Yesterday, gold prices fell -5.7%, marking the largest 1-day drop since April 2013.
This is a ~4.5 sigma move.
In other words, such a large move only happens in 1 out of 240,000 days in a "normal" world.
What does it mean? Let us explain.
Statistically speaking, gold's move was a near 5-sigma event.
However, in reality, gold has seen a move of this magnitude only 34 times since 1971.
In other words, this occurs in 34 of 13,088 trading days or 0.26% of the time, per @BurggrabenH.
This is EXTREMELY rare.
Silver prices were hit even harder.
Silver fell as much as -9% in a single-day and posted its largest daily decline since the 2020 crash.
Gold and silver neared -$3 trillion in lost market cap in just over 24 hours of trade.
But, we cannot ignore what happened BEFORE this.
Before yesterday's crash, gold and silver posted their best rally in over 40 years.
Silver was up as much as +85% YTD and Gold was nearing +70% YTD returns.
Still, Silver and Gold are up +67% and +55% respectively, more than 4 TIMES the S&P 500's return.
A drop was overdue.
Flows were a CLEAR leading indicator that this drop was coming.
In the week ending October 10th, gold and silver funds posted +$8.2 billion in net inflows, the 2nd-largest inflow on record.
This followed a record +$9.5 billion seen in the prior week.
The trade was crowded.
Meanwhile, gold was up for 9-STRAIGHT weeks for the 5th time in history.
Gold has never posted 10-straight weekly gains.
In the previous 4 times this happened, gold ended an average of -13% lower 2 months later.
So, what's next after the first blow to a historic run?
In our view, gold remains fundamentally strong.
In fact, it has only improved over the last few days.
Amid the government data blackout, alternative metrics show US inflation at 2.6%.
This marks the 5th-consecutive monthly increase in these alternative metrics.
Full post in the link below 👇👇
https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1980994433849135340
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Forwarded from Tupi Report 🇧🇷 • #FreeVenezuela
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In Statement, the French Armed Forces said:
⚖️ 2,373kg of cocaine seized by European countries🤝 Effective cooperation between military and civilian actors from partner nations🇫🇷 🇺🇸 🇵🇹 🇪🇸 🇬🇧 ⚔️ Continuous commitment of the armed forces in the fight against organized crime, drug trafficking, and for the protection of European borders.
🔗 Armée française - Opérations militaires (@EtatMajorFR):
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Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺The CHP-5 substation in the Bahrynova Hora district of Kyiv was targeted by the Iskander-M strike.
@wfwitness
@wfwitness
Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
WarFront Witness
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺All of these Iskander-Ms are being launched from the Bryansk region. @wfwitness
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺Additional photo of fires in Kyiv after the CHP-5 and CHP-6 substations were targeted by Iskander-M missiles.
This photo is of the first volley which struck the CHP-5 substation.
@wfwitness
This photo is of the first volley which struck the CHP-5 substation.
@wfwitness
Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
WarFront Witness
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺Additional photo of fires in Kyiv after the CHP-5 and CHP-6 substations were targeted by Iskander-M missiles. This photo is of the first volley which struck the CHP-5 substation. @wfwitness
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺Mayor of Kyiv Klitschko reports that medical teams have been dispatched to the Darnyts'kyi district of Kyiv, where CHP-6 is.
He advises residents to remain in shelter as the threat of repeated strikes is still active.
@wfwitness
He advises residents to remain in shelter as the threat of repeated strikes is still active.
@wfwitness
Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
WarFront Witness
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺Mayor of Kyiv Klitschko reports that medical teams have been dispatched to the Darnyts'kyi district of Kyiv, where CHP-6 is. He advises residents to remain in shelter as the threat of repeated strikes is still active. @wfwitness
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺Mayor of Kyiv Klitschko reports that as of 2:40 am there are no confirmed casualties from the missile and drone strikes on Kyiv this evening.
Debris fell on cars in the Pecherskyi district causing a fire.
@wfwitness
Debris fell on cars in the Pecherskyi district causing a fire.
@wfwitness
Forwarded from WarFront Witness (Igor Gouzenko)
⚡️🇺🇦🇷🇺Two Russian ballistic missiles from the Kursk region have been detected over Bilopillya, Sumy region.
@wfwitness
@wfwitness
Forwarded from Tupi Report 🇧🇷 • #FreeVenezuela
Trump beats the drums of war for direct action in Venezuela 🖇
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