🇩🇪🤝🇺🇸 — German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said to EU leaders slamming US strikes:

“Now isn’t the moment to lecture our partners and allies. Despite all doubts, we share many of their objectives, even if we ourselves aren’t capable of actually achieving them.”

🇰🇼🇬🇧🗺 — A Kuwaiti Royal Air Force Boeing C-17A Globemaster III landed in Kuwait City International Airport after flying from RAF Prestwick, likely carrying weapons from United Kingdom

#BREAKING

🇮🇷❌🇨🇾🇬🇧 — Initial reports of Iranian Drone strikes against RAF bases in Cyprus, in Eastern Mediterranean!

🇮🇷❌🇨🇾🇬🇧— Reports indicate that RAF Akrotiri, on Cyprus, has been struck by an Iranian drone, 965 KM away from Iran itself

🇺🇸🇸🇦❌🇮🇷 — US Senator Lindsey Graham predicted a potential coalition between the United States and Sunni Arab states aimed at attacking and overthrowing the Shia-led Islamic Republic of Iran:

I think the Arabs are going to join the fight.

I think you're going to see a coalition between the United States and the Arab world to take on the Iranian regime, which would be breathtaking.

The fact that we're going to work together potentially with the Arabs to liberate the Iranian people is unbelievable. I think that is coming.

🇦🇪🇶🇦🇸🇦🇮🇷The Gulf countries have declared a "right to respond" to Iran's strikes on their territory.

They made this statement following a meeting of the Gulf Cooperation Council.

The document states that the Council's member states reserve the right to individual and collective self-defense in accordance with Article 51 of the UN Charter. This means the possibility of both independent and joint actions within the framework of a joint defense agreement.

It is emphasized that the security of the Council's countries is "indivisible", and any attack on one of them is considered an attack on all the states of the union.

The statement also notes that "all necessary measures" will be taken to protect sovereignty, security, and stability.

At the same time, the meeting participants called for an immediate cessation of attacks and stressed the importance of a diplomatic settlement.

🛢 WTI Crude oil prices spiked to 72.6$/barrel

Brent prices reached 79.4$/barrel

Murban Crude is at ~82$/barrel

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🛢 Brent crude prices reached 80$/barrel

WTI Crude is at 73.2$/barrel in 10 minutes

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🇺🇸⚔️🇨🇺 Republican senator, Lindsey Graham, says "Cuba is next" after Iran.

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🇮🇱⚔️🇹🇷 Former Israeli PM, Naftali Bennett, says Turkey "is next" after Iran is defeated.

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🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 The Iranian Navy lost 4-5 ships in the American attack on the Konarak naval base, eastern Iran.

One of them, the Jamaran-class frigate was a modern warship, the others were 1960s old corvettes, IRIS Bayandor and IRIS Naghdi and were likely not in a position to fight anyway.

Two other patrol boats were sunk.

President Trump mentioned 9 ships to be sunk but evidence points to just 5 having being sunk.

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🇺🇸🇮🇱⚔️🇮🇷📝: What to expect from the US-Iran conflict against Iran for the next days?

The first thing is that you understand that assassinating leaders is such an extreme measure that it ends up uniting the country. What was the reason to attack even the opponents of the government like Ahmadinejad?

Was the project to colonize like in Venezuela? Iran is a big player and it was underestimated.

The second is not to start conflicts without adequate planning and supplies to carry them out. Israel started this attack with only 1/3 of the defense missiles it had when it attacked Iran in June last year.

The US got into this canoe knowing that not even against the Houthis with a force of 20 ships and aviation had they managed to inhibit missile launches from a tiny territory. Not even in Iraq operating 6 aircraft carriers was such a feat achieved.

Who had the idea to claim that this in a country the size of Iran would be hit in hours or days?

By my calculations, US-ISRAEL and allies possessed at the beginning of this conflict, about 2,500-3,000 interceptors, considering total ground batteries and VLS' of the warships involved.

In just two days Iran fired more than 400 missiles and almost 1,000 drones, certainly consuming from 1,000 to 1,500 interceptors only in 2 days.

The situation is worrying and the biggest problem is that US-Israel fell into an attrition war knowing that their interceptor industries do not support such attrition.

President Trump talks about short conflict, but after agreeing with the assassination of leaders, he created an environment where there is no space for negotiations, mainly because Iran knows that such negotiations are pointless and it can harm the U.S.

For Iran it doesn't matter if the country will be in rubble, as long as missiles remain to launch against the US-Israel.

And don't expect Iran's missiles to run out. Imagine the stock of someone who has been producing missiles for 40 years.

This coalition created a spiral from which they see no way out and, we are on the third day without any sign of reduction in Iran's launches, quite the contrary we are seeing new missile models and American bases and embassies under fire.

The cost of all this so far to not get anywhere is already in the house of many billions.

I'll repeat here, If Iran today maintains its capabilities as in the last two days, this situation shapes up for us-israel to have to ask for help from Gulf Monarchies and in the last case Europeans/NATO.

🔗 Patricia Marins