🇺🇸 FED to deploy $55.3B from tomorrow through Feb 12 via bond reinvestments and reserve purchases.
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Trump’s tariff playbook is back
Markets are facing another tariff-driven volatility cycle.
Trump has announced new tariffs on the EU while tying any rollback to a Greenland deal, restarting a familiar pattern that traders have seen multiple times before.
A new 10% tariff is set to begin on February 1, with a planned increase to 25% on June 1 if no agreement is reached.
The targets include Denmark, Norway, Sweden, France, Germany, the UK, the Netherlands, and Finland. Trump has stated the tariffs stay until a full deal on Greenland is reached.
This fits the same structure that has defined Trump’s trade strategy in previous episodes.
How the tariff cycle usually unfolds
🐈 Initial threat or cryptic message, often late Friday🐈 Formal tariff announcement shortly after, usually aggressive in size🐈 Repeated pressure over the weekend while markets are closed🐈 Futures sell off when markets reopen on Sunday night🐈 Early week volatility as headlines dominate🐈 Dip buying appears midweek as traders realize tariffs are not yet live🐈 Talks and “progress” headlines surface the following weekend🐈 Futures rally on optimism, often fading after the cash open🐈 A deal is announced before tariffs actually take effect
Tariffs are used as leverage, not as an end goal.
The timing matters.
Announcements tend to come when markets are closed, with a 2–3 week window before implementation to force negotiations. In past cases, deals were announced on the exact day tariffs were supposed to go live.
This time the Greenland demand is more complex than past disputes, which could stretch the timeline. Still, the sequence remains familiar.
Markets tend to struggle most during the headline phase, then stabilize once process replaces emotion.
Volatility is not the outcome. It is the mechanism.
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US Treasury chief says retaliatory EU tariffs over Greenland 'unwise'
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Silver just hit another new all-time high of $94.56, and it’s now up 6.24% today.
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🇬🇧 United Kingdom at risk of recession due to President Trump's tariffs, The Telegraph reports.
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The Federal Reserve is injecting $55.3B into the financial system between Jan 20 and Feb 12 through Treasury reinvestments (about $15.4B) and reserve management purchases (around $40B in T-bills).
This is a deliberate liquidity surge to keep reserves abundant as balance sheets tighten.
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🇷🇺 Russia says reaching any meaningful agreements with current European leaders is “unlikely,” signaling a deepening diplomatic freeze and raising fresh concerns over Europe Russia relations.
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🇵🇹 Portuguese authorities block cryptocurrency platform Polymarket.
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Nasdaq And Tokenized Stocks:
Nasdaq filed an SEC rule change on September 8, 2025, to allow trading and settlement of tokenized Nasdaq-listed equities and ETPs.
Tokenized securities must be fully fungible with traditional shares, sharing the same CUSIP and identical rights (voting, dividends, etc.).
Trading will use the same order book, with optional blockchain settlement via DTC's DLT platform.
The proposal restricts trading to regular market hours, prevents liquidity fragmentation, aims for T+0 settlement, and rejects non-fungible "shadow tokens," viewing tokenization as an evolution of digital book-entry records.
A potential launch is expected in late Q3 2026 if approved.
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🇩🇰🇺🇸 Danish pension fund AkademikerPension to sell all US Treasuries.
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🇺🇸 Treasury Secretary Bessent says US Government will add seized Bitcoin to its digital asset reserve.
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🇺🇸 S&P 500 has erased $861 billion from its market value today.
This happened after US-EU trade war escalation and Denmark pension funds decision to sell US treasuries.
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European Union preparing to announce 'historic' trade deal with India.
"Some call it the mother of all deals."
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