For those feeling like they're missing out these days:

When you see prices rising, people euphorically sharing profits, bullish news, random coins pumping like crazy... it's normal to feel like you're being left behind. However, making decisions based on FOMO can lead to big mistakes.

Everything seems clearer in hindsight. The reality is, if you didn’t enter the market a few days ago, it’s now too risky. It's true that you need to take risks to make money, but it’s better if they’re calculated and driven by reason rather than emotion. Just as the market has skyrocketed in recent days, it can drop just as much in the coming ones. There are many reasons for this (sentiment is extremely bullish, lots of liquidity gaps below, major resistance levels being reached, strong supply coming into the market, whales selling vs. retail buying, geopolitical tensions...)

So, despite your natural impulses, think logically and don’t ignore the signals. It’s very likely we’ll see a strong correction in December.

I would also like to share something I wrote a few years ago:

Protecting your capital is much more important than making money.
Basically because if you lose your capital, making money is much harder.

"Missing the train" vs. "losing your money."
There are plenty of trains, but if your money is gone, it’s game over.

Stay patient, stay disciplined, and the right opportunities will come. I’ll be here to share them with you when the time is right.

Bitcoin reaches the historical level of $100,000. Now what?

This morning, Bitcoin has finally reached the $100,000 level—a milestone many have been anticipating for years. What can we expect now?

This possibility wasn’t off the table. As I mentioned earlier, it didn’t really matter if it grabbed liquidity at $100k or not. If the sentiment was already very bullish before, it has now reached extreme levels. It has attracted a lot of attention and is literally being featured on all mainstream media right now. Even world leaders are joining the excitement, with one president sharing screenshots of his profits. While this is good in the medium and long term, in the short term it could be another warning sign. Tops are always formed during times of extreme euphoria and when retail investors flood the market. Many people are expecting much higher, without even considering the possibility of a correction.

The key now will be whether BTC drops back below $100k, signaling a deviation. Altcoins haven’t followed this time, which could be an early sign of weakness. Funding rates are extremely high and need a reset, which can only be achieved with a strong pullback.

At the moment, I’m expecting an initial pullback to $89k–$91k, with altcoins dropping 10%–30%. If those levels hold, we could see a bounce from there, and some altcoins reaching new swing highs (there could be some short-term opportunities, I'll keep track of them), while BTC forms its first lower high. After that, the correction should extend much lower.

So, once again, keep calm and do NOT FOMO here.

In my opinion, that was the test dump.

Expecting a 15%-30% drop on altcoins, then a bounce where some might hit new highs, but others won’t (forming their first lower high).

#ALTCOINS - Htf view update

One of the altcoins market cap indexes (TOTAL3) has reached main resistance, taking the 2021 ATH.

#Bitcoin whales seem to have distributed above $100,000. $ETH has deviated above $4,000, where there was a lot of liquidity. And $SOL deviated above its 2021 ATH as well.

With the exception of a few altcoins that might still reach new swing highs, I believe the local top is likely in for most of the market.

$AIOZ

One of the few altcoins that could still make new highs if the dark zone holds.

I've bought some here at $1.05. Small exposure.

This is why I was being cautious. An avg. 15%-30% drop on altcoins has just occurred.

I'm expecting a short-term bounce from here, and as I said the other day, most altcoins should form a lower high, while a few could make new swing highs (AI coins probably).

$ENA

ENA shows a strong setup compared to the rest of the market. I've bought some at this level, along with AIOZ and a few other AI coins.

I'm currently 5%-10% exposed to the market, with plans to take profits in the next few days and returning to 100% USDT.

Let's see how it goes.

The local bottom is probably in for a few days. Altcoins should bounce from here.

The local bottom idea is playing out so far.

BTC might slow down here, and some altcoins could outperform for a while.

Increasing a bit my portfolio to 15%-20% exposure to the market. I've added some gaming coins which I believe should outperform these days along with AI, before the entire market reaches a local top.

I believe BTC is forming a local top between 95k-105k. Whales are clearly distributing at these levels. However, there could still be a flow of capital into some altcoins whose BTC pairs are trading at highly undervalued levels, until BTC gives the bearish confirmation (below 90k).

Let’s see how the market unfolds in the coming days. Will re-evaluate based on how key resistance and support levels play out.

Analysis done, positions taken, alerts set.

Now, remember the importance to step away from the screens to recharge your energies and spend quality time with yourself and your loved ones.

Wishing you all a blessed weekend!

$ENA update


30% up from entry, so far.

It's retracing a bit now, but the htf trend remains very strong, so it should keep going up to the ATH at least.

Expecting BTC to slow down soon, and some altcoins to have interesting bullish moves. Those should be the last pumps, probably until Wednesday (FOMC meeting).

Pay special attention to AI tokens.

On the other hand, when I return to X, I'll bring a more diverse range of content. This will include educational posts on fundamental and technical analysis, trading psychology, risk management, retrospective analysis, more interaction with followers...

This comeback is about staying true to my values: honesty, growth, and helping others—while also prioritizing balance. I’ll talk not just about trading, but about health, mindset, and the importance of a fulfilled life beyond the charts.

Stay tuned.

Important Reminder

I do not have any Instagram or other social media accounts apart from X and Telegram. Please avoid falling for scams or impersonation attempts.

You can find me only on:

X (Twitter): https://x.com/CryptoCapo_ (Currently inactive, but I’ll be back soon!)

Telegram: https://news.1rj.ru/str/CryptoCapoTG


Any other accounts claiming to be me are fake. Stay safe and verify information carefully.

$AIOZ update - Ltf view

Htf support (dark zone) is holding up very well.

A clean reclaim of $1.18 would be the ltf bullish confirmation.

Looking good.

My Thoughts on Today’s FOMC Meeting

The Fed meeting is today, and the expectation is a 25bps rate cut. But honestly, the real action is going to be in Powell’s speech afterward—and even more importantly, how the market reacts to it.

Looking ahead to 2025, the Fed will probably slow things down with rate changes. Why? The economy’s flashing some warning signs: unemployment is creeping up, and inflation is still too high (and probably worse than they admit).

For now, I think the market could have a short-term bounce, even if Powell comes off dovish. The recent dip likely baked in these expectations, so this could end up being a classic "sell the rumor, buy the news" situation, even if the news isn't great.

I remain bullish short-term on the AI narrative, with many solid setups presenting opportunities. On the other hand, memecoins and many altcoins likely have already hit their local tops.

As always, the best play is to stay flexible and adjust as things develop. Let’s see how this plays out!