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The next video will be about the market, plans, and goals for 2026.

What I Expect from 2026

This is not a post about fast money.
And not about guessing the bottom.

This is a post about survival, structure, and positioning —
at the moment when most people get tired and leave.

2026 will be selective.
There will be fewer opportunities.
The cost of mistakes will be higher.

And this is exactly when an edge appears —
for those who can wait, think, and work systematically, not alone.

One simple thing must be accepted:
the market does not owe you setups every day.

No trade is also a position.
Sometimes the best decision is simply not donating money to the market.

Many people didn’t fully understand 2025.

It was the year of institutions:
ETFs, derivatives, structured products, complex instruments built on top of the base asset.

Big capital doesn’t believe in ideas.
It positions, hedges, and extracts liquidity.

Crypto is still a young industry,
but the rules are already adult.
And the market always sends the bill for misunderstanding those rules.

The main mistake of 2026
is believing in a quick reversal
and increasing risk to “win it back.”

Hope is the most expensive emotion in trading.
The market does not pay for hope.

Most people will leave not because the market is bad,
but because they won’t be able to handle it psychologically.
This happens in every cycle.

About altcoins

My view is strict:

Most altcoins will be washed out, cleaned, and pressured by regulation.

The reasons are obvious:
— too many tokens
— constant unlocks
— funds sitting in old profits
— lack of real liquidity

There will be exceptions.
But they will be rare.

Paradoxically, memecoins (despite my skepticism) did one useful thing:
they forced people to learn on-chain analysis, capital flows, and market inefficiencies.

What remains structurally alive

— RWA (tokenized real-world assets)
— infrastructure
— DeFi v2 as an alternative system

But we must be honest:
potential returns in altcoins are declining cycle after cycle.

Bitcoin and pain levels

My base scenario for 2026 is pressure and bottom formation.

Capitulation will affect:
— traders
— investors
— miners
— funds
— large holders

The market cleanses itself.
It’s painful — but necessary.

Key ranges I’m watching:
— 48k–74k as the base range
— 38k–46k as extreme zones

My first meaningful accumulation zone is around 64k.
Below that — limit orders.
Buying only during panic. No rush.

There’s an old saying:
“We enter the market when there is blood in the streets.”
That’s not emotion. That’s asymmetry.

In my view, the deeper phase of this cycle and the shift toward early bullish conditions align closer to September 2026.

Why I look beyond crypto

One of the biggest mistakes crypto traders make
is thinking the world ends with blockchain.

Blockchain is infrastructure — not the entire market.

That’s why in 2026 I diversify across:
— gold
— oil
— indices
— stocks
— and only very selectively crypto assets

Other markets are often:
— more liquid
— more structured
— easier to execute

Ignoring them is a strategic mistake.

Narratives beyond crypto

The world is hitting the limits of energy supply.
Energy is becoming a strategic asset.

Those who can efficiently produce electricity will be in a strong position.

AI is not just hype.
It will drive breakthroughs in medicine, energy, data analysis, and financial markets.

Global instability is no longer a forecast.
It’s a condition we live in.

My approach in 2026

— more cash
— short-biased trading when structure allows
— selective entries
— waiting for panic
— minimized risk

If there is no setup — there is no trade.
That’s discipline.

And one more thing:
if you’re tired — rest.
The market will still be here.
Your capital and your mindset are your real assets.

About community and growth

Growth alone is slow.
Growth in the right environment is faster.

I’m building a trading community where:
— thinking evolves
— on-chain capital flows are analyzed
— portfolios with limit orders are structured
— experience is shared, not illusions

Happy new year

The longest package in my life arrived Solana Phone Seeker, on January 21st after the airdrop, should I give it to my grandmother or do a giveaway in the community?

BTC. The market is tired — and that’s exactly why it’s dangerous.

If I had to describe the market right now with one word,
it would be fatigue.
Fatigue mixed with hope.

Some participants have already left.
Some were liquidated.
Others are simply waiting for their tokens to “come back.”

Continued in tradingview....

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BTCUSDT.P/LT6sYd5E-BTC-The-Market-Is-Tired-And-That-s-Exactly-Why-It-s-Dangerous/

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The view before the drop . Bitcoin review 20.01.2026 - Episode 1

https://youtu.be/RMQcvUQPEFY?si=p_gVOLrSEKOiF4iS

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Today in Davos, Changpeng Zhao (CZ) once again stated a simple idea:
the crypto industry has already proven itself at scale.


If you look at the market without emotions, one fact stands out —
exchanges are among the most resilient and profitable businesses in crypto.

https://www.tradingview.com/chart/BNBUSD/LKwni27L-Exchange-Tokens-and-What-the-Market-Often-Realizes-Too-Late/


A small but important context:
I wrote about exchanges as a core growth layer back in April 2020.

If you now revisit that historical chart, you’ll notice something interesting —
almost every native exchange token from that period
has outperformed Bitcoin on a relative basis.

This was not driven by hype.
It was driven by:
• growing volumes
• expanding functionality
• exchanges evolving into full platforms

On today’s charts, the pattern is still clear:

Volumes → Fees → Sustainability → Token valuation.

One key point many overlook:
exchange tokens are usually distributed for activity, not for waiting.

Trading volumes, engagement, and real usage
have historically determined future allocation.

That’s why exchanges without tokens yet, but with growing activity,
often offer the most interesting long-term asymmetry.

This is not about short-term trades.
This is about accumulation over months.

An CEX exchange that will launch its own token this year - LINK

— EXCAVO