a hopeful post, only the facts.

Recently, crypto folks are focusing on the macro picture. The mood is apathetic; stablecoin holders aren't deploying, just watching and waiting.

● So what now?

The best we can do is look for past parallels, with the COVID crisis still fresh in our memory. It's a useful reference for how things might unfold from here.

Here's my view of the current situation and a rough timeline for how long this downturn could last.

Spoiler: I believe this will be a relatively short crisis. However, the bad news is that predicting market movements in such an environment is nearly impossible. So consider this as one theory—not gospel.

Here’s how I see it playing out, in simple terms ⬇️

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1911108858543804627

Any today's fundamental crypto project could become a scam tomorrow.

Stablecoins are no exception.

Unfortunately, in this space, you are not protected in any way.

Consider this thread as friendly advice to help you save your capital

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1912186889387356629

We need to start considering our future paths and contemplate where we'll generate wealth.

I've been saying for a while: Crypto, in the long run, probably just becomes the plumbing — the backend for a world where AI runs the front.

That's why I'm starting to delve into AI

Not just as a hype cycle. But as something inevitable.

Agents, autonomous services, decentralized compute — all of it needs rails.

And crypto’s got them.

But recognizing that is one thing. Positioning for it is another.

And right now, if you want to be early on the next wave of AI x crypto — not just blindly aping the same old tokens — you have to track the macro.

Because the real moves are being made way above our heads ⬇️

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1912543636543213662

Even in a red market, I can still make $2.5K+/month with AI.

A year ago, I’d ignore questions like:
“What if crypto crashes and doesn’t recover for years?”

Didn’t want to think about it.
Now I’m prepared.

So, I found AI tools (used by real pros across industries) that keep cash flowing — no matter the market.

Here’s what works for me 🔽

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1912903545524826257

Don't just work—earn by following global trends.

In 2017, crypto was invisible to 99.5% of the world.
Today, 1 in 2 people recognize $BTC.

Right now, the AI industry is experiencing a similar seismic shift.

Over 90% remain unaware or skeptical about the explosive potential of Artificial Intelligence.

Why should you care?

Because every major shift brings massive opportunities.
While the majority nervously watches Bitcoin climb towards $1,000,000, the smart ones are already leveraging the next big wave: Crypto × AI.

This thread will open your eyes to opportunities you've been missing ⬇️

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1913256119306158458

Hello friends!

Unfortunately, economic instability and the trade war have severely undermined expectations for the crypto market.

Although Bitcoin is now showing strong bullish signals, you should not place too much hope in them.

Crypto is currently highly correlated with the stock markets, which are facing challenges.

Here are some thoughts on the market at the moment.

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1913578630384591186

From Agent Mania to Real Utility: Why Crypto Is Built for AI

📌 📑 Article
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1914707308916900025

The Market Always Comes Back!

Every few weeks, crypto feels dead — then a few headlines and a green candle later, and $BTC up 25% from ATH.

It's amusing until you see how many buy at tops after selling at bottoms.

This year has been a loop of that same cycle:
- Most top altcoins are still down 70–80% since January.
- $BTC back above $90,000
- Fear & Greed Index basically unchanged

But yet sentiment is totally different.

Why? - Not fundamentals.
Macro noise is still loud — geopolitics, tariffs, Trump being Trump.

But crypto-specific news has shifted.... ⬇️

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1915442003564728696

Cheatsheet: Top Projects and Products Across Various Categories

Bookmark this post for later!

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1916886568721342879

The latest pump brought euphoria back to the timeline, but it also split the room. Some are calling it the last bounce before we bleed.

Others say we’re just getting started.

Honestly? It feels like both sides have a point.

ETH/BTC reversal was the first sign — $ETH showed strength before the ETF narrative even picked up steam. Add in a cooler CPI print, and suddenly macro and crypto were aligned for once.

But here’s the nuance: we’re not in the beginning of the bull cycle.

It never really ended.

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1922284688573661599

Without altcoin evolution, $BTC liquidity remains stagnant and a true altseason stays a distant dream.

Let me explain ⬇️

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1927436550192656786

$BTC has veered off course with no turning back.

Today's market is a far cry from the Bitcoin glory days of two halvings past...

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1928115982054424683

Trading the News in Crypto: Lessons From a Still-Young Market

How do you know crypto is still early?

