ALPHA/USDT

BTC and quite a few alts are bouncing off the daily cloud's bottom. A decent setup for a rebuy.

Entry: 0.4038
SL: 0.3385
TP1: 0.4740
TP2: 0.5499
TP3: 0.6520

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/5/5YMFvNat.png

👑#BTC update:

Cloud's bottom is acting as support. Also, an ascending channel has formed, with its upper edge currently around 49-50k. Pattern invalidation - daily close below $39k.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/c/C2mL4M8o.png

👑#BTC update:

One and a half hour until candle close, and the pattern is still intact. Hope you didn't get wicked out.

Previous analysis still applies, nothing's changed. Daily close below $39k would be a reason to short. Bullish otherwise.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/f/fMjn6Xit.png

👑#BTC update:

NASDAQ correlation is still affecting BTC price. A bit scary, it's just below the channel's edge, although that may be still within the margin of error - you can't expect extreme precision in TA.

The gameplan remains the same - still bullish now, but a daily candle close below 39k would mean it's time to rotate into stables and/or short.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/b/Bm8ul8tD.png

👑#BTC update:

Another day, another close above $39k. The SL worked well so far, saving us from getting wicked out. BTC is on resistance now, but a daily close above $40800 would put us back inside the channel, making this just a fakeout.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/R55dWc1g.png

👑#BTC update:

BTC has hit the SL - the daily closed below 39k. Ascending channel breakdown, obviously below cloud. Personally, I'm out of BTC here, and have the altcoin stoplosses set right on April 26th lows for every alt I have.

I could be wrong, maybe I just got chopped up here, since SP500 seems to be bouncing. Still, I'm just going to rely on TA and stay out at least until BTC is back above the daily cloud (+6% from the current price).

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/i/IvYYsO5t.png

👑#BTC update:

FOMC meeting in 25 minutes. I think the thesis for the market reaction to it is the same as the previous meeting - an anticipated bearish event, prices crash in anticipation of it. Once the event comes, the anticipation disappears, prices bounce.

Last time it resulted in 2 weeks of uptrend, from March 15 to 29. Might end up the same, might not. Something to keep in mind. Probably not a bad idea to get some BTC now, sell if there's no bounce in the next two days.

https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

👑#BTC update:

Well, the FOMC thing didn't work out at all, lol. Back on weekly cloud's bottom here.

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/z/ZSoF1ZPi.png

👑#BTC update:

If a bounce is coming, it should probably start here. Weekly cloud's bottom edge touched, stock market opens in around 13 hours.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/x/Xam88JJf.png

👑#BTC update:

First bullish setup in a month.

4h cloud entry, edge to edge trade. Resistance - cloud's top at $24700, which will probably coincide with 200EMA as well. Invalidation would be a close below cloud.
Looks like the relief rally is here.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/8/8h1FxUaE.png

👑#BTC update:

Nevermind, not yet. The edge resistance is still holding.

E2E will probably still happen eventually, just apparently not now.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/JIfOHBsT.png

👑#BTC update:

Second try. Closed inside cloud, no immediate rejection - so far so good. The setup's the same, TP at cloud's top, invalidation - drop below cloud.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/j/jEhI481p.png

👑#BTC update:

Spoke too soon, immediate rejection again. Cloud's edge still holding.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/4/4qQRcFDp.png

👑#BTC update:

Cloud's edge finally broken, after a consolidation right on it. Next resistance is around $21800. Breaking that would paint an adam & eve bottom on the chart, potentially meaning actual trend reversal. We might be back. 💸
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/r/rkv5511v.png

SOL/USDT

Since BTC broke resistance, I'm assuming at least a temporary reversal is here. It's time get in some obvious plays - well established, fundamentally strong coins that won't be forgotten the next cycle. Such as SOL.

Entry: 37.20
SL: 30.85
TP1: 50.00
TP2: 60.40
TP3: 79.00

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/3/34oWsCVS.png

👑#BTC update:

Resistance reached. Neckline of the potential Adam & Eve bottom. In my opinion, an important point in time here.

Breaking through $21800 -> Adam and Eve bottom confirmation, almost no resistance levels right until $28k.

Rejection here -> more ranging, closest support being around $20k.

In any case, if you're still degen long here, you're playing with fire. The time to reopen longs will be after the A&E neckline break.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/3/3D4HoS1Q.png

👑#BTC update:

Still consolidating on the line mentioned before. The next move will decide further direction. Probably coming on Monday, when the stock market opens.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/7/7giVkqbN.png

👑#BTC update:

And we're back inside the range. Hope you listened and weren't longing at the top. Kumo twist attracts the price. If you have spare cash, it's a good idea to layer some buys around 19500-20000. If the price bounces before reaching these levels, a safe place to long again would be around 22k.

https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/l/liCDtNkW.png

👑#BTC update:

20k touched. Starting to rebuy here. Layered buys from here to $19500. No stoploss, just happy to increase the BTC stack a bit.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/o/olgmDcsE.png

👑#BTC update:

Last bids filled, waiting for the bounce after the CPI print tomorrow. 😎
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/u/UDCrKvz9.png

👑#BTC update:

Price rises in anticipation of some event - dumps after the event has passed.
Price crashes in anticipation of some event - bounces after the event has passed.

Always been this way. Surprised more people didn't expect a bounce after the bearish CPI numbers. Anyway, closest resistance is at the same level, between 21500 and 21800. Will sell around there.
https://s3.tradingview.com/snapshots/p/PeFnRHQa.png