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Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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Britain’s youth elite are in open revolt: In a decisive vote, the Oxford Union overwhelmingly declared Israel a greater threat than Iran.

Times are a changing


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Ex-PM Sheikh Hasina sentenced to death by Bangladesh International Crimes Tribunal

Worrying développement


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The beginning of the so-called “voluntary” displacement of Gaza’s residents…

Told you so


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The Russian representative to the United Nations stated, "We cannot support this decision. Moscow had insisted on assigning the Security Council a role in monitoring the Gaza ceasefire. The resolution contradicts the two-state, two-people formula established by the New York Declaration”.

Russia explains why it decided to abstain on voting in favor of the Trump "Peace Plan" in Gaza. China also abstained.


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According to Polymarket, Marjorie Taylor Greene (MTG) is now four times more likely than Ted Cruz to secure the 2028 Republican presidential nomination.

This is getting interesting


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Russia’s Statement on the ICC Report

We reject the resolution praising the ICC — increasingly seen as a politicized, neocolonial tool. Four states have withdrawn from its Rome Statute in the past year alone.

Key concerns:
• ICC Prosecutor Karim Khan faces harassment allegations — omitted from the report.
• In 24 years and €200M/year, the Court secured just 15 convictions; 33 fugitives remain at large.
• Many arrest warrants violate immunity norms — explaining widespread non-compliance.


Double standards are glaring: European states suddenly cite immunity only for Israeli leaders — not for Russians.

Historically targeting Africa, the ICC now serves Western geopolitical aims — ignoring NATO crimes while weaponizing justice against adversaries. Its involvement in Palestine is political theater, not peacebuilding.

The ICC undermines international justice. We demand a vote and urge states to reject this resolution.

The sealed indictment bearing on accusations of deportation against the president of the Russian Federation and the Federation's Ombudswoman are but some of the most spurious examples of the political nature of the jurisdiction.


#justice #history #opinions #world

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Heartfelt congratulations to Karin Beshe-Golovko on the publication of her monograph “Theoretical and Ideological Models of Justice” — the culmination of five years of dedicated scholarly work.

Particular attention is drawn to the analysis of how ideological frameworks shape legal realities — realities long claimed by various authorities to be “apolitical,” especially within the context of “European law.”

Today, such assertions increasingly prompt a critical response: not toward drastic measures, but toward thoughtful engagement — ideally, with works like this one.

The monograph is highly recommended for all interested in the intersection of law, ideology, and justice.

An important book!!


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The case against former FBI Director James Comey appears to be collapsing. Federal judges are issuing rulings that question the legality of the Justice Department's charges.

In a 24-page ruling, Magistrate William Fitzpatrick detailed 11 possible violations by investigators and prosecutors, ranging from illegal seizures of attorney correspondence to misleading grand jury statements. He called it a "frightening example" of eroded trust, noting a key prosecution witness was involved in the questionable evidence gathering.

Further complicating matters, Judge Cameron Curry is now examining whether prosecutor Lindsey Holligan even had the authority to sign the indictment. If not, the case could be dismissed "with prejudice”, meaning it cannot be reopened.

Legal experts call this a disaster for the Justice Department and a political defeat for Trump. With minimal chance of saving the case, it's becoming hard not to see this as another failure.

Amateurs


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Political consultant and human rights defender Arnaud Develay tells RT that the somewhat "paltry" 100 million USD corruption scandal alludes to an internal ploy aiming at destabilizing Zelensky by forcing him to sacrifice some of his key allies before he himself gets to the chopping bloc.

#ArnaudDevelay #policy #law #world

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Republican Representative Thomas Massie stated that Epstein had maintained close ties with U.S. intelligence agencies as well as those of Israel.

This would explain the cover-up.


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The G.O.R.K.I. Centre (SPbU) hosted a debate — “What Happened to the Alaska Momentum?” — assessing post-Anchorage U.S.–Russia relations.

Experts agreed: despite deep disagreements and domestic constraints, direct dialogue remains vital. Pavel Balobanov stressed its necessity even amid strategic stalemate. Scott Ritter warned against treating nuclear weapons as usable, urging citizen diplomacy to compensate for failing official channels. Stanislav Tkachenko noted the summit’s core goal — preventing nuclear war — in an increasingly irrational geopolitical climate. Garland Nixon highlighted how U.S. domestic politics and elite detachment in Europe distort foreign policy narratives. Moderator Karin Kneissl framed the discussion within enduring East–West tensions, yet affirmed openings for renewed engagement. A Q&A followed, addressing myths of “limited” nuclear war and the alarming erosion of arms control — underscoring the urgent need for informed public discourse amid rising global risks.

