The idea is since both sides are now in internal problems, why not just launch a war. But the thing is the reality isn't that simple and naive.
Hezbullah is facing an economic collapse and obstacles in internal politics, but this didn't affect its military structure or buildup
Hezbullah is facing an economic collapse and obstacles in internal politics, but this didn't affect its military structure or buildup
The IDF knows this. Hezbullah military wise is not in a weak vulnerable position, and this tension period has given it enough to mentally prepare and successfully absorb a potential IDF AF preemptive strike. Hezbullah only aims to kill or attack any IDF target as retaliation
Hezbullah doesn't aim for a war and prefers to deal with it's Internal issues and help with the economical situation Lebanon is facing, however this doesn't mean it's not ready. They simply don't want a war. The IDF knows this
The IDF also knows that is will not enter a war if it can not insusre a decisive victory, this is how it operates and it knows it's not achievable yet. IDF's doctrine is simple, short wars decisive victories. This is why IDF, and Netanyahu a warmonger, haven't launched any yet
That aside, the Israeli homefront is not ready yet. With COVID-19 ravaging the economy and the internal clash that is torn between new elections or government reshuffle, there is no harmony to take the decision of a war even if the IDF is capable and wants that.
The IDF itself now has almost 1k COVID-19 cases and 7k in quarantine. It can't simply mobilize now.
So let's see how things actually end up.
So let's see how things actually end up.
IDF is attacking the fields near its position in Ruwaysit Al Alam.
IDF is moving forces into fortified areas to avoid more attacks by Hezbullah.
Clashes are ongoing, israeli sources claim IDF wiped a Hezbullah cell.
Netanyahu has cut short his Likud faction meeting: "We are in the midst of serious security event"