🚢❗️ — NEW: Maersk announced it is halting all ship transits through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait due to rising regional tensions and will reroute vessels around the Cape of Good Hope until further notice.

🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 Iranian AD systems shot down an American MQ-9 Reaper UAV in the skies over Iran.

@CIG_telegram

🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 Fars News Agency claims that the Iranian military fired 4 ballistic missiles at the USS Abraham Lincoln!

The agency didn't say if the missiles hit their target but promised to give more details shortly!

@CIG_telegram

🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 4 B-2 bombers targeted Iran last night and are returning to Whiteman AFB, Missouri.

Their targets remain unknown.

@CIG_telegram

🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸 Countries hosting U.S. CENTCOM facilities targeted by the Islamic Republic of Iran in the past 24 hours. I didn't include (yet) the number of military operations.

🔗 MenchOSINT

🛢 With the Strait of Hormuz locked down, analysts expect crude oil prices to spike to 100$ on Monday with incalculable ripple effects on the global economy.

According to Reuters, even though stocks are currently closed, WTI Crude over the counter price spiked to 80$ from 67$ on Friday.

Prolonged closure of the Hormuz Strait could see the oil price reach astronomical levels in some doomsday scenarios.

@CIG_telegram

🇮🇱🇺🇸📝 During last June's war, by the 10th day of fighting, Israel was already running short on interceptors, fuel and air munitions were scarce.

Almost all the munitions used in Gaza last year, against Iran last year, and again now have been supplied by the United States, more than 1,500 airlift sorties and at least 300 cargo ships full.

Last year the Pentagon issued a statement saying stockpiles were low and that this was already limiting supplies to several allies.

There are already sufficient short-range bombs, as these can be manufactured relatively quickly, but the same does not apply to long-range munitions, interceptors, or Tomahawks, which take much longer to produce.

It means that US-Israel must get air superiority to next few days and be able to short range strikes.

Although Israel has resolved the tanker issue, several other bottlenecks remain and will soon start to weigh heavily on operations.

I would say that if, within the next 3-4 days, the number of Iranian missile launches is not substantially reduced, the munitions situation will begin to seriously concern the US–Israel coalition.

There is no American operation against Iran today. Israel remains the protagonist in the action, employing far more aircraft and intelligence assets and getting support from US.

🔗 Patricia Marins

🛰🇦🇪🔥 Multiple fires raging in Dubai in Jebel Ali port.

Impact at an oil terminal and some warehouses.

@CIG_telegram

🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 The destroyer USS Thomas Hudner (DDG 116) fires Tomahawk missiles

🔗 Visioner (@visionergeo)

🇺🇸🚨 Trump's former national security adviser and Iran Warhawk, John Bolton, is worried about the power vacuum the death of Sayyed Ali Khamenei may leave behind in Iran

While Bolton praised Trump’s strikes on Iran as the “most consequential decision” of his presidency, he warned that Trump and his administration could have acted impulsively without any appreciation for the complex aftermath of what is now a power vacuum.

“There could be a lot of turmoil, a lot of bloodshed,” Bolton said.

Notably, he added, there could be chaos in the Straits of Hormuz, which Iran has threatened to shut down in order to block the twenty percent of global oil supply that flows through it every day.

And while Trump frequently talks about taking the oil of countries that clash with the U.S., Bolton said he is less worried about that happening now. Bringing Iranian oil back online is in the interest of U.S. allies in the region, who will be less worried about market competition and more relieved that Ayatollah Khamenei is dead since many of them saw Iran as an “existential” threat.

🔗 https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2026/03/01/john-bolton-iran-strike-could-mean-turmoil-and-bloodshed-00806066

🇸🇦⚔️🇮🇷 CNN: Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman has authorized possible military retaliation against Iran, calling its attacks on Saudi Arabia “cowardly.”

He says the Kingdom will take all necessary measures to defend itself.

🔗 Clash Report

🇮🇷⚔️🇺🇸🇧🇭🇶🇦🇦🇪 Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, told Al Jazeera that the reason Iranian drones started hitting hotels and apartment buildings in Bahrain, Qatar and the UAE was because the U.S. didn't airlift its troops from the Gulf Countries, it booked rooms instead in nearby hotels.

📝: The U.S. soldiers killed yesterday or today were likely in one of the hotels/apartment buildings in the Gulf Countries. CENTCOM had them retreat from the bases which had fortified air raid shelters and air defense systems and put them into unprotected hotels.

@CIG_telegram

🇺🇸🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇷📝: The information we have available today suggests Khamenei's home was targeted in the opening round of US-Israeli strikes, likely between 8:30am and 9:30am Jerusalem time.

The Iranian response began at 11:00am. This means that every Iranian offensive action we've seen so far occurred *after* Khamenei was killed.

American planners were likely hoping that the initial shock would result in discoordination. Instead, the Iranians immediately jumped about halfway up their escalatory ladder by striking not just US bases in the Gulf states, but Gulf infrastructure, and retaliated dramatically faster than they did in the 12 Day War. They then closed the Strait of Hormuz.

Whatever Trump was trying to achieve by killing Khamenei clearly failed, and failed immediately. This is the strongest Iranian response we've ever seen, and the entirety of it occurred after Khamenei was already dead.

Iranian drone and missile barrages so far are smaller but much more constant than those during the 12 Day War. This suggests the Iranians have reformed their command and control to be more decentralized and resilient to decapitation strikes. And yet, they managed to hit every major US base in the region over a very short period of time.

🔗 Amerikanets

🇺🇸📊🇮🇷 Only one in four Americans approves of the US strikes that killed Iran's leader.

About half — including one in four Republicans — believe President Trump is too willing to use military force, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that concluded on Sunday.

🔗 https://www.reuters.com/world/us/just-one-four-americans-support-us-strikes-iran-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2026-03-01/