Forwarded from infinityhedge
U.S. SEPT CPI IN 30MIN: INFINITYHEDGE
Forecast:
*headline: 0.39% vs 0.38% M/M prev.
*headline: 3.1% vs 2.9% Y/Y
*Core CPI: 0.30% vs 0.35% M/M
*Core CPI: 3.1% vs 3.1% Y/Y
SPX rxn on Core MoM:
> 0.40%: -1.5% to -2.25%
0.35-0.40%: -0.5% to -1.25%
0.30-0.35%: flat to +0.5% (base case)
< 0.30%: +0.75% to +1.5%
JPM sees a ~65% chance that S&P 500 will be +ve following CPI release.
JPM expecting this CPI day to be “less volatile than usual,” with investors’ expectations that the Fed will ease again on Oct. 29 likely offsetting any inflation-related angst.
GS: Market is fully pricing the cuts in our forecast through the end of this year. The impetus for the market’s shift towards pricing more easing has been the weaker labor market and not the inflation picture, so this CPI print is unlikely to be definitive.
BBG Strategists: Bonds and equities face asymmetric downside risks should inflation come in hotter-than-expected on Friday. However, if traders start questioning the quality of the data, the first reaction may not be the last.
Forecast:
*headline: 0.39% vs 0.38% M/M prev.
*headline: 3.1% vs 2.9% Y/Y
*Core CPI: 0.30% vs 0.35% M/M
*Core CPI: 3.1% vs 3.1% Y/Y
SPX rxn on Core MoM:
> 0.40%: -1.5% to -2.25%
0.35-0.40%: -0.5% to -1.25%
0.30-0.35%: flat to +0.5% (base case)
< 0.30%: +0.75% to +1.5%
JPM sees a ~65% chance that S&P 500 will be +ve following CPI release.
JPM expecting this CPI day to be “less volatile than usual,” with investors’ expectations that the Fed will ease again on Oct. 29 likely offsetting any inflation-related angst.
GS: Market is fully pricing the cuts in our forecast through the end of this year. The impetus for the market’s shift towards pricing more easing has been the weaker labor market and not the inflation picture, so this CPI print is unlikely to be definitive.
BBG Strategists: Bonds and equities face asymmetric downside risks should inflation come in hotter-than-expected on Friday. However, if traders start questioning the quality of the data, the first reaction may not be the last.
Forwarded from infinityhedge
*US SEPT. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 3% Y/Y; EST. +3.1%
*US SEPT. CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3%
*US SEPT. CORE CPI RISES 3% Y/Y; EST. +3.1%
*US SEPT. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.4%
*US SEPT. CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3%
*US SEPT. CORE CPI RISES 3% Y/Y; EST. +3.1%
*US SEPT. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.3% M/M; EST. +0.4%
DiveInDefi
With $SPX in green every day, I don‘t see a reason why crypto shouldn‘t be green right now
Same situation.
112k ahead
112k ahead
❤1
Forwarded from Crypto News Aggregator by EXCAVO
📈 #ETH #ETF Glassnode: At the end of 3Q 2025, for the first time in history, quarterly inflows into spot ETH ETF exceeded inflows into spot BTC ETFs.
🥰1
DiveInDefi
No matter how you look at $DJI - we are going vertical and broke all resistances. Everything that goes up that quick will correct heavily at some point.
$DJI now properly broke the log trend which started 1929 and became a resistance in January 2000 just when the dot-com bubble topped.
https://x.com/cryptosr_us/status/1981926187690762679
This is happening and people are still bearish.
I wish stocks wouldn‘t be that heated up right now… we have everything else for a nice pump.
This is happening and people are still bearish.
I wish stocks wouldn‘t be that heated up right now… we have everything else for a nice pump.
X (formerly Twitter)
CryptosRus (@CryptosR_Us) on X
JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon: “If I was the government, I’d close it down.”
JPMorgan today: “We now accept $BTC as collateral.”
You can’t make this up. 😂
JPMorgan today: “We now accept $BTC as collateral.”
You can’t make this up. 😂
Forwarded from Hyperliquid Liquidations