Target for $BTC remains $95k-100k. Invalidation below $84k.

Altcoins should continue to outperform in the coming days.

$CAKE update

Up 65% from entry. It’s been consolidating for a few days now and looks ready for a bullish continuation.

Why Risk Management Matters More Than Your Setup

You can have the perfect entry. The right narrative. The cleanest chart.
But if you don’t manage risk, none of that matters.

The truth is: you won’t always be right. And that’s fine—because you don’t need to be right all the time.
What matters is how much you lose when you’re wrong, and how well you let your wins run when you’re right.

Risk management isn’t just about stop losses or position sizing.
It’s about knowing when to go heavy, when to scale back, and when to step aside completely.

It’s about survival.
Because if you blow up, you’re out of the game—and no prediction, thesis, or setup will save you from that.

The market doesn’t care about your ego.
It rewards discipline, patience, and respect for risk.

But here’s the thing: risk management starts with mindset.
You can know all the rules, but without the right mental framework, you won’t follow them when it matters most.

I’ll be writing about this more often, diving deeper into mindset, risk, health, and everything that actually helps you trade better (and live better too).
I’m also exploring a new format to make it all easier to follow and revisit. More organized.
Open to suggestions—DMs on X are always welcome.

First the charts, then the news.

Not really liking this LTF PA. I would like to see a clean break above $89k for bullish continuation.

Altcoins LTF trend remains bullish. I just want to see more confirmations.

$NEAR update

Good reaction at major HTF support.

Target: $4.50

$BTC

Looking good for a bounce.

GM!

LTF (Low-Timeframe) PA looking good again. We should see bullish continuation very soon.

$SOL

Looking good for a bullish move towards $180-200

$BTC

Clear demand zone here.

As long as Bitcoin stays above $84k-85k, the target remains $95k-100k.

GM

$BTC has broken below $84k, which isn’t great for the short-term bullish scenario.
However, this still looks like a bear trap to me. Based on indicators and the confluence with altcoins—most of which are holding higher lows above HTF support—I remain bullish.

That said, I’d really like to see a strong reclaim of $84k (ideally $85k) soon to confirm strength.

Let’s see how it plays out. Have a great weekend!

$BTC - Current view

Bitcoin has been showing weakness since February, and in my opinion, this will likely end with a capitulation event at some point.

That said, as I’ve mentioned over the last few days, indicators are flashing local bottom signals in the short term.
Sentiment is extremely negative, prices are very oversold, and most altcoins are at major support levels—forming higher lows, just like BTC.

Based on that, I believe we could see another short squeeze / bull trap soon, possibly pushing $BTC up to the $95k area, with altcoins likely outperforming.

Note: For this short-term scenario to play out, BTC must reclaim $84k, which remains a key level.

$RENDER update

This setup keeps looking great.

$BTC

Bitcoin has reclaimed $84k, and is trying to reclaim the $85k level too. Sign of strength.

GM

Most people expect today to be a bearish event (Trump administration to announce global tariffs today at 4:00 PM EDT (22:00 CEST))

I see it differently. Most of the tariff news is likely already priced in. The market has been dropping for weeks.

Charts keep looking bullish for the short-term, and we’ve already seen some signs of strength. Could easily turn into a buy the news kind of day.

Let's see how the market reacts!

GM

Crazy PA yesterday... and this is exactly why I avoid leverage most of the time.

Right now, $BTC is just deviating above and below the $84k–85k area, flip-flopping and trying to find direction.

Indicators remain bullish for the short-term, so I still think a move up is more likely. But once again, we need to see a clean reclaim of $85k to confirm that.

As long as that happens, the target would be $92k-98k, which is the next strong resistance zone.

A lot of alts look like this. Usually a local bottom structure.