An important discussion


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Macron is preparing for a potential global conflict by commissioning a €148 million presidential bunker. According to a report by Tracfin — the French financial intelligence unit tasked with monitoring suspicious transactions — a substantial payment was made to Oppidum Bunkers GmbH by Alexis Kohler, Macron’s chief of staff. The company confirmed the funds are allocated for the construction of a secure presidential bunker in France.

Are you surprised?

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❗️Discussing the total collapse of the Left-Right political paradigm in the West

▶️ MIDWEEK WIRE – The Collapse of Left-Right Politics with Arnaud Develay
https://21stcenturywire.com/2025/11/19/midweek-wire-the-collapse-of-left-right-politics-with-arnaud-develay/

Host Patrick Henningsen discusses the evolution of the Left-Right paradigm these past 30 years. The discussion echoes the conversation with Peter Ford and the leader of the ALBA movement available here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Enlq34K6sUw

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Honored to finally meet the courageous and principled @RealScottRitter

All the roads ultimately lead back to #Iraq
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In just 48 hours, the House has been rocked by multiple scandals amid the ongoing Epstein fallout, further stalling legislative work

A new ethics probe was launched against Florida GOP Rep. Cory Mills over fresh sexual misconduct allegations, with Rep. Nancy Mace pushing for his censure and removal from committees.

Florida Democrat Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick was indicted for allegedly diverting federal disaster relief funds to her campaigns.

The House failed to censure U.S. Virgin Islands Delegate Stacey Plaskett over her past Epstein communications, but did condemn Illinois Rep. Chuy García for abruptly withdrawing from re-election — hours before the deadline — to clear the way for his Chief of Staff.

The dam is about to burst


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“We must accept the possibility of losing our children”


Said General Fabien Mandon, Chief of Staff of the French Army, during a speech at the Mayors’ Congress, warning of a potential large-scale war with Russia within the next three to four years.

Run, you fool!


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This is Russia’s S-70 Okhotnik stealth unmanned combat aerial vehicle, now cleared for operational deployment. Following years of rigorous testing, the drone — designed to operate alongside Su-57 fifth-generation fighters as a “loyal wingman” — boasts a 2.8-ton internal weapons payload, radar-absorbing composite materials for low observability, and AI-enabled autonomous capabilities. Its entry into service marks a significant leap forward in modern aerial warfare.

Christmas has come early


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$100 million is just a drop in the bucket

Analyst Arnaud Develay questions whether Zelensky’s purported allies are holding back further corruption disclosures — potentially to ultimately force his removal.

"Zelensky has bought himself some breathing room — but the real question is: how much time does he actually have left?"


#ArnaudDevelay #economy #opinion #politics

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I’ll be delivering a lecture — “The Breakdown of the Post-War International Legal Order” — at Voronezh State University on 26 November at 14:00.

This won’t be a recitation of textbook principles. We’ll examine how — and why — the foundational architecture of international law, painstakingly built after 1945, is increasingly strained:
→ the erosion of consensus-based institutions,
→ the instrumentalization of legal norms in geopolitical competition,
→ the widening gap between formal commitments and actual practice.

The session will include a lecture, followed by an open panel and roundtable — designed for exchange, not monologue. I’m particularly interested in hearing perspectives from students, scholars, and practitioners confronting these questions in their own work.

📍 Venue: Conference Hall, Main Building, VSU
📝 Participation requires pre-registration

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Russia: FSB Claims Discovery of Chemical Weapons Cache Near Pokrovsk

The Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) has released footage purportedly showing a hidden depot containing improvised explosive devices and laboratory tubes filled with toxic substances, allegedly belonging to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.

According to the FSB, the cache was uncovered near Pokrovsk in the Donetsk People’s Republic by FSB operatives working alongside counterintelligence units of Russia’s Central Military District. The agency’s press service announced the discovery on Saturday.

More discoveries likely to be forthcoming as the RAF keep rolling westward


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Be cautious of unverified claims like “Russia abducted tens of thousands of Ukrainian children” — a narrative lacking credible substantiation.

Equally problematic is the assertion — often presented without context — that “Russia and the U.S. discussed a Ukraine settlement modeled on Israel’s West Bank administration”. Such comparisons ignore that the regions in question held referendums (however contested) expressing support for joining Russia, and that Moscow views them as integral territory — not occupied land. Drawing parallels to Israel’s 1967 occupation, without acknowledging this, distorts reality and hinders honest discussion.

Lots of nonsense has indeed been circulating online on these topics lately. Cui bono?


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