🤌 - (personal opinion) If Iran falls, the regime change will take at least 20 years to happen in the first place, civil unrest and conflict between factions will destroy the country. The US and Israel will back a faction and Russia and China will back another. This is the middle east after all and I believe everyone is aware of this.

Looking for new OSINTers. Please DM on @GIWdude. Looking for people familiar with European policies, Middle Eastern affairs, economics and intel.

ℹ️ note, this could also mean just refueling warplanes in the first stage days, in contrast to direct bombing by USAF

🇵🇰🇺🇸 - I remember a discussion with someone. The idea was that US killing Bin Laden without telling Pakistan first was a power move to basically tell Pakistan or any other potentiel problematic country "Don't think nukes will protect you if your harbor terrorists.".

23rd January 2025 World Economic Forum. you never know

🇺🇸🇮🇱❌️🇮🇷 - Entering the war might also lead to the use of MOP's to hit fortified nuclear enrichment sites buried in mountain ranges that Israel has been unable to damage so far as these bunker busting munitions are exclusive to the USA AF

UK, Opinium poll:

REFORM~NI: 30% (-1)
LAB-S&D: 24% (-1)
CON~ECR: 18% (+1)
LDEM-RE: 12% (+1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 9% (-1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3% (+1)
PC-G/EFA: 1%

+/- vs. 28-30 May 2025

Fieldwork: 11-13 June 2025
Sample size: 2,050

➤ europeelects.eu/uk

I'm Canadian. We've had the liberals "losing" each and every elections since I was 12. Spoiler alert they never ended up dropping up a single.

🇺🇸 - Multiple accounts going live with the "Trump to speak" thing. Not seeing anything official on my end but a lot of semi-official or semi-authoritative accounts on Twitter shared it so I'm just saying this.

🇺🇸 - Al Hadath is calling a Trump speech.

"American media: An anticipated speech by President Trump shortly to announce his decision on joining strikes against Iran"

A possibility is that CNN said on air that a speech would happen, all the OSINTers shared it, but CNN didn't share it themselves on social network, leaving us uncertain of what was said.

🇺🇸 - Regarding someone in the OSINT sphere calling bullshit on Twitter: have y'all ever considered that CNN isn't a website nor a group of twitter accounts, but first and foremost a TV channel? Like, if someone tells me "I watched CNN for the past 3 hours and they didn't say anything" its OK, but once again I would advise carefulness, because I've already seen cases where CNN obviously announces big stuff on air before announcing it on twitter.

It’s so over…

🇺🇸 - Secretary of the Department of Homeland Security Kristi Noem has been rushed to the hospital in Washington, D.C.

Do really need to explain the pizza index ??

But long story short every time a big event is about to happen fast food and pizzeria near the pentagon have a surge in activity.

Because pentagon agent will work all night monitoring the situation they simply order a lot of pizza, it’s a proven OSINT indicator

⚡️🇮🇱🇮🇷 Skies over Tel Aviv.

@wfwitness

🇮🇷🇮🇱 - Impacts on Tel Aviv.

🇮🇱🇮🇷 - Interceptions.

🇺🇸 - Welp, look like doing strikes on Iran is complicated politically.

🇺🇸 - Congratulations on the Florida Panthers, to AJ Greer and to Brad Marchand for winning the Stanley Cup.