➜ Look at how a single tweet can shake the entire market.

Even in 2025, with billions at stake in institutional crypto portfolios, the market remains vulnerable to narratives and social buzz.

➜ Contrast this with traditional markets—steady, anchored, and resistant to headline hype.

Crypto, however, is still jumpy. It takes just a celebrity's post or an "AI-generated leak" to send billions flying

📌 📑 Post
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/1928814177008890310

Hello friends!

This is the important post with some thoughts that have been building up lately.

Over the past few months, there’s been a lot of noise in crypto and very little real value. So from now on, I’ll only post my actual thoughts about the market here. Sometimes, reading 5–10 honest opinions is enough to build your own point of view.

Now, about the market.
Honestly, you could’ve done nothing in the past 5 months — April buys worked out really well.

If you paid attention to my April post where I said the market would recover quickly, you’re probably already in good profit.

Looking at the safest plays:
– $BTC +50%
– $ETH performed very well, giving +100% profit

Altcoins are trickier, but already mentioned that I’ve been cutting and rebalancing my port a lot — you just can’t afford to spread out too much in this market. Hopefully, you did the same.

Now to the not-so-fun part.
It used to be a good idea to to dive into the market and keep up with everything. But now there’s a massive inflation of knowledge. 80% of what you learned in the past can basically be thrown out. Before, crypto experience helped a lot. Now, it’s mostly trading, psychology, and analysis experience that matters. No one cares which bridge to use or which DEX is better anymore.

This shows once again how the crypto is changing — and becoming more user-friendly for newcomers.

But the question is — do newcomers even need crypto right now?

Most people don’t look beyond $BTC, and honestly, they’re right. Why bother with.... mmmm.... for ex $SEI when you can just swap cash for $USDC and hold it on Ethereum like the big players? Then just buy some $BTC during dips and hold it in your cold wallet.

Adoption clearly didn’t go the way people dreamed it would.

As for altseason — I’m more and more convinced that fewer coins will show strong growth. I mean real growth — like 5–10x, not just 50–100%.

And the reason is simple:

- More coins enter the market every day, but the number of people and money doesn’t increasing. Even when the crowd comes back, there won’t be enough of them to buy everything.

If you search “what coins to buy in 2025” on Google, chances are the coins listed there will be the ones that actually grow — because that’s how it usually works. Normies search, read a couple of articles, and buy.

Most of those coins are backed by market makers and VC funds who are very interested in pumping and selling them to newcomers.

Of course, it’s not guaranteed — but often the simplest explanation is the most accurate one.

Just don’t expect 50-100x altseason across the whole market. Lower your expectations. And if reality ends up better — you’ll be very happy.

And lastly — a funny result from something my friends helped me look into:
Many normies have outperformed full-time crypto folks over the past 5 months.

This market is 20% effort, 80% result. When altcoins start pumping, you should already have taken solid profits — so you can jump into riskier ideas with less stress.

Hey friends!

It’s been a while since my last update - four months, to be exact.
And truth be told, not much has changed on a macro level.

Bitcoin slightly refreshed its ATH

Ethereum showed a strong rally

Altcoins are still asleep

As I’ve said before, I open large positions only during deep pullbacks and scale out gradually as the market moves up. That’s exactly what I did after my April call, closing positions step by step on the way up.

For the past few months, most of my profits have come from futures trading — always with a stop, which I trail as the position grows.
That same stop saved me from liquidation during the October 10 crash: small loss, minimal damage — about 5% of my trading portfolio. Another reminder why risk management is everything.

Сan’t say whether we’re at the top or near a new bottom, but the odds of a deeper correction are real.

I’m still holding my long-term positions in $BTC, $ETH, and several alts, and occasionally adding more during dips using profits from trades. Like most people, my alts are quite in the red, but psychologically it’s easier when I think of them as being bought with profits — essentially, “free coins.”

Right now I keep three main portfolios:

Investment: built since 2022, around +300%. Constant DCA buys keep raising both avg entry and the total portfolio value — the focus here is steady capital growth, not hype returns.

Speculative spot: buying dips, selling rallies. From the 2022 bottom — roughly +1300%.

High-risk (futures, flips, memes): volatile by nature; biggest drawdown ~30%. Profits from here often go to Investment holds or real-life expenses.

