⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

🇦🇺 Australia officially bans social media for teens under age 16.


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🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

🇮🇳 Amazon $AMZN to invest $35 billion in India and create one million jobs by 2030.


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🐈 FOMC Day

The FOMC rate cut decision drops today at 2 p.m. ET.

The market is currently pricing an 88% probability of a 25 bps cut.
At 2:30 p.m. ET, Powell takes the stage for the press conference.
This is the real market mover.

If he hints at QE, balance sheet expansion or openness to more cuts in 2026, risk assets can go vertical.

Polymarket is already showing a 97% chance that the Fed reduces rates this year, so expectations are high and positioning is crowded.

How will the market react?

👍 Up
🔥 Flat
👎 Down


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

For the first time, Danish Defence Intelligence Service has named the United States as a negative factor in Denmark’s security outlook.

The agency cites growing uncertainty over the U.S. role as Europe’s security guarantor and its increasing use of economic and technological power—even against allies.


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US ECONOMY: 4 BIG WARNING LIGHTS ARE FLASHING RED

The US economy is showing clear signs of fracture beneath surface-level AI exuberance. A data breakdown reveals synchronous deterioration in labor, corporate health, and leading indicators.

1️⃣ MASSIVE JOB CUTS ARE HAPPENING NOW

So far in 2025, over 1.2 million Americans have been laid off. The government, UPS, Amazon, Ford—big names in every sector are cutting thousands of jobs. When this many people lose their income at once, it hurts everyone's spending power.

2️⃣ FACTORY JOBS ARE DISAPPEARING FAST

Despite Trump's trade wars, US manufacturing is in a deep slump.

Lost -18,000 jobs in November—the 2nd worst drop this year.

Employment has fallen in 25 of the last 35 months.

A key gauge of factory hiring has been in contraction for 10 straight months, signaling more losses ahead.

3️⃣ CORPORATE SOLVENCY CRISIS

Bankruptcy filings indicate a liquidity squeeze.

Small Business: A record 2,221 have filed for bankruptcy this year—that’s +83% over 5 years. High costs are crushing them.

Large Corporate: 717 large firms have gone bankrupt in 2025, the most in 15 years—a +93% jump since 2022.

4️⃣ A KEY GROWTH ENGINE IS STALLING

Sales of heavy trucks have crashed -47% in three months. This kind of collapse only happens in recessions. Trucks move everything; this plunge means companies expect less shipping and construction.

THE BOTTOM LINE:

The data depicts an economy decoupling: AI-centric growth versus broad-based deterioration in traditional channels. The critical question is whether capital concentration in tech can offset synchronous stress in employment, Main Street viability, and industrial demand.

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🦺👓🕶🥽🥼

Goldman Sachs predicts Gold will reach $4,900 by end of 2026.


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⚠️🚯↪️🔂⬅️

🇺🇸 White House economic adviser and possible Fed Chair Kevin Hassett says a 25 bps rate cut would be a small step in the right direction.


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