Alpha updates. 🪓 – Telegram
Alpha updates. 🪓
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Welcome to the Alpha Updates Telegram! 🌟

Here, you'll receive the latest scoop on upcoming IDOs, airdrops, altcoins, including lowcap gems, narrative-driven coins, meme coins etc

My twitter: https://twitter.com/axel_bitblaze69
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GM all ☀️

BoJ hike is finally done. now feels good to get that out of the way finally..

They went with 25 bps.

many were already expecting more, so this didn’t really surprise anyone. And the reaction kind of shows that.

Japan stocks were up, yen didn’t do much, and crypto is holding up fine.

no meltdown. which almost everyone expected

as i have been sharing with you since last few days, majority of the fear of rate hike is priced in already. this played out well

even crypto is holding up well $BTC up around 1.5%, $ETH around 3%.

lets see how price behaves without this constant BoJ fear and uncertainty in the background.
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Bearish Sentiment Spiking Across Social Media (X, Reddit, and Telegram.)

This is historically a good sign, because Crypto prices move opposite to the crowd's expectations.

We saw the same pattern between Nov 15-21, people were expecting lower prices but the market reversed and price moved from $85K to $92K.

Right now, social volume and sentiment are showing a very similar structure again. Worth paying attention.
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We are heading into the December 26, 2025 options expiry, with nearly $35.6B worth of contracts on the line.

Until expiry, market makers will likely try to pin price around the Max Pain zone at $88k-$90k, where the maximum number of options expire worthless.

This scenario changes only if forced buying kicks in. Shift to a real trend would require a closing above $96k.
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A class-action lawsuit has been filed directly against Pump. fun and this one isn’t minor noise.

The core accusation is insider advantage by design. Early buyers had built-in priority faster execution, cheaper entries, and near-guaranteed exits while retail traders repeatedly ended up as exit liquidity.

What really raises the stakes is the Solana angle.

The lawsuit argues Solana’s infrastructure itself enabled unfair transaction ordering. Validator setup and transaction-priority mechanics are directly cited, pushing legal risk straight onto the chain layer.

The case is being framed as a $5.5B lawsuit, based on alleged total investor losses. The final liability, will ultimately be decided by the court.
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On 7 Oct, Open Interest topped near $240B. Since then it has been cut exactly in half to $120B the same level we saw back in April.

OI and price have always walked together..

When OI expands, leverage builds and price trends, When it collapses, excess leverage gets flushed and the market resets.

A large portion of open interest has already been flushed and the long short ratio has cooled down. From here, open interest should start rebuilding, typically allows room for a rebound.
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Tom Lee now owns 3.28% of the total Ethereum supply 🔥
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2025 has been one of the weakest years for crypto liquidity in the last 5 years, especially for altcoins.

Liquidity is selective and mostly sitting in Bitcoin. Altcoin volumes are thin and speculation has clearly cooled off.

The transition phase driven by tight monetary conditions and missing retail flow.

Historically, phases like this don’t last forever. They usually lead to repricing or a liquidity expansion, not a collapse.
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ETH holders are in profit, but not greedy. People are not rushing to sell. They’re quietly holding or moving ETH off exchanges. That’s a healthy setup, not a top.

NUPL is at 0.22 means
holders are sitting on roughly 22% unrealized profit

This level historically sits in a confidence phase, not euphoria.
Profits exist, but they’re not high enough to trigger aggressive selling.

No signs of panic, no signs of mania. A structure that usually forms before continuation.
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Recently, around 350,000 BTC were sold at a loss, showing clear stress and capitulation.

The important part is, despite this heavy selling, Bitcoin price has held its level. That tells the market is absorbing supply. Weak hands are exiting, but buyers are still stepping in.
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Altcoins just saw $10.9B in monthly exchange inflows, the highest level since May 2021.

Coins move to exchanges when people are preparing to sell, rotate, or reduce risk. This kind of spike usually shows up when the market enters a delicate zone, not during easy upside.
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Mr. President, please do something..
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Most of the downside liquidity has already been absorbed. There’s only a small pocket left around $86K, so a quick sweep there wouldn’t be surprising.

Beyond that, liquidity is heavily stacked on the upside. That’s where the real fuel is sitting.

So after one last cleanup below, does the market flip the switch into a year end Santa rally? 🎅🏼
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BTC CME Options Update

CME options data is showing something interesting. Market is in extreme fear. Bearish bets (PUT) are sitting near the highest levels we havd seen so far, means most traders are positioned for downside.

Meanwhile, bullish bets (call ) peaked back in December 2024 and have been fading ever since. Optimism has dried up almost completely.

When puts are crowded and calls are dead, it usually means the majority is already bearish. And that’s exactly when things start getting interesting, because whales are quietly accumulating BTC in the background.

Market sentiment is weak. Fear is high. And setups like this have historically led to reversals.

Not a prediction. Just reading the data.
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Earlier this year, when BTC dumped around $75K zone, 'Big Whale' spot orders were extremely active.

Retail was panic-selling into that weakness.Whales accumulated cheap. Then from June to October, as BTC pumped above $120K, the entire order profile shifted to grey meaning whales stopped buying aggressively. They let the price run while distribution quietly happened into strength.

Now look at the current data:
BTC is back near the $85K -$95K range and 'Big whales' are buying again, while retail is back to selling.

Same pattern. Same noscript.
Now let’s see if the game plays out the same way.
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XRP ETF inflows doing great. Another $8.19M came in last session, pushed total assets under management up to about $1.25B.
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ETH is running on leverage fumes. 2025 is the year Ethereum officially turned into a pure speculation engine.

For every $1 spot, there’s $5 in ETH futures.

Binance alone pushed $6.7 Trillion in ETH futures, double last year. Other exchanges show the same madness.

Despite all this record-breaking futures activity, 2025 has been ETH’s worst performance year ever, 9 straight months in the red. Price is being dragged around by leverage junkies, not real buyers.

That’s why the price action is sloppy…Wicks are huge…and even the new ATH was barely few dollars higher.
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Gold is now at New ATH with massive $31.7 T market cap.

At this point..upside seems limited, even a 5% increase in Gold’s value would be equivalent to Bitcoin’s entire market cap.

Or...think of it other way around👀
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BTC’s latest move up isn’t backed by spot demand.

Open interest has jumped by roughly $2B, and Binance futures alone added over $700M. Price is being pushed up by aggressive traders.

Stay cautious for year end volatility
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