I also allocate income from promo posts on X to my investment portfolio, help family, support charities, and tip service workers — small but important habits.

As you can see, I don’t have the “thousands of percent” returns you often see in random posts on X. The goal is simple — climb steadily and protect capital.

My current zones for new entries:
- $ETH - $3,250 / $2,800 (speculative spot)

- $BTC - $100,500 (speculative spot)

- $BTC - $94,000 (large investment entry)

No guarantee we’ll visit these levels — but if we do, I expect a strong rebound from there.

The October 10 crash reminded everyone how easily “big players” move the market.
The tariff news was just a trigger — one button, and the biggest liquidation cascade in crypto history followed.

Next time, it could work the opposite way — one bullish headline, and the market teleports upward, leaving shorts behind.

That’s why I still can’t get this chart out of my head 👇

I’ve started noticing large buy orders for BTC around $94,000.
That level might not get filled anytime soon — so it makes sense to shift the entry higher, somewhere near $96–97K.

Even if price briefly dips to $94K, it’s not critical — buying around $96K still looks solid.

Right now there are two main scenarios:
– We first go up to $106–112K, then pull back to $95K
– Or we dip to $95K first and then start the next leg up, likely toward $130K+.

Technically, a move to $106–112K looks logical, but given how much manipulation there is lately, we could see another short-term dump first.

Either way, I’m confident this isn’t the end of the cycle — fear is back, and people are already calling for a new bear market.

$100,500 - $106,000 ✅

$96-97k ✅

We got both entry points — the scenario played out.

I think the market should show solid upside soon, but as I mentioned earlier, a quick liquidity sweep down to $94K is still on the table.

Regarding ETH — if BTC really dips to ~$94K, ETH could slide to around $2,800. I’m still leaving my bids there.

Right now though, ETH looks stronger than BTC, so let’s see how it plays out.

The weekly close for BTC is looking weak.

My main scenario hasn’t changed, I still expect a retest ~$110k. But with this kind of close, the market will most likely drop into the 76–84k range🤨. Whether it goes there straight away or through a bounce doesn’t really matter, that’s the zone I’m watching.

We could still see a move back toward 110k-117k, but even if that happens, I’d treat it as nothing more than a corrective pop within a broader decline.

As for my current BTC and ETH longs, won’t touch them. 94k-97k level made sense, and the risk was justified (If deeper pullbacks make you uncomfortable, close the latest entry at a 3–5% loss).

Right now I’m mainly watching BTC Dominance and altcoins, they’re still showing strength even as BTC drops.

From here, I see two paths:
- alts will pump while BTC drifts lower (we’ve seen this setup plenty of times before)
- mini-bear phase followed by another sharp leg up

And until I see a strong, sustained alts rally lasting 2–3 weeks, I won’t buy into the idea that a full bear market has already begun. It just looks too early and too convenient - almost like they want everyone to believe it’s starting right now.

Another theory is the unfilled CME gap near 92k on BTC. Maybe the market goes for it, maybe not - gap talk is mostly speculation. But the market gets smarter every month, so it’s worth keeping it in mind. More people = more complexity.

We’ll likely see how it plays out within 2–4 weeks.

Hello friends!

I warned you about this drop a week ago.
Hopefully you made the right decision for yourself and are feeling good right now.

Still think we get a bounce - how strong it will be is the real question.
At the very least, I expect a move toward ~$100k.

As for what happens next… it’s harder to predict now.
I’ll just watch the market and react to what it does next.

As a friend once told me:
“In the end, everything will be fine.
If it’s not fine yet, then it’s not the end.”

2025 wasn’t an easy year.

Volatility, uncertainty, long waiting periods, tough decisions.
For many, it tested patience more than skill.

But we’re still here.
We stayed in the game, learned, adapted, and moved forward.

What gives me confidence is that crypto keeps evolving.
The industry is maturing, new ideas keep emerging, and the space is becoming deeper and more interesting with every cycle.

I genuinely believe the next years will be even more exciting for those who stay curious, disciplined, and long-term focused.

Wishing each of you a strong, healthy, and successful 2026.
May it bring clarity, good opportunities, and peace of mind.

Enjoy the holidays, take some time to recharge,
and Merry Christmas to you and your loved ones 🎄🎉🌟

Brief note with my main takes for 2026:
https://x.com/wacy_time1/status/2003377909998797206