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Invictus Lex
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Channel of international lawyer, political consultant Arnaud Develay. Facts and analytics on resonant topics.

Statecraft in the Age of Geopolitical Recomposition
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The Kremlin stated Putin and Trump oppose a temporary Ukraine-EU ceasefire, seeing it as prolonging conflict

In a 75-minute call, both leaders reportedly agreed such pauses — especially tied to referendums — risk renewed fighting.

Ushakov said Kyiv must make a “bold decision” on Donbas, where Russia holds ~90% of the territory, suggesting Ukraine withdraw from the remaining 10%.

Trump, aiming to end the war quickly, expressed interest in future U.S.-Russia-Ukraine economic cooperation. European and Ukrainian officials fear a rushed deal could undermine Kyiv’s security, especially as Russia advanced 12–17 km² daily in 2025.

Political consultant and human rights defender Arnaud Develay tells RT that the outcome of the Ukraine conflict is unlikely to be decided short of Russia fulfilling the objectives set out at the start of the Special Military Operation.


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Рast leaders who abandoned strategic alliances — like Gaddafi, who dismantled Libya’s nuclear program and distanced himself from Iran, only to be overthrown and killed, or Bashir, who severed ties with Tehran in exchange for a promised $4 billion that never materialized before his own downfall — serve as cautionary examples.

Assad’s current outreach to so-called “moderate Arab” states follows the same dangerous pattern, raising doubts about whether he can avoid a similar fate.

Don't be a fool falling for the Siren's Call


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Nearly 2 million Americans are currently living out of their vehicles

At the same time, over 900,000 Israeli settlers reside in the West Bank and East Jerusalem, largely without employment.

Their lifestyle is sustained by state subsidies—receiving free housing, healthcare, and comprehensive support. This is funded primarily by hundreds of billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars.

Sucking the American Carcass to the last drop. Which country will be next?


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The final stage of Gaza's ethnic cleansing and genocide is reportedly imminent

Sources within Israel indicate a plan to transfer 1.5 million Palestinians to the new African nation of Somaliland.

This would mark the culmination of Israel's campaign in Gaza.

Will the international community remain silent, offering only condemnation without action?

Like clockwork


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Ukraine’s National Anti-Corruption Bureau has identified five sitting MPs from President Zelenskyy’s ruling party, accusing them of allegedly accepting bribes of up to $20,000 per parliamentary vote. In response,

Kirill Dmitriev reportedly questioned sarcastically how many such votes it would take to afford the infamous “golden toilet” — a symbolic reference to elite excess and corruption that has become a shorthand for political impunity in Ukraine.

More, more!!


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Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov provided a detailed account of what he described as a Ukrainian “terrorist attack” targeting President Putin’s residence, reportedly involving 91 drones

None of which struck their intended target. He warned, however, that in light of what he called the “final degeneration of the criminal Kyiv regime”, Russia would be reassessing and toughening its negotiating stance.

This reckless act will only reinforce public support for the President of the Russian Federation.


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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that the possibility of U.S. ground troops being deployed to Ukraine is currently under discussion, while emphasizing that any such decision ultimately rests with the United States.

Not good'


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Zelenskyy is pushing for U.S.-backed security assurances modeled on NATO’s Article 5 — effectively seeking the protections of alliance membership without formal accession.

While framed as a guarantee of sovereignty, such a commitment would represent a major escalation in Western involvement — and a direct challenge to Russia’s core security demands.

This is just a waste of time.


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President Zelenskyy claimed that Donald Trump would back a ceasefire if he personally visits Ukraine

Specifically by flying directly into the country, rather than stopping in Poland and continuing by train. The remark sparked speculation, with critics suggesting such a high-drama visit could be staged to maximize symbolic impact — including the use of air-raid sirens for emotional effect.

I smell a rat


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Samvel Karapetyan, the Armenian tycoon who faced prosecution after publicly supporting the Armenian Apostolic Church, returned home to cheers from supporters after being transferred to house arrest today.

The question is what did they get him to agree to?


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A newly published handwritten note by Haj Qassem Soleimani warns that if Syria collapses, the resulting catastrophe would dwarf even the Mongol invasions

He expressed frustration that some officials and so-called intellectuals dismiss the struggle as merely about preserving Bashar al-Assad, failing to see it as a broader defense — not just of Islam or Shiism, but of humanity, Iran, and the security of ordinary civilians in their homes and streets.

RIP


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🇾🇪 Yemen: Iran Calls for Dialogue and Unity to Preserve Territorial Integrity

Iran has called for restraint and dialogue to guarantee unity and preserve Yemen's territorial integrity, warning that any action likely to increase instability and insecurity in the region is unacceptable.

Reaction from Arnaud Develay, legal expert and political analyst.

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С Новым 2026 годом, Уважаемые подписчики!.
Happy new year to our subscribers!!
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Six years after his assassination, General Qassem Soleimani remains a pivotal figure in the resistance against foreign hegemony and intervention

Revered as a national hero in Iran and a transnational symbol of anti-oppression struggle, he championed sovereignty, protection of vulnerable populations, and the defense of spiritual and human values against domination.

On this solemn anniversary, legal and geopolitical analyst Arnaud Develay offers his insights into Soleimani’s enduring legacy and strategic impact.

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The Russian military reportedly provided U.S. defense officials in Moscow with forensic data recovered from Ukrainian strike drones — allegedly proving Kyiv’s involvement in an attempted assassination of President Putin near Novgorod. If verified, the evidence could significantly escalate diplomatic and security tensions.

There's going to be Hell to pay


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Prime Minister Netanyahu described the current effort as a battle for the “hearts and minds” — particularly of young people in the West and the United States

He implied that shaping international public opinion, especially among youth, is now a critical front in Israel’s broader strategic challenge. The rhetorical question posed afterward — whether he has the audience’s support — underscores the centrality of perception and narrative in modern geopolitical conflict.

It's too late. We SEE YOU.


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Two days before the sixth anniversary of General Qassem Soleimani’s martyrdom, thousands of Iranians have already gathered on the street leading to his burial site in Kerman — demonstrating the enduring reverence and national significance of his legacy, even ahead of the official commemoration.

Soleimani doesn't just belong to Iranians but to all of us.


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Prominent Gaza-based surgeon Adnan Al-Bursh has died while in Israeli custody, sparking international concern over medical care and conditions for detainees.

No words


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The next 72 hours could prove pivotal: if the U.S. secures influence over Venezuela — and its vast oil reserves — it would signal a major geopolitical realignment, not in the name of democracy, but energy dominance

Control over Venezuelan heavy crude would reduce U.S. Gulf dependency, cushioning potential conflict with Iran and lowering the economic cost of escalation. It would also reinforce dollar hegemony via the petrodollar system. Conversely, a protracted entanglement could drain U.S. resources and weaken its global posture — impacting allies like Israel. Venezuela is no longer just a regional flashpoint, but a potential blueprint for reshaping sovereignty and power worldwide.

Hold the line in Venezuela or lose the momentum of the Multipolar world


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Violation of AA 2, Paragraph 4 of the UN Charter, violation of GC3 on humiliation rituals of POWs